Makarska: Tena Lukas vs Darja Semenistaja
9 signals across 1 market · $41,899 tracked · resolves Jun 10, 2026
This event tracks the Polymarket prediction market for the Makarska tennis match between Tena Lukas and Darja Semenistaja. Traders are pricing which player will advance, with PolySpotter tracking $7,185 in smart money activity and a recent signal showing profitable wallets backing the favorite.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- 95% winner leads cluster
Strong Darja Semenistaja buy led by a highly profitable 95% win-rate bettor, alongside one-sided cluster flow and an 83x pre-event volume spike.
$20,986Score: 16.2 - 95% winner buying favorite
Elite 95% lifetime bettor bought Darja Semenistaja before an 8-point move, with heavy cross-market history and a major pre-event volume spike supporting the signal.
$9,174Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 8.0 - 89% winner backs favorite
Elite wallet with an 89% win rate and $212k profit bought Darja Semenistaja at 84¢, and the market has already moved to 91¢.
$1,973Wallet win rate: 89%Score: 8.0 - Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable serial cross-market tennis bettor with a 70% record and $169k lifetime profit bought Darja, though the market has since moved against the entry.
$1,489Wallet win rate: 70%Score: 6.2 - Profitable serial cross-market bettor
Profitable high-volume serial cross-market bettor is effectively buying Tena Lukas at 20¢, though the individual trade size is modest.
$1,723Wallet win rate: 69%Score: 5.4 - Profitable regular bought dip
A highly experienced, profitable sports trader bought Tena Lukas at 29¢ before the market rebounded to 60¢, suggesting a well-timed dip buy.
$2,756Wallet win rate: 56%Score: 3.7 - Profitable serial sports bettor
A highly profitable serial cross-market sports bettor with a massive sample is buying Darja Semenistaja at 41¢ despite the market favoring Tena Lukas.
$1,069Wallet win rate: 69%Score: 3.0 - Profitable serial sports trader
Profitable high-volume serial cross-market bettor bought Darja Semenistaja at 79¢, making this a modest but followable sharp-trader signal.
$1,699Wallet win rate: 69%Score: 3.0 - Profitable serial sports bettor
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor bought Darja Semenistaja at 78¢ before the market moved to 91¢, suggesting the entry was well-timed but is now expensive to chase.
$1,030Wallet win rate: 56%Score: 2.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x03f8db…d85a$9,174 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins
- 0x2005d1…75ea$3,786 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 56% wins
- 0x5b6331…11a4$3,422 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 69% wins
- 0x99d76c…6435$1,973 · 1 market · 1 alert · 89% wins
- 0x9a8c93…ba13$1,489 · 1 market · 1 alert · 70% wins
- 0xfe787d…0319$1,069 · 1 market · 1 alert · 69% wins
FAQs
What are the Lukas vs Semenistaja odds on Polymarket?
The Polymarket odds reflect the market-implied chances that Tena Lukas or Darja Semenistaja advances in their Makarska match. PolySpotter tracks those odds alongside smart money flows to show how informed wallets are positioning.
What is the smart money doing on Lukas vs Semenistaja?
PolySpotter has tracked $7,185 in smart money activity across this event, with a recent alert indicating that profitable wallets are backing the favorite.
What outcomes can traders bet on in this event?
This event covers the match winner market: Tena Lukas to advance or Darja Semenistaja to advance. The winning outcome is determined by which player advances from the match.
When does the Lukas vs Semenistaja market resolve?
The market is scheduled to resolve after the Makarska match result is known, with a listed resolution deadline of June 10, 2026 at 08:00 UTC.
What happens if the match is canceled or delayed?
If the match is not played, ends without a winner, or is delayed beyond seven days from the scheduled start without a winner determined, the market follows Polymarket’s event resolution rules.