Wimbledon WTA: Elise Mertens vs Elena Rybakina
11 signals across 1 market · $61,572 tracked · resolves Jul 11, 2026
This Wimbledon WTA event tracks the prediction market for Elise Mertens vs Elena Rybakina, with traders pricing which player will advance. PolySpotter has flagged $1,000 in smart money activity, including a recent signal from a 90% serial sports bettor.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- Sharp cluster chasing Mertens
Five wallets bought $16.2K of Mertens amid a major odds move, including a 92% win-rate sports bettor up $2.7M lifetime.
$16,204Score: 15.7 - Sharp tennis cluster
Four wallets bought $15.3k of Rybakina, including two highly profitable sharp bettors with 87% and 80% historical win rates, amid a major pre-match volume spike.
$15,285Score: 14.7 - Sharp trader backs Mertens
Sharp high-volume tennis trader with a 79% record sold Rybakina as her price collapsed, effectively backing Mertens before the move continued to 98%.
$1,329Wallet win rate: 79%Score: 13.7 - Momentum buyer before 98¢
High-volume Wimbledon flow and a sharp price move followed this bettor buying Elise Mertens at 75¢ before the market moved to 98¢.
$2,520Wallet win rate: 66%Score: 9.7 - Serial trader flips sides
High-score momentum alert: a serial cross-market bettor flipped sides into Mertens as volume spiked 144x and the price surged to near-certain levels.
$2,000Wallet win rate: 74%Score: 9.7 - Active trader caught tennis steam
High-score tennis alert with a very active cross-market trader buying Mertens before a sharp move from 85¢ to 98¢ amid a 144x volume spike.
$5,000Wallet win rate: 62%Score: 8.7 - Volume spike momentum buy
High-volume one-sided move on Mertens with a 144x volume spike and major price impact, though the wallet itself has only a modest track record.
$4,752Wallet win rate: 62%Score: 7.7 - Profitable serial sports bettor
Highly profitable serial sports trader bought Mertens amid an 84x pre-event volume spike and major price move toward Mertens.
$4,036Wallet win rate: 64%Score: 5.4 - Proven serial sports bettor
A proven serial cross-market bettor with a 75% win rate and $57k lifetime profit bought $8.1k of Elena Rybakina at 81¢.
$8,146Wallet win rate: 75%Score: 4.0 - 90% serial sports bettor
Sharp serial cross-market wallet with a 90% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought Rybakina at 80¢.
$1,000Wallet win rate: 90%Score: 4.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x82617a…a3f1$8,146 · 1 market · 1 alert · 75% wins
- 0xdd8e67…f023$5,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 62% wins
- 0x67ed23…085a$4,752 · 1 market · 1 alert · 62% wins
- 0x076daa…8d4c$4,036 · 1 market · 1 alert · 64% wins
- 0xc4a8dc…246d$2,520 · 1 market · 1 alert · 66% wins
- 0xd3f9a5…45a7$2,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 74% wins
- 0x8f764c…aea6$1,329 · 1 market · 1 alert · 79% wins
- 0x55f544…e2a0$1,300 · 1 market · 1 alert · 98% wins
- 0x72e2c2…6610$1,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 90% wins
FAQs
What are the Mertens vs Rybakina odds on Polymarket?
The event market reflects the live Polymarket-implied chances for whether Elise Mertens or Elena Rybakina advances. Prices can move as traders react to form, lineup news, match conditions, and betting activity.
What is the smart money doing on Mertens vs Rybakina?
PolySpotter has tracked $1,000 in smart money activity on this event. The latest alert highlighted a 90% serial sports bettor, suggesting an experienced sports-market trader has taken a position.
When does the Mertens vs Rybakina market resolve?
The market is tied to the Wimbledon WTA match originally scheduled for July 4, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. It is expected to resolve once a winner advances, with a listed resolution deadline of July 11, 2026.
How does this Wimbledon WTA prediction market work?
Traders buy shares tied to the match outcome. The market resolves to Elise Mertens if she advances, or Elena Rybakina if she advances; if the match is canceled, tied, or delayed beyond the market rules, special resolution terms may apply.