US Open WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Sorana Cirstea
8 signals across 2 markets · $105,480 tracked · resolves Sep 11, 2026
Follow the Polymarket prediction market for Jasmine Paolini vs Sorana Cirstea at the 2026 US Open. The event tracks which player advances, with $4,810 in smart money and a recent sharp signal backing Paolini.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- 15-wallet cluster backed Sorana
A large, linked 15-wallet cluster concentrated roughly $70,000 on Sorana Cirstea, with supporting activity from profitable and high-win-rate traders, though some positions were recycled or closed.
$70,679Score: 11.1 - 13-wallet Paolini buying cluster
A 13-wallet, $56.6K one-sided move toward Paolini is notable, though this wallet's trades were profit-taking from an existing Cirstea position rather than fresh conviction.
$6,657Wallet win rate: 73%Score: 7.9 - Experienced bettor backs Paolini
A highly experienced, profitable wallet made a substantial Paolini purchase amid a 198x volume spike and coordinated three-wallet buying, though its simultaneous Cirstea position makes the thesis less clean.
$4,538Wallet win rate: 64%Score: 6.9 - Four-wallet Paolini buying cluster
Four wallets bought Paolini at 40-46 cents amid a 110x volume spike, with the market subsequently rising 17 percentage points to 54%.
$12,559Score: 6.4 - 96% winner scaling into Paolini
A highly profitable tennis bettor with a 96% win rate and substantial edge is adding $1,700 to an existing Jasmine Paolini position at 40%.
$1,700Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 5.8 - Serial trader fades Paolini
A highly active trader sold Paolini amid a 110x pre-event volume spike, creating a notable contrarian signal despite only a moderate historical edge.
$2,188Wallet win rate: 61%Score: 3.9 - Serial trader fades Paolini
A highly active trader sold Paolini amid a 110x pre-event volume spike, creating a notable contrarian signal despite only a moderate historical edge.
$2,349Wallet win rate: 61%Score: 3.8 - Serial sharp backs Paolini
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor made a concentrated $4.8K wager on Paolini at 37%, despite the market pricing her at only 38%.
$4,810Wallet win rate: 64%Score: 3.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0xfe787d…0319$9,348 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 64% wins
- 0x54bab0…04e4$6,657 · 1 market · 1 alert · 73% wins
- 0x6485f4…a265$4,537 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 61% wins
- 0xf12f76…b30f$1,700 · 1 market · 1 alert · 93% wins
FAQs
What are the Paolini vs Cirstea prediction-market odds?
Polymarket tracks the market-implied odds for Jasmine Paolini and Sorana Cirstea to advance. Check the live event page for current prices, which can change as traders respond to new information.
What is the smart money doing in this match?
PolySpotter has tracked $4,810 in smart money across the event and one signal so far. The latest alert headline says a serial sharp backed Paolini.
What outcomes are traded in the Paolini vs Cirstea market?
This event covers the two possible match outcomes: Jasmine Paolini advances or Sorana Cirstea advances. The market resolves based on the player who wins or advances under the published rules.
When does the Paolini vs Cirstea market resolve?
The match is scheduled for September 4, 2026, at 11:00 AM ET. Resolution follows the exchange's published rules after the result is determined, with a listed event deadline in September 2026.