Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatek
10 signals across 2 markets · $39,456 tracked · resolves May 20, 2026
This Internazionali BNL d'Italia event tracks the prediction market for Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatek, with traders pricing which player will advance. PolySpotter has tracked $1,482 in smart money activity across the event, including a recent signal showing 80% winner backing the favorite.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- Proven serial sports bettor
A highly proven serial cross-market bettor with 79% wins and +$384k lifetime P&L placed $10k on Iga Swiatek amid a major pre-event volume spike.
$10,000Wallet win rate: 82%Score: 7.3 - 80% winner backs favorite
Sharp cross-market trader with an 80% historical win rate and $217k profit is buying Iga Swiatek at 67¢ in a relatively small tennis market.
$1,482Wallet win rate: 86%Score: 7.0 - 87% win serial trader
A highly proven serial cross-market tennis bettor with an 87% historical win rate bought Iga Swiatek at 85% amid a major pre-event volume spike.
$1,544Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 6.8 - 80% winner backs favorite
Sharp sports bettor with an 80% record and $217k lifetime profit is buying Iga Swiatek at 69¢.
$1,139Wallet win rate: 86%Score: 6.0 - Sharp bettor caught Iga move
Sharp profitable tennis bettor bought Iga Swiatek before a major pre-event volume spike and the price quickly moved from 89% to 96%.
$3,997Wallet win rate: 84%Score: 5.3 - Million-dollar serial sharp
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 74% long-run win rate bought Iga Swiatek amid a major pre-event volume spike.
$1,267Wallet win rate: 76%Score: 4.0 - 77% winner backs Swiatek
Sharp serial cross-market bettor with a 77% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought $6.4k of Swiatek on the set handicap.
$6,370Wallet win rate: 80%Score: 4.0 - Pre-match favorite momentum
A major pre-match volume spike with a $10k Swiatek buy follows a sharp 21-point move, suggesting momentum behind the favorite despite the wallet's mixed win rate.
$10,000Wallet win rate: 39%Score: 3.3 - 96% tennis sharp backs favorite
Sharp wallet override: this bettor has a 96% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L, making the Iga Swiatek buy worth surfacing despite the modest trade size and low composite score.
$1,128Wallet win rate: 98%Score: 2.0 - 79% winner backs underdog
A recently active wallet with a 79% resolved-bet win rate and positive lifetime P&L is buying Pegula as a 30¢ underdog despite only a weak new-wallet signal.
$2,527Wallet win rate: 81%Score: 1.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x479e33…91c3$10,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 82% wins
- 0x8f3c56…2f57$10,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 39% wins
- 0x4eefda…3fcb$6,370 · 1 market · 1 alert · 80% wins
- 0xee782c…cbb9$3,997 · 1 market · 1 alert · 84% wins
- 0xa82a8a…a759$2,622 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 86% wins
- 0xde764f…7d17$2,527 · 1 market · 1 alert · 81% wins
- 0x49007e…4a72$1,544 · 1 market · 1 alert · 85% wins
- 0x160bf4…4296$1,267 · 1 market · 1 alert · 76% wins
- 0x8713d3…4007$1,128 · 1 market · 1 alert · 98% wins
FAQs
What are the Pegula vs Swiatek odds on Polymarket?
The event market reflects Polymarket traders' live probability for whether Jessica Pegula or Iga Swiatek will advance. Prices can move as bettors react to form, match conditions, and new smart money activity.
What is the smart money doing on Pegula vs Swiatek?
PolySpotter has tracked $1,482 in smart money across this event, with one recent signal indicating that an 80% winner is backing the favorite. That suggests the sharp activity currently leans toward the player already favored by the market.
How does this Pegula vs Swiatek prediction market resolve?
The market resolves to Jessica Pegula if she advances against Iga Swiatek, and to Iga Swiatek if Swiatek advances. If the match is canceled, tied, or delayed beyond the market rules without a winner, resolution follows the listed Polymarket terms.
When does the Pegula vs Swiatek market resolve?
The match was originally scheduled for May 13, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET, and the event is set to resolve by May 20, 2026 at 09:00 UTC, depending on when an official winner is determined.
Why follow PolySpotter for this tennis market?
PolySpotter highlights notable smart money moves on Polymarket, helping users see not just the market odds but also whether experienced or high-performing traders are backing Pegula or Swiatek.