Madrid Open, Qualification: Anastasia Potapova vs Sinja Kraus
11 signals across 1 market · $78,915 tracked · resolves Apr 28, 2026
This event tracks the Madrid Open qualification match between Anastasia Potapova and Sinja Kraus, with prediction-market traders pricing which player will advance. PolySpotter is monitoring $78,915 in tracked smart money across 11 signals, including wallet clusters on both Kraus and Potapova and activity from high-performing tennis bettors.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- 10-wallet Kraus cluster
A 10-wallet coordinated push into Sinja Kraus totaling $41k, including linked wallets and several highly profitable cross-market traders, drove a sharp repricing in an active tennis market.
$41,213Score: 25.6 - Profitable sports grinder piling in
Surface this alert because a very experienced high-volume sports trader with nearly $90k profit bought into a fast-moving side that rallied from 84¢ to 100%, with linked-wallet confirmation and a major volume spike.
$1,359Wallet win rate: 60%Score: 12.5 - 5-wallet Potapova pile-in
A proven high-volume sports trader joined a 5-wallet one-sided move into Potapova during an 89x volume spike, making this coordinated buy flow worth watching despite the price already moving.
$17,660Wallet win rate: 61%Score: 11.3 - 3-wallet sharp dogpile
Three wallets, including two very large profitable serial sports traders, piled into Potapova around 42-57¢ before the market collapsed to 12¢, making this a strong coordinated contrarian signal worth studying.
$5,489Score: 11.1 - 91% win-rate tennis bettor
A highly profitable sharp bettor with a 91% win rate just took a meaningful position on Sinja Kraus, and the only linked-wallet signal is secondary to the standout track record.
$1,624Wallet win rate: 90%Score: 10.0 - Sharp bettor caught big move
A highly profitable high-volume sports trader with a 73% win rate bought Sinja Kraus before a sharp 31-point move, making this a strong follow-worthy signal despite the moderate ticket size.
$2,515Wallet win rate: 72%Score: 7.0 - Sharp tennis bettor caught breakout
A high-volume serial cross-market trader with a solid long-term record bought Sinja Kraus at 45¢ just before a sharp move to 62%, suggesting real edge despite only one trade.
$3,442Wallet win rate: 61%Score: 5.1 - 90% winner caught move
A very high-win-rate serial sports trader bought Sinja Kraus before a large price jump, suggesting a bettor with a real edge rather than routine flow.
$1,114Wallet win rate: 90%Score: 4.0 - Sharp bettor buys dip
Surface this because a high-volume bettor with a 73% win rate and nearly $5.9M in profit is taking a fresh position on Potapova, even though the signal is only a serial cross-market pattern.
$1,172Wallet win rate: 72%Score: 4.0 - 72% win-rate sports bettor
A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with a 72% win rate is taking a fresh position on Potapova, making this worth watching despite the modest alert score.
$1,839Wallet win rate: 72%Score: 4.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x6aee3f…fad4$21,102 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 61% wins
- 0xfe787d…0319$3,687 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 72% wins
- 0x8fd93d…544a$1,839 · 1 market · 1 alert · 72% wins
- 0x75dcd6…4f82$1,624 · 1 market · 1 alert · 90% wins
- 0x8bc2f8…4c80$1,488 · 1 market · 1 alert · 68% wins
- 0x86fbea…03d4$1,359 · 1 market · 1 alert · 60% wins
- 0x46e6bf…d4cd$1,114 · 1 market · 1 alert · 90% wins
FAQs
What are the Potapova vs Kraus odds on Polymarket?
The market prices reflect the live implied probability that Anastasia Potapova or Sinja Kraus advances from the Madrid Open qualification match. Check the event page for the latest odds and price movement.
What is the smart money doing on Potapova vs Kraus?
PolySpotter has tracked 11 smart money signals totaling $78,915, including a 10-wallet Kraus cluster, a 5-wallet Potapova pile-in, and activity from a 91% win-rate tennis bettor.
Are sharp bettors backing Potapova or Kraus?
Smart money activity has appeared on both sides, with notable wallet clusters for Kraus and Potapova. That makes the market worth watching for late movement before the match resolves.
When does the Potapova vs Kraus market resolve?
The market resolves when the match has a winner and one player advances. If the match is canceled, tied, or delayed beyond the market rules window, resolution follows Polymarket’s stated rules.