Caldas da Rainha: Malaika Rapolu vs Gabriela Knutson
6 signals across 1 market · $130,639 tracked · resolves Sep 25, 2026
The Caldas da Rainha prediction market covers the tennis match between Malaika Rapolu and Gabriela Knutson, with contracts trading on which player advances. PolySpotter tracks $14,095 in smart money across the event, including a recent three-wallet conviction signal favoring Knutson.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- Four-wallet surge backing Malaika Rapolu
A $54,000 one-sided surge from four wallets pushed Malaika Rapolu from roughly 46% to 55%, though the mixed wallet records and existing positions temper conviction.
$54,071Score: 7.4 - Profitable whale-led Knutson cluster
A $39.6K three-wallet Gabriela Knutson cluster includes a highly profitable serial trader, although the position is currently underwater after odds fell to 62%.
$34,649Score: 7.3 - 79% winner adds to Knutson
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with a 79% win rate added $8,000 to Gabriela Knutson at 35%, while a 41.2x volume spike and subsequent repricing to 62% corroborate the thesis.
$25,000Wallet win rate: 80%Score: 4.9 - 79% winner adds to Knutson
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with a 79% win rate added $8,000 to Gabriela Knutson at 35%, while a 41.2x volume spike and subsequent repricing to 62% corroborate the thesis.
$8,000Wallet win rate: 80%Score: 4.8 - Serial trader buying Knutson
A highly experienced serial cross-market trader with a 70% win rate entered Gabriela Knutson at 66% amid a sharp volume spike, though the market has since moved against the position.
$1,210Wallet win rate: 70%Score: 4.5 - Serial bettor scaling into Malaika
A serial cross-market trader added $7.7K to an existing Malaika Rapolu position during a 163.8x volume spike, though the wallet lacks a strong proven edge.
$7,710Wallet win rate: 64%Score: 4.1
Top wallets in this event
- 0xdbbbde…05a8$33,000 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 80% wins
- 0x67ac9e…edf1$7,710 · 1 market · 1 alert · 64% wins
- 0x2a6966…d2f7$1,210 · 1 market · 1 alert · 70% wins
FAQs
What are the Rapolu vs Knutson prediction-market odds?
The Polymarket event displays live odds for both outcomes: Malaika Rapolu advancing or Gabriela Knutson advancing. Odds can change as traders update their positions.
What is the Caldas da Rainha Polymarket market?
It is a prediction market for the Caldas da Rainha tennis match between Malaika Rapolu and Gabriela Knutson. The winning outcome is the player who advances.
What is smart money betting on in Rapolu vs Knutson?
PolySpotter recorded a recent three-wallet conviction signal favoring Gabriela Knutson. The event has $14,095 in tracked smart money and one smart-money signal.
When is the Rapolu vs Knutson market scheduled to resolve?
The match was scheduled for September 18, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET. The event metadata lists a resolution date of September 25, 2026, at 12:30 PM UTC, subject to the market’s rules.
What happens if the tennis match is canceled or has no determined winner?
Under the listed market rules, the market may resolve according to its cancellation, tie, or unresolved-match provisions if the match is not played or no winner is determined by the stated deadline.