Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka
17 signals across 1 market · $123,690 tracked · resolves May 4, 2026
This Madrid Open event tracks the prediction market for Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka, with traders pricing which player will advance. PolySpotter has flagged $123,690 in tracked smart money across 17 signals, including funded-wallet clusters, a 10-wallet sharp bettor wave, and activity from a 76% win-rate sports sharp.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- 19-wallet funded cluster
A large funded wallet cluster bought nearly $20k of Sabalenka together during a major volume surge, and one participant is a profitable new wallet with early gains.
$19,620Score: 19.8 - Sharp bettor in 10-wallet wave
A proven profitable sports-style trader with a 78% win rate joined a 10-wallet, $40k one-sided move into Sabalenka during an extreme pre-match volume spike.
$1,779Wallet win rate: 80%Score: 15.5 - 6-wallet Sabalenka cluster
A 6-wallet cluster piled into Sabalenka as the market swung hard, and one of the main traders has an elite long-term track record, making this coordinated move worth watching despite mixed wallet quality.
$29,075Score: 14.8 - 19-wallet funded cluster
A large linked-wallet cluster with a long cross-market history piled into Sabalenka together, and this wallet bought before the price rebounded from 61¢ to 66¢.
$1,586Wallet win rate: 60%Score: 14.5 - 76% win-rate sports sharp
A proven high-volume sports bettor with a 76% win rate bought nearly $5k of Sabalenka during an unusual pre-match volume surge, making this a credible sharp-money signal despite the small immediate drawdown.
$4,963Wallet win rate: 78%Score: 13.7 - 10-wallet Sabalenka wave
A new wallet joined a 10-wallet, $40k one-sided push into Sabalenka during an extreme pre-match volume spike, suggesting coordinated conviction worth watching.
$8,708Wallet win rate: 60%Score: 13.0 - 91% win-rate Osaka buyer
A highly profitable 91% win-rate sports trader bought Naomi Osaka before a coordinated 6-wallet move and a sharp price jump, making this a strong follow signal despite the modest ticket size.
$2,663Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 12.5 - 91% winner joins Osaka surge
A highly proven sports bettor with a 91% win rate joined a 6-wallet, $27.8k one-sided push into Naomi Osaka during a massive volume spike and 21-point price move.
$4,109Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 12.1 - New winning wallet in cluster
A very new but already profitable wallet joined a 6-wallet, $19.6k one-sided push into Sabalenka after a sharp pre-match volume spike, suggesting coordinated conviction worth watching.
$1,236Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 11.8 - 94% win-rate sports bettor
A proven sharp sports bettor with a 94% win rate bought Aryna Sabalenka amid a large pre-match volume spike, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the moderate ticket size.
$2,285Wallet win rate: 91%Score: 10.6
Top wallets in this event
- 0x535c23…96ba$9,164 · 1 market · 1 alert · 74% wins
- 0x6c0448…fe01$8,708 · 1 market · 1 alert · 60% wins
- 0x56c9fb…0d9e$6,772 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 92% wins
- 0x479e33…91c3$4,963 · 1 market · 1 alert · 78% wins
- 0xa1e49d…4f8a$2,285 · 1 market · 1 alert · 91% wins
- 0x776713…4fb2$1,857 · 1 market · 1 alert · 87% wins
- 0x8f764c…aea6$1,779 · 1 market · 1 alert · 80% wins
- 0x86fbea…03d4$1,586 · 1 market · 1 alert · 60% wins
- 0x0dcf5b…c556$1,462 · 1 market · 1 alert · 93% wins
- 0x469861…d7a5$1,236 · 1 market · 1 alert · 99% wins
FAQs
What are the Sabalenka vs Osaka odds on Polymarket?
The market odds reflect the live probability traders assign to Aryna Sabalenka or Naomi Osaka advancing in their Madrid Open match. Check the event hub for the latest price moves and implied probabilities.
What is the smart money doing on Sabalenka vs Osaka?
PolySpotter has tracked $123,690 in smart money and 17 signals on this event, including a 19-wallet funded cluster, a 6-wallet Sabalenka cluster, and a sharp bettor appearing in a 10-wallet wave.
Are sharp bettors involved in this Madrid Open market?
Yes. Recent alerts include activity from a 76% win-rate sports sharp and coordinated wallet clusters, suggesting experienced prediction-market traders are active in the Sabalenka vs Osaka market.
When does the Sabalenka vs Osaka market resolve?
The event is scheduled to resolve by May 4, 2026, once the match winner is determined. If the match is canceled or delayed beyond the market rules without a winner, resolution follows Polymarket’s stated conditions.