Madrid Open: Laura Siegemund vs Jasmine Paolini
11 signals across 1 market · $54,082 tracked · resolves Apr 30, 2026
This Madrid Open prediction market tracks who will advance in the Laura Siegemund vs Jasmine Paolini match. Traders are pricing the head-to-head outcome, with PolySpotter tracking $54,082 in smart money activity and 11 signals, including a 4-wallet Paolini surge and a separate underdog push.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- 4-wallet Paolini surge
Four wallets piled into Jasmine Paolini within minutes as the market surged on unusually heavy volume, with two getting filled well before the move to 66¢.
$7,415Score: 14.7 - 3-wallet underdog push
Three wallets piled into the underdog side during a sharp pre-match volume spike and moved Laura Siegemund from 12-18%, making this a notable coordinated momentum bet despite mixed wallet quality.
$4,042Score: 9.0 - Profitable new wallet pressing favorites
A 12-day-old wallet with repeated large bets and early profits bought Jasmine Paolini before a sharp move higher during a major volume spike, suggesting real conviction rather than routine activity.
$2,158Wallet win rate: 84%Score: 8.5 - Repeat new wallet hammering favorites
A repeat new wallet has already put over $20k into flagged bets and just bought Jasmine Paolini before a sharp move higher during an unusual volume spike.
$2,954Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 8.2 - 4-wallet surge led by sharp
Four wallets piled into Laura Siegemund during an 81x volume spike and sharp price move, led by one very strong bettor with a 73% win rate and $6.4M profit.
$12,270Score: 8.1 - 91% win-rate sports sharp
A proven sharp sports bettor with a 91% win rate and $2.0M profit just bought Jasmine Paolini into heavy pre-match flow, making this a credible follow despite the price already moving lower.
$4,261Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 7.6 - Serial sports bettor pressing favorite
A very active serial sports trader with an 80% hit rate just made a $14.6k high-confidence buy into a match drawing an unusual pre-event volume surge.
$14,639Wallet win rate: 80%Score: 7.5 - 87% win-rate bettor
A proven sharp sports bettor with an 87% win rate bought the heavy favorite after a fast 14-point drop, making this a credible follow despite the modest size.
$2,409Wallet win rate: 87%Score: 6.4 - 87% win-rate sports bettor
A proven sharp sports bettor with an 87% win rate bought the favorite during a major pre-match volume surge, making this a notable follow despite paying a high price.
$1,773Wallet win rate: 89%Score: 5.4 - Sharp sports bettor buying favorite
A proven high-volume winning bettor bought Jasmine Paolini into a sharp pre-match volume surge and rapid price move, making this a reasonable sports follow despite only moderate size.
$1,063Wallet win rate: 82%Score: 3.4
Top wallets in this event
- 0x769056…74e1$14,639 · 1 market · 1 alert · 80% wins
- 0x56c9fb…0d9e$4,261 · 1 market · 1 alert · 92% wins
- 0xf1bf65…492e$2,954 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
- 0xbb7c75…82f2$2,409 · 1 market · 1 alert · 87% wins
- 0xe9d31c…079f$2,158 · 1 market · 1 alert · 84% wins
- 0xb9e54e…1809$1,773 · 1 market · 1 alert · 89% wins
- 0xfe787d…0319$1,098 · 1 market · 1 alert · 72% wins
- 0x41a3a4…017d$1,063 · 1 market · 1 alert · 82% wins
FAQs
What are the odds for Laura Siegemund vs Jasmine Paolini?
The live Polymarket odds reflect the market’s current implied probability for each player to advance. Check the event page for the latest price movement across the Siegemund and Paolini outcomes.
What is the smart money doing on this match?
PolySpotter has tracked $54,082 in smart money across 11 signals. Recent alerts include a 4-wallet Paolini surge, a 3-wallet underdog push, and sharp activity pressing the favorite side.
Is Jasmine Paolini attracting sharp betting interest?
Yes, recent alert activity includes a 4-wallet Paolini surge and a 4-wallet surge led by a sharp wallet, suggesting notable smart money attention on her side of the market.
When does the Siegemund vs Paolini market resolve?
The market is scheduled to resolve after the Madrid Open match winner is determined, with a listed resolution deadline of April 30, 2026 at 09:00 UTC.
How does this Polymarket event resolve?
The market resolves to Laura Siegemund if she advances, or to Jasmine Paolini if she advances. If the match is canceled, tied, or delayed beyond the stated rules without a winner, special resolution rules may apply.