Madrid Open: Katerina Siniakova vs Caty McNally
15 signals across 1 market · $60,307 tracked · resolves May 3, 2026
This Madrid Open prediction market tracks who will advance between Katerina Siniakova and Caty McNally. PolySpotter is monitoring the event’s Polymarket odds alongside $60,307 in tracked smart money, including sharp-wallet clusters, dip buying, and a high win-rate bettor backing McNally.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- Sharp cluster piling into favorite
Three wallets piled into Caty McNally for $17.5k during a 67x volume spike, led by a wallet with a 93% win rate and a repeat new whale, making this coordinated sports flow worth following.
$19,687Score: 14.4 - Sharp 3-wallet tennis cluster
Three wallets piled into Siniakova at 44-64¢ during a 41x volume spike, led by two highly profitable bettors with strong long-run records, making this coordinated sports flow worth following despite the market now having fully moved.
$8,164Score: 13.5 - 91% winner led McNally buy
Three wallets piled into Caty McNally around 20¢ just before the market repriced to 52%, led by a serial cross-market bettor with a 91% win rate.
$5,551Score: 12.4 - Sharp bettor buying the dip
A highly profitable serial sports trader with a 72% win rate bought into a coordinated three-wallet push on Siniakova during a 51x volume spike after a sharp price drop.
$2,101Wallet win rate: 72%Score: 12.1 - Sharp bettor fading collapse
A highly profitable serial sports trader with a massive sample size bought Katerina Siniakova at 51¢ amid coordinated one-sided flow, making this a notable sharp-bettor entry despite the market moving hard against it afterward.
$2,904Wallet win rate: 72%Score: 10.9 - 91% win-rate bettor buying dip
A 91% win-rate serial cross-market bettor bought Siniakova aggressively, and this market also saw coordinated one-sided buying despite a sharp subsequent collapse in price.
$1,171Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 10.9 - Sharp sports bettor buy
A high-volume serial cross-market sports bettor with a massive proven track record bought into a sharp pre-match move, making this a notable sharp-money tennis signal despite the position being briefly underwater.
$1,777Wallet win rate: 72%Score: 8.5 - Sharp cross-market sports bettor
A high-volume serial sports trader with a 72% win rate and $6.4M profit bought Caty McNally during a sharp pre-match volume surge, making this a credible follow signal despite the modest single-ticket size.
$2,619Wallet win rate: 72%Score: 7.3 - Sharp bettor fading price drop
A proven high-volume sports bettor with a 72% win rate and $6.4M profit bought Siniakova before a sharp market move, making this a notable sharp-bettor signal despite the trade being small relative to market liquidity.
$1,155Wallet win rate: 72%Score: 7.0 - Repeat new wallet cluster
A very new wallet with repeated large betting activity joined two other wallets in a one-sided buy on Caty McNally during a sharp volume spike, suggesting coordinated conviction despite the market later retracing.
$1,486Wallet win rate: 99%Score: 6.8
Top wallets in this event
- 0xfe787d…0319$14,174 · 1 market · 7 alerts · 72% wins
- 0x56c9fb…0d9e$6,694 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 92% wins
- 0x555fbc…9525$3,363 · 1 market · 1 alert · 83% wins
- 0x469861…d7a5$1,486 · 1 market · 1 alert · 99% wins
- 0x8f764c…aea6$1,188 · 1 market · 1 alert · 80% wins
FAQs
What are the Siniakova vs McNally odds on Polymarket?
The Polymarket odds reflect the market-implied chances that either Katerina Siniakova or Caty McNally advances in their Madrid Open match. PolySpotter tracks those prices in real time along with smart money activity behind each side.
What is the smart money doing on Siniakova vs McNally?
PolySpotter has tracked $60,307 in smart money across 15 signals for this event. Recent alerts include a sharp cluster piling into the favorite, a 3-wallet tennis cluster, and a 91% win-rate bettor buying a McNally dip.
Who are sharp bettors backing in this Madrid Open market?
Recent signals suggest notable sharp activity around both the favorite and dip-buying opportunities, with one alert specifically highlighting a 91% winner-led McNally buy. Check the live market data to see how that flow is affecting the current odds.
When does the Siniakova vs McNally market resolve?
The market is scheduled to resolve once the match winner is determined, with the event resolving by May 3, 2026 at 09:00 UTC if played within the market rules.
How does this Polymarket tennis market settle?
The market resolves to Katerina Siniakova if she advances, or to Caty McNally if McNally advances. If the match is canceled, tied, or delayed beyond seven days without a winner, special resolution rules may apply.