WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 18?
4 signals across 1 market · $8,472 tracked · resolves May 18, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks whether the active-month WTI crude oil futures close on May 18, 2026 will finish higher or lower than the prior trading day. Traders are pricing the daily oil move through Up and Down outcomes, with PolySpotter currently tracking $2,839 in smart money and a recent signal showing an 88% winner buying oil Down.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- 88% serial sharp buying Up
A highly proven 88% winner with $210k lifetime profit is effectively buying Up on WTI after heavy cross-market activity and a sharp recent move.
$1,611Wallet win rate: 87%Score: 6.5 - 95% serial cross-market trader
A high-frequency cross-market trader with a 95% resolved hit rate bought Down as the market rapidly repriced toward that outcome.
$3,000Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 6.5 - Profitable serial macro trader
Profitable serial cross-market trader with a 62% record over 265 resolved bets bought WTI Up at 54¢, though the position size is modest.
$1,022Wallet win rate: 62%Score: 3.0 - 88% winner buying oil Down
A highly proven cross-market trader with an 88% resolved-bet win rate bought WTI Down at 23¢, and the market has already moved to 30¢.
$2,839Wallet win rate: 87%Score: 2.5
Top wallets in this event
- 0x40604c…3ec3$4,450 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 87% wins
- 0xe61786…f251$3,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins
- 0x5f45b6…a77a$1,022 · 1 market · 1 alert · 62% wins
FAQs
What are the WTI crude oil May 18 prediction market odds?
The odds reflect how Polymarket traders are pricing whether WTI crude oil closes Up or Down on May 18, 2026 versus the most recent prior trading day. Check the live market prices for the latest implied probabilities.
What is the smart money doing in this WTI oil market?
PolySpotter has tracked $2,839 in smart money activity across this event. The latest alert headline showed an 88% winner buying oil Down, suggesting notable sharp interest on the downside outcome.
How does this WTI Crude Oil Up or Down market resolve?
The event resolves to Up if the active-month WTI crude oil futures close on May 18, 2026 is higher than the prior trading day's close. It resolves to Down if that close is lower.
When does the WTI crude oil May 18 market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve by May 18, 2026 at 21:00 UTC, after the relevant WTI futures closing price is available.