Part of: Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

This Polymarket covers the Counter-Strike 2 best-of-three match between TheMongolz and Team Falcons in Round 4 of the PGL Astana Group Stage. PolySpotter is tracking $3,352 in smart money activity and 1 smart money signal, with recent alerts highlighting Falcons-focused buying and sharp esports wallet activity. The market resolves to the team that wins the match, with resolution scheduled for May 12, 2026.

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between TheMongolz and Team Falcons in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "TheMongolz" if TheMongolz win the match against Team Falcons. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win the match against TheMongolz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

34 smart money signals detected, totaling $114,992.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

70% winner backing underdog

Profitable serial cross-market trader sold Team Falcons, equivalent to buying TheMongolz, alongside one-sided underdog flow and a pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 70% of 82 resolved trades and is up $37.8K lifetime.
  • Three wallets are all backing the same side, totaling $6.1K on TheMongolz.
  • Entry at 22¢ implies they see the underdog as a roughly 4.5x opportunity.

$3,352 on TheMongolz | Wallet win rate: 70%

Elite 92% sports bettor

Elite serial cross-market bettor with a 92% win rate and $2.3M profit bought TheMongolz despite the price later falling below entry.

  • This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $2.3M lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader with 326 events and $3.7M tracked volume.
  • The entry was 78¢, but the market is now around 62¢, giving a cheaper follow-in than the sharp paid.

$2,080 on TheMongolz | Wallet win rate: 92%

97% winner joined cluster

Elite 97% win-rate wallet bought TheMongolz at 55¢ alongside one-sided flow from four wallets and a fast price move to 74¢.

  • This bettor has won 38 of 39 resolved bets and is up $33.5K lifetime.
  • Four wallets bought TheMongolz the same way, totaling $10.4K in one-sided flow.
  • The entry was 55¢ and the market quickly moved to 74¢, suggesting the trade was early to the move.

$1,375 on TheMongolz | Wallet win rate: 97%

80% winner joins one-sided flow

A proven 80% winner with major cross-market history made a $6.9k TheMongolz buy, alongside one-sided flow from 4 wallets and a fast price move.

  • This bettor has won 80% of 332 resolved bets and is up $15.3k lifetime.
  • Four wallets all bought TheMongolz in the same window, totaling $10.4k on one side.
  • TheMongolz jumped 12 points in under 3 minutes, suggesting fast momentum behind the move.

$6,934 on TheMongolz | Wallet win rate: 80%

Profitable serial esports bettor

Profitable serial cross-market trader bought TheMongolz before a sharp 12-point move amid a 15x pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor is up $135k lifetime with a 62% record across 92 resolved bets.
  • They have traded 30 related events and $121k across cross-market positions, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
  • They bought TheMongolz at 53¢ before the market quickly moved to 63¢ on a 15x volume spike.

$1,005 on TheMongolz | Wallet win rate: 62%

Profitable esports sharp buying

Profitable 76% winner bought TheMongolz at 39¢ amid a sharp volume spike and rapid upward price move.

  • This bettor wins 76% of resolved bets and is up $6.2K lifetime.
  • They bought TheMongolz at 39¢ as volume spiked 18.7x before the match.
  • The market moved up about 12 points in under 3 minutes, supporting the same direction.

$3,150 on TheMongolz | Wallet win rate: 76%

7-wallet Falcons flow

High composite alert driven by 7 wallets taking the Team Falcons side, a 15.7x volume spike, and a positive-P&L serial cross-market trader selling TheMongolz.

  • 7 wallets are all betting Team Falcons, totaling about $15.2K on the same side.
  • This bettor has traded 321 resolved markets and is up about $9.8K lifetime.
  • Market volume is running 15.7x above normal, suggesting unusual pre-match attention.

$1,270 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 57%

Profitable bettor joins 7-wallet flow

A profitable serial cross-market bettor joined a 7-wallet one-sided move into Team Falcons amid a large pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor is up $30.9k lifetime across 375 resolved bets, with heavy experience across 99 events.
  • Seven wallets bought Team Falcons the same way, totaling $15.2k in one-sided flow.
  • Market volume spiked 15.7x before the match, supporting the idea that money is concentrating on Falcons.

$3,050 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 59%

Profitable esports flow cluster

Strong coordinated Team Falcons buying from 7 wallets is supported by a profitable serial cross-market esports trader and a major pre-event volume spike.

  • 7 wallets bought the same Team Falcons side for $15.2K, showing coordinated one-way conviction.
  • This bettor has traded 77 markets across 51 events and is up $58.4K lifetime.
  • Volume is 15.7x above normal ahead of the match, with entry at 61¢ matching the current Falcons lean.

$2,440 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 57%

Sharp cross-market esports bettor

Sharp esports wallet with a 79% historical win rate is buying TheMongolz alongside one-sided flow and a fast price move.

  • This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $91,737 lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 29 events with the same 79% hit rate.
  • Four wallets bought TheMongolz in the same window, helping push the price up 12 points in under 3 minutes.

$1,916 on TheMongolz | Wallet win rate: 79%

Top Holders

  1. 0x0dcf...c556 TheMongolz, $52,959 (93% win rate)
  2. 0x5e6e...be00 Team Falcons, $52,429 (51% win rate)
  3. 0xdd88...dadb TheMongolz, $43,472 (58% win rate)
  4. 0x3af1...d739 Team Falcons, $34,557 (42% win rate)
  5. 0x3b4c...e850 Team Falcons, $30,000
  6. 0x880b...c98b TheMongolz, $28,642 (62% win rate)
  7. 0x8fbb...9a17 TheMongolz, $27,609 (73% win rate)
  8. 0x30c7...ac3b Team Falcons, $25,000 (61% win rate)
  9. 0xa7df...5eee Team Falcons, $23,765 (51% win rate)
  10. 0x5faf...1183 TheMongolz, $23,144 (32% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

2hCounter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage$114,992 tracked34 signalsEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports
TheMongolz
0¢
Team Falcons
100¢

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between TheMongolz and Team Falcons in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "TheMongolz" if TheMongolz win the match against Team Falcons. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win the match against TheMongolz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price History — “Team Falcons
102¢
81¢
59¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

25m ago

$3,352 on TheMongolz at 22¢

22¢0¢22¢

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

34m ago

$2,080 on TheMongolz at 78¢

78¢0¢78¢

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

40m ago

$1,375 on TheMongolz at 55¢

55¢0¢55¢

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

46m ago

$6,934 on TheMongolz at 82¢

82¢0¢82¢

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

1h ago

$1,005 on TheMongolz at 53¢

53¢0¢53¢

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

1h ago

$3,150 on TheMongolz at 39¢

39¢0¢39¢

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

1h ago

$1,270 on Team Falcons at 60¢

60¢100¢40¢

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

1h ago

$3,050 on Team Falcons at 60¢

60¢100¢40¢

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

1h ago

$2,440 on Team Falcons at 61¢

61¢100¢39¢

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

1h ago

$1,916 on TheMongolz at 40¢

40¢0¢40¢

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

25m ago

$10,108 on Team Falcons at 62¢

62¢100¢38¢

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

1h ago

$1,212 on TheMongolz at 38¢

38¢0¢38¢

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

1h ago

$3,000 on Team Falcons at 68¢

68¢100¢32¢

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

1h ago

$2,602 on TheMongolz at 38¢

38¢0¢38¢

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

1h ago

$1,682 on Team Falcons at 87¢

87¢100¢13¢

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

2h ago

$3,488 on Team Falcons at 80¢

80¢100¢20¢

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

2h ago

$2,344 on Team Falcons at 72¢

72¢100¢28¢

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

2h ago

$1,304 on Team Falcons at 74¢

74¢100¢26¢

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

20m ago

$5,623 on TheMongolz at 22¢

22¢0¢22¢

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

2h ago

$10,292 on Team Falcons at 72¢

72¢100¢28¢

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

3h ago

$2,938 on Team Falcons at 65¢

65¢100¢35¢

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

3h ago

$1,407 on TheMongolz at 37¢

37¢0¢37¢

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

3h ago

$1,644 on Team Falcons at 61¢

61¢100¢39¢

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

3h ago

$2,895 on Team Falcons at 63¢

63¢100¢37¢

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

34m ago

$5,243 on Team Falcons at 46¢

46¢100¢54¢

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

3h ago

$1,616 on TheMongolz at 38¢

38¢0¢38¢

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

3h ago

$2,000 on TheMongolz at 38¢

38¢0¢38¢

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

3h ago

$1,900 on TheMongolz at 38¢

38¢0¢38¢

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

3h ago

$3,950 on TheMongolz at 38¢

38¢0¢38¢

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

3h ago

$9,231 on TheMongolz at 39¢

39¢0¢39¢

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

1h ago

$8,935 on TheMongolz at 40¢

40¢0¢40¢

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

4h ago

$1,850 on TheMongolz at 37¢

37¢0¢37¢

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

12h ago

$1,630 on TheMongolz at 35¢

35¢0¢35¢

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

14h ago

$1,527 on Team Falcons at 64¢

64¢100¢36¢

Related Theses