Part of: Roland Garros ATP: Cristian Garin vs Learner Tien
Roland Garros ATP: Cristian Garin vs Learner Tien
This Polymarket prediction market covers who will advance in the Roland Garros ATP match between Cristian Garin and Learner Tien, originally scheduled for May 24, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. The market resolves to the player who wins and advances, with final resolution expected by May 31, 2026. PolySpotter is tracking $1,037 in smart money activity, including a signal from a profitable sports regular backing Learner Tien.
This market refers to the tennis match between Cristian Garin and Learner Tien in the Roland Garros ATP, originally scheduled for May 24, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Cristian Garin' if Cristian Garin advances against Learner Tien. This market will resolve to 'Learner Tien' if Learner Tien advances against Cristian Garin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $4,719.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
93% winner backs Tien
Surfaced because a proven sports bettor with a 93% resolved-bet record is buying Learner Tien despite only modest supporting market signals.
- This bettor has won 52 of 56 resolved bets and is profitable lifetime.
- They put $1,037 on Learner Tien at 62¢ in a relatively small tennis market.
- Entry at 62¢ suggests they see Tien as meaningfully more likely than the market's current 60% odds.
$1,037 on Learner Tien | Wallet win rate: 93%
Profitable sports regular in thin market
Profitable high-volume sports bettor put $3.7K on Learner Tien in a thin tennis market, with the position large relative to liquidity and prior activity.
- This bettor is up $292K across 799 resolved bets, with heavy activity across hundreds of sports markets.
- They bought $3.7K of Learner Tien at 59¢, a large position for a market with only $5.7K liquidity.
- The bet landed in a quiet match market, where a sharp regular may have more edge than the crowd.
$3,682 on Learner Tien | Wallet win rate: 57%
Top Holders
- 0xbc43...96d3 — Cristian Garin, $6,273 (68% win rate)
- 0xf164...8fa4 — Learner Tien, $6,241 (57% win rate)
- 0x204f...5e14 — Cristian Garin, $2,046 (55% win rate)
- 0xc251...a5d3 — Learner Tien, $1,717 (93% win rate)
- 0x8a4e...1ba4 — Learner Tien, $1,613 (48% win rate)
- 0xdb83...1e50 — Cristian Garin, $902 (68% win rate)
- 0x21f3...35e3 — Cristian Garin, $555 (74% win rate)
- 0x0b14...3ca3 — Learner Tien, $521 (81% win rate)
- 0xd410...3a1b — Cristian Garin, $236 (44% win rate)
- 0xda16...6da2 — Cristian Garin, $168
Related Theses
Bahia Cruzeiro stays low scoring
Covers 1 related market
Sociedad B fails to win
Covers 1 related market
9z upsets Team Falcons
Covers 1 related market
Málaga CF won't win
Covers 1 related market
