Part of: World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?
World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $12,023.
Categories: FIFA World Cup, 2026 FIFA World Cup, Soccer, Sports, Team Props, Tournament Futures
Notable Trades
New repeat bettor
A 10-day-old wallet with repeated large flagged bets put $3.1k into a quiet long-dated World Cup prop, making this a notable conviction trade despite no resolved track record yet.
- A 10-day-old wallet is already making repeated large bets, with $15.1k flagged across 7 alerts.
- This $3.1k buy was more than 3.6x the market’s 24-hour volume, showing conviction in a quiet market.
- Entry at 75¢ implies the bettor sees an unbeaten champion as highly likely.
$3,166 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 72%
Sharp bettor fading favorite
Surfaced via sharp-wallet override: an 80% winning, profitable bettor is fading Yes with a $3.1k trade that exceeded recent market volume.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $12.3k lifetime.
- The $3.1k trade was larger than the market’s recent 24h volume, showing real conviction.
- Selling Yes at 75¢ is equivalent to buying No at 25¢, a bet against the current favorite.
$3,122 on No | Wallet win rate: 90%
New repeat bettor
A 10-day-old wallet with repeated large flagged bets put $3.1k into a quiet long-dated World Cup prop, making this a notable conviction trade despite no resolved track record yet.
- A 10-day-old wallet is already making repeated large bets, with $15.1k flagged across 7 alerts.
- This $3.1k buy was more than 3.6x the market’s 24-hour volume, showing conviction in a quiet market.
- Entry at 75¢ implies the bettor sees an unbeaten champion as highly likely.
$3,093 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 72%
Proven sports bettor
Surfaced despite a weak low-activity signal because the bettor has a strong 117-bet track record and positive lifetime P&L.
- This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up $5.5K lifetime.
- They bought Yes at 74¢, slightly above the current 72–73¢ market, showing willingness to pay for the position.
- The market is relatively quiet, so a $1.2K buy is a meaningful directional bet.
$1,237 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 79%
6-wallet funded cluster
High-severity funded-wallet cluster with a profitable wallet taking a meaningful No position in a relatively quiet long-dated World Cup market.
- This wallet is part of a 6-wallet group sharing the same funder, with this funder seen in prior alerts.
- The bettor is up about $170K lifetime despite a modest 58% hit rate, suggesting profitable sizing.
- This $1.4K No buy was large versus recent activity, equal to about 63% of the market’s 24h volume.
$1,405 on No | Wallet win rate: 60%
Top Holders
- 0x00c8...9ccd — Outcome 68785600, $138,840 (75% win rate)
- 0x152f...a549 — Outcome 68785600, $80,787 (31% win rate)
- 0x5b63...11a4 — Outcome 68785600, $60,066 (69% win rate)
- 0x4f6f...d024 — Outcome 68785600, $33,530 (76% win rate)
- 0x27de...1dde — Outcome 68785600, $20,000
- 0x2756...7737 — Outcome 68785600, $10,389
- 0x7c1e...b878 — Outcome 68785600, $10,183
- 0xe542...0a37 — Outcome 68785600, $10,000 (62% win rate)
- 0x4da7...7abd — Outcome 68785600, $4,846 (60% win rate)
- 0x63bd...aff2 — Outcome 68785600, $4,505
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