Part of: Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics
Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics
This prediction market covers the May 26 MLB game between the Seattle Mariners and the Athletics, resolving to the team that wins. PolySpotter is tracking $18,070 in smart money across 3 signals, with recent alerts highlighting sharp activity on both sides, including Mariners buying and an Athletics buy from a high-win-rate wallet. The market is scheduled to resolve after the game is completed, with cancellation or a tie resolving 50-50.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Seattle Mariners and Athletics, scheduled for May 26 at 9:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners" if the Seattle Mariners win the game. This market will resolve to "Athletics" if the Athletics win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
13 smart money signals detected, totaling $277,534.
Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball
Notable Trades
$3.1M profitable serial trader
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with a long track record bought Seattle during a sharp upward price move.
- This bettor has 7,174 resolved bets, wins 68%, and is up $3.1M lifetime.
- They are a serial trader across 628 events, with $5.5M tracked in similar cross-market activity.
- The buy came during a fast 28-point move toward Seattle, entering at 73¢ while the market now sits around 74–75¢.
$5,000 on Seattle Mariners | Wallet win rate: 68%
Profitable serial sports trader
Profitable high-volume sports bettor bought Seattle during a sharp upward move, though the position is small versus market liquidity and currently below entry.
- This bettor is up $77.9k across 717 resolved markets, with a 59% hit rate.
- Seattle moved up 28 percentage points in under 5 minutes around this trade.
- The buy came at 79¢, implying confidence despite the market now sitting closer to 74¢.
$1,460 on Seattle Mariners | Wallet win rate: 59%
Profitable whales piling in
Three profitable high-volume bettors bought the Mariners together, driving a large one-sided move in an active MLB market.
- Three profitable wallets bought $11.6K of Mariners shares in the same direction.
- The lead wallet is up $3.1M lifetime with a 68% win rate across 7,174 resolved bets.
- This flow helped push Mariners odds up about 31 points, from the high-40s to the mid-70s.
$11,610 on Seattle Mariners
Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable high-volume sports bettor bought Mariners at 48¢ alongside a rapid upward price move.
- This bettor wins 64% of resolved trades and is up about $605k lifetime.
- They have traded across 202 events with over $1.09M in cross-market volume.
- Bought Seattle at 48¢ during a fast 28-point upward move, suggesting momentum behind the position.
$1,171 on Seattle Mariners | Wallet win rate: 64%
Profitable serial sports bettor
A high-volume, profitable serial sports trader is taking a $54k position against Seattle, effectively backing the Athletics at 52¢.
- This bettor has a long track record: 409 resolved trades, a 64% win rate, and $131k in profit.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 43 events with $1.65M in tracked bets.
- The $54k sell on Seattle is effectively a buy on the Athletics at 52¢.
$54,295 on Athletics | Wallet win rate: 64%
Repeat new MLB bettor
Repeat new wallet is making another sizable MLB bet after multiple flagged bets and early profitability, though the track record is still very small.
- This new wallet has now been flagged 7 times, with $11.7k in notable bets.
- It is already up $2.3k on $6.1k invested, though only 1 resolved bet is on record.
- Buying Seattle at 50¢ is a clean even-money conviction in a very liquid MLB market.
$2,896 on Seattle Mariners | Wallet win rate: 100%
New profitable wallet scaling in
A repeat-flagged new wallet is putting $4.0k on Seattle after already showing early profit, though the track record is still very small.
- This new wallet has been flagged 5 times for large bets, totaling about $9.2k.
- It is already up $2.3k on $6.1k invested, though only 1 bet has resolved so far.
- The bettor added $4.0k on Seattle at 50¢ in a liquid MLB market.
$4,007 on Seattle Mariners | Wallet win rate: 100%
99% winner buys Athletics
Elite sports bettor with a 99% resolved win rate and $520k lifetime profit bought Athletics at 51¢.
- This bettor has won 213 of 216 resolved bets and is up $520k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market sports trader across 188 events with a 99% hit rate.
- Entry at 51¢ is a near-even-money bet from a wallet with an exceptional track record.
$5,559 on Athletics | Wallet win rate: 99%
Profitable cluster buying underdog
Four experienced, profitable wallets — including a linked pair and a $13.4M lifetime winner — are all effectively buying Athletics at 21¢ despite the market moving toward Seattle.
- Four seasoned wallets are all effectively buying Athletics at 21¢.
- One wallet is up $13.4M lifetime with a 64% record across 3,071 resolved bets.
- Two wallets share a funder, adding weight to the coordinated underdog position.
$4,217 on Athletics
Sharp sports bettor plus cluster
A proven high-volume sports bettor with a 64% record and positive lifetime P&L made a $60k Mariners buy alongside one-sided cluster flow and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 64% of resolved bets across 409 markets and is up $131k lifetime.
- They put $60k on Seattle at 50¢, implying a near-even game where they see the Mariners mispriced.
- Three wallets bought the Mariners for $112k total as volume spiked over 1,500x versus normal.
$60,199 on Seattle Mariners | Wallet win rate: 64%
Top Holders
- 0xfe78...0319 — Seattle Mariners, $114,455 (71% win rate)
- 0xb45a...192c — Seattle Mariners, $100,000 (45% win rate)
- 0x7a88...41cc — Athletics, $65,312 (59% win rate)
- 0x1136...0c2e — Athletics, $56,586 (53% win rate)
- 0x4f29...7a7e — Seattle Mariners, $21,684 (54% win rate)
- 0x9c76...c926 — Athletics, $21,093 (90% win rate)
- 0x3625...1187 — Athletics, $19,943 (98% win rate)
- 0x1117...3532 — Athletics, $17,500 (63% win rate)
- 0x2c33...0563 — Athletics, $14,871 (60% win rate)
- 0xd48a...6e90 — Athletics, $14,345 (68% win rate)
Related Theses
Thunder win by seven
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