Part of: Patriots vs. Bears

Spread: Bears (-6.5)

In the upcoming NFL football game between Patriots and Bears, scheduled for October 22 at 8:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Bears" if the Bears win the game by 7 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Patriots". Overtime is included if played. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $46,332.

Categories: Sports, NFL (All), Games

Notable Trades

93% winner bought Patriots early

A highly profitable bettor with 1,601 resolved positions bought Patriots at 69¢, and the market has since moved to about 88¢; the wallet also positioned across 10 markets in this event.

  • This bettor has won 93% of 1,601 resolved positions and is up $8.37M.
  • They bought Patriots at 69¢; the market now prices them around 88¢.
  • The wallet has traded 10 markets tied to this event, with $66,803 in activity.

$1,710 on Patriots | Wallet win rate: 92%

Sharp bettor leads three-wallet Patriots cluster

Three wallets bought Patriots for $20,212 during a 142x volume spike, led by a bettor with a 93% win rate and substantial historical edge.

  • Three wallets put $20,212 on Patriots, including a bettor with a 93% win rate across 406 resolved positions.
  • The market saw a 142x volume spike, and the lead bettor has earned $2.69M on roughly $12M invested.
  • They entered around 55¢; Patriots have since fallen to about 40¢, so this is a sizable bet against recent price movement.

$18,363 on Patriots

93% winner adds to Patriots position

A highly profitable bettor with 406 resolved positions and a reported 93% win rate added a $12.9K Patriots position amid a major event-volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 377 of 406 resolved positions and is up about $2.69M.
  • They added $12,911 to Patriots at 55¢, building on an existing $23,474 position.
  • Trading across three markets in this event coincided with a 137.5× volume spike.

$12,911 on Patriots | Wallet win rate: 92%

Profitable whale buying Patriots

A highly profitable, very active trader placed about $7,000 on Patriots amid a 137.5x volume spike and broader positioning across six markets in the event.

  • This bettor is up more than $7 million across over 63,000 resolved bets, though their 55% win rate alone does not establish an edge on this trade.
  • They put about $7,000 on Patriots as market volume surged to 137.5 times its historical average, with additional bets across six event markets.

$7,049 on Patriots | Wallet win rate: 55%

Proven 82% winner backs Patriots

A highly profitable bettor with an 82% win rate is selling Bears, equivalent to buying Patriots, and has extensive cross-market activity.

  • This bettor has won 82% of 483 resolved positions and is up $655,750.
  • Selling Bears at 35¢ is equivalent to buying Patriots at 65¢; this trader has positioned across 165 events.

$1,229 on Patriots | Wallet win rate: 83%

Profitable serial trader backs Patriots

A highly profitable serial trader with a strong long-term record placed about $5,070 on Patriots in an exceptionally quiet spread market.

  • This bettor has won 71% of 4,766 resolved bets and is up about $2.19M.
  • They put roughly $5,070 on Patriots at 64¢ in a market with just $185 in 24-hour volume.
  • The wallet has traded across 261 events, showing a sustained pattern beyond this single bet.

$5,070 on Patriots | Wallet win rate: 71%

Top Holders

  1. 0x226b...cad6 — Bears, $7,937 (74% win rate)
  2. 0x885f...8ed9 — Bears, $1,834 (93% win rate)
  3. 0xd1ed...d7cb — Bears, $983 (65% win rate)
  4. 0x7609...6c4e — Bears, $500 (81% win rate)
  5. 0xbfec...4c6c — Bears, $371 (76% win rate)
  6. 0x35de...b39a — Bears, $259
  7. 0xffd8...1faa — Bears, $103 (96% win rate)
  8. 0xd2e7...08e9 — Bears, $80
  9. 0x0d48...93b0 — Bears, $65
  10. 0xfc08...a137 — Bears, $63 (56% win rate)

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Spread: Bears (-6.5)

Patriots vs. Bears$46,332 tracked6 signalsSportsNFL (All)Games
Bears
0¢
Patriots
100¢

In the upcoming NFL football game between Patriots and Bears, scheduled for October 22 at 8:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Bears" if the Bears win the game by 7 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Patriots". Overtime is included if played. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Notable Trades

Spread: Bears (-6.5)

2026-10-23 03:25 UTC

$1,710 on Patriots at 87¢

87¢→100¢↑13¢

Spread: Bears (-6.5)

2026-10-23 02:15 UTC

$18,363 on Patriots at 55¢

55¢→100¢↑45¢

Spread: Bears (-6.5)

2026-10-23 02:05 UTC

$12,911 on Patriots at 55¢

55¢→100¢↑45¢

Spread: Bears (-6.5)

2026-10-23 02:05 UTC

$7,049 on Patriots at 54¢

54¢→100¢↑46¢

Spread: Bears (-6.5)

2026-10-23 00:14 UTC

$1,229 on Patriots at 65¢

65¢→100¢↑35¢

Spread: Bears (-6.5)

2026-10-22 17:48 UTC

$5,070 on Patriots at 64¢

64¢→100¢↑36¢

Related Theses