Part of: Eurovision 2026: Top 3

Will Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?

This prediction market asks whether Israel will finish Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 3 highest-scoring entries. The market is set to resolve based on official Eurovision results, with a scheduled resolution date of May 16, 2026, and may resolve “No” earlier if Israel is eliminated or cannot finish top 3. PolySpotter currently tracks $1,327 in smart money on this market, including a recent signal from a perfect-record bettor buying “No.”

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 3 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 3 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,327.

Categories: Culture, Eurovision, Music, Awards

Notable Trades

Perfect-record bettor buys NO

Despite only a weak low-activity signal, the buyer has an 11-0 resolved record with positive lifetime P&L and is taking a meaningful No position in a niche market.

  • This bettor has won 100% of their 11 resolved trades and is up $3,470 lifetime.
  • They bought $1.3K of No, about 23% of the market’s 24h volume.
  • Entry at 65¢ suggests a conservative bet that Israel misses the Eurovision top 3.

$1,327 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%

Top Holders

  1. 0x066a...550d — Yes, $5,800 (60% win rate)
  2. 0x0637...8e23 — No, $3,907
  3. 0x7d3f...fec2 — No, $2,041 (100% win rate)
  4. 0x3c59...1766 — Yes, $988 (70% win rate)
  5. 0xefac...c9a1 — No, $936 (56% win rate)
  6. 0xa5e3...4d7e — No, $444 (19% win rate)
  7. 0xf4f8...5bf1 — No, $422
  8. 0x0781...c4ff — No, $400
  9. 0x7b17...51b1 — No, $311
  10. 0xeda0...7dff — Yes, $300

Will Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?

1dEurovision 2026: Top 3$1,327 tracked1 signalCultureEurovisionMusicAwards
Yes
34¢
No
66¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 3 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 3 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Price History — “No”
78¢
69¢
61¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?

2h ago

$1,327 on No at 65¢

65¢→66¢↑1¢