Part of: San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardians

San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardians

7 smart money signals detected, totaling $31,919.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

Funded cluster backing Padres

A three-wallet funded cluster is adding concentrated exposure to the Padres, with the trader entering at 85% before the price rose to 95%.

  • Three wallets sharing a funder put $1,603 into the Padres at 85%.
  • The price has since risen 10 percentage points to 95%, supporting the direction of the trade.
  • This wallet is adding to an existing Padres position, showing increased conviction despite an uneven 42% win rate across 2,439 resolved bets.

$1,603 on San Diego Padres | Wallet win rate: 42%

Serial trader buys Padres after breakout

A highly active profitable trader bought Padres after a 34-point breakout, though the entry follows a sharp repricing and offers limited remaining edge.

  • This bettor has resolved 39,368 trades, a 63% win rate, and over $37 million in reported profit.
  • The Padres price jumped roughly 34 percentage points beyond its prior range, with this $1,362 purchase adding to the breakout.
  • The 85¢ entry is already expensive, so the trade is worth studying but has less upside than an earlier entry.

$1,362 on San Diego Padres | Wallet win rate: 65%

95% win-rate serial bettor

An exceptionally proven bettor with 7,754 resolved positions and a large edge bought San Diego despite the market moving sharply against them.

  • This bettor has won 95% of 7,754 resolved positions and is up $1.54 million.
  • They bought San Diego at 47¢ despite the price falling to 32%, creating a notable contrarian position.
  • The wallet has traded across 610 events and 1,285 markets, indicating extensive and repeatable activity.

$1,926 on San Diego Padres | Wallet win rate: 95%

93% win-rate sharp backs Padres

A highly profitable bettor with a 93% win rate and substantial demonstrated edge is buying the Padres at 48 cents.

  • This bettor wins 93% of trades across 242 resolved positions and is up $329,616.
  • The 40-point edge over average implied odds is unusually strong, making this a credible sharp-bettor signal.
  • The Padres are being bought at 48¢ in a liquid market, with the price still near fair two-sided trading levels.

$1,500 on San Diego Padres | Wallet win rate: 92%

99% win-rate sharp buying Cleveland

A highly proven bettor with a 99% win rate and substantial edge is buying Cleveland at 55 cents.

  • This bettor has won 1,819 of 1,836 resolved positions, with $17.1 million in lifetime profit.
  • The trade backs Cleveland at 55¢ while the market is near 56%, indicating strong conviction from a historically exceptional bettor.
  • The wallet has traded across 958 events and more than 1,000 markets, providing a large sample behind its track record.

$1,177 on Cleveland Guardians | Wallet win rate: 99%

93% win-rate serial bettor

A highly profitable serial trader with a 93% win rate and 441 resolved positions made a fresh $10.4K bet on San Diego at 45¢.

  • This bettor has won 93% of 441 resolved trades and is up $3.39 million.
  • They placed a fresh $10,422 bet on San Diego at 45¢, despite the market pricing the team near a coin flip.
  • The wallet has traded 644 markets across 549 events, providing an unusually large track record for this signal.

$10,422 on San Diego Padres | Wallet win rate: 94%

34-0 sharp scaling into Cleveland

A proven 34-0 bettor with a 100% win rate and major positive edge is adding $13,929 to an existing Cleveland Guardians position in a thin market.

  • This bettor has won all 34 resolved positions, with a $256,840 profit and an average entry price of 54%.
  • They added $13,929 to an existing Cleveland position, bringing their investment in the outcome to roughly $39,254.
  • The trade was nearly three times the market's 24-hour volume, signaling unusually strong conviction despite the thin trading activity.

$13,929 on Cleveland Guardians | Wallet win rate: 100%

Top Holders

  1. 0xfd67...ef90 Outcome 34460398, $25,325 (100% win rate)
  2. 0xc3c3...eec8 Outcome 34460398, $10,000 (99% win rate)
  3. 0x5482...b6ee Outcome 34460398, $3,800
  4. 0xe8c4...395d Outcome 34460398, $3,756 (94% win rate)
  5. 0x519d...37a1 Outcome 34460398, $1,650
  6. 0x9930...696e Outcome 34460398, $1,316
  7. 0xb6ff...3535 Outcome 34460398, $1,059
  8. 0x74f9...6024 Outcome 34460398, $500
  9. 0x28ef...ff5e Outcome 34460398, $472 (97% win rate)
  10. 0x1cdd...e595 Outcome 34460398, $469

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San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardians

ResolvedSan Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardians$31,919 tracked7 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball

In the upcoming MLB game between the San Diego Padres and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for August 14 at 7:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

SD
7
66-57
Final
CLE
5
59-64
SD +111CLE -119O/U 7
Venue
Progressive Field, Cleveland
Attendance
35,726
Price History — “San Diego Padres
102¢
57¢
12¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardians

27d ago

$1,603 on San Diego Padres at 85¢

San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardians

27d ago

$1,362 on San Diego Padres at 85¢

San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardians

27d ago

$1,926 on San Diego Padres at 47¢

San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardians

27d ago

$1,500 on San Diego Padres at 48¢

San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardians

28d ago

$1,177 on Cleveland Guardians at 55¢

San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardians

28d ago

$10,422 on San Diego Padres at 45¢

San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardians

28d ago

$13,929 on Cleveland Guardians at 55¢

Related Theses