Part of: What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
This Polymarket market asks whether Bitcoin will trade at or below $45,000 on any Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle between Nov. 24, 2025 and Dec. 31, 2026. It resolves Yes if a Binance 1-minute candle low reaches $45,000 or lower; otherwise it resolves No after the deadline. PolySpotter is tracking $7,933 in smart money activity and 1 smart money signal for this BTC price prediction market.
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
50 smart money signals detected, totaling $178,247.
Categories: Bitcoin, Yearly, Hit Price, Crypto Prices, Crypto
Notable Trades
Perfect-record crypto bettor
A highly profitable wallet with a perfect 104-0 resolved record is building a broader cross-market Bitcoin downside thesis, including this $1.9k BUY No position.
- This bettor has won 104 of 104 resolved bets and is up $48.9k lifetime.
- They have positioned across 6 related Bitcoin markets with $73.6k total exposure.
- Buying No at 62¢ means they are betting Bitcoin avoids a $45k dip through 2026.
$7,933 on No | Wallet win rate: 97%
Perfect-record crypto bettor
A highly profitable wallet with a perfect 104-0 resolved record is building a broader cross-market Bitcoin downside thesis, including this $1.9k BUY No position.
- This bettor has won 104 of 104 resolved bets and is up $48.9k lifetime.
- They have positioned across 6 related Bitcoin markets with $73.6k total exposure.
- Buying No at 62¢ means they are betting Bitcoin avoids a $45k dip through 2026.
$3,052 on No | Wallet win rate: 97%
99% winner betting BTC No
Sharp wallet with a 99% resolved-bet win rate is adding a $3.2k No position as part of a $23k cross-market BTC downside thesis.
- This bettor has won 106 of 107 resolved bets and is up $76k lifetime.
- They have put $23k across 4 related Bitcoin markets, pointing to a broader view against a deep BTC dip.
- This buy at 61¢ is close to the market price, so the edge comes mainly from the bettor’s strong track record.
$3,097 on No | Wallet win rate: 97%
Perfect-record crypto bettor
A highly profitable wallet with a perfect 104-0 resolved record is building a broader cross-market Bitcoin downside thesis, including this $1.9k BUY No position.
- This bettor has won 104 of 104 resolved bets and is up $48.9k lifetime.
- They have positioned across 6 related Bitcoin markets with $73.6k total exposure.
- Buying No at 62¢ means they are betting Bitcoin avoids a $45k dip through 2026.
$3,147 on No | Wallet win rate: 97%
99% winner betting BTC No
Sharp wallet with a 99% resolved-bet win rate is adding a $3.2k No position as part of a $23k cross-market BTC downside thesis.
- This bettor has won 106 of 107 resolved bets and is up $76k lifetime.
- They have put $23k across 4 related Bitcoin markets, pointing to a broader view against a deep BTC dip.
- This buy at 61¢ is close to the market price, so the edge comes mainly from the bettor’s strong track record.
$3,688 on No | Wallet win rate: 97%
Perfect-record crypto bettor
A highly profitable wallet with a perfect 104-0 resolved record is building a broader cross-market Bitcoin downside thesis, including this $1.9k BUY No position.
- This bettor has won 104 of 104 resolved bets and is up $48.9k lifetime.
- They have positioned across 6 related Bitcoin markets with $73.6k total exposure.
- Buying No at 62¢ means they are betting Bitcoin avoids a $45k dip through 2026.
$3,173 on No | Wallet win rate: 97%
99% winner betting BTC No
Sharp wallet with a 99% resolved-bet win rate is adding a $3.2k No position as part of a $23k cross-market BTC downside thesis.
- This bettor has won 106 of 107 resolved bets and is up $76k lifetime.
- They have put $23k across 4 related Bitcoin markets, pointing to a broader view against a deep BTC dip.
- This buy at 61¢ is close to the market price, so the edge comes mainly from the bettor’s strong track record.
$3,192 on No | Wallet win rate: 97%
Perfect-record crypto bettor
A highly profitable wallet with a perfect 104-0 resolved record is building a broader cross-market Bitcoin downside thesis, including this $1.9k BUY No position.
- This bettor has won 104 of 104 resolved bets and is up $48.9k lifetime.
- They have positioned across 6 related Bitcoin markets with $73.6k total exposure.
- Buying No at 62¢ means they are betting Bitcoin avoids a $45k dip through 2026.
$2,410 on No | Wallet win rate: 97%
Perfect-record crypto bettor
A highly profitable wallet with a perfect 104-0 resolved record is building a broader cross-market Bitcoin downside thesis, including this $1.9k BUY No position.
- This bettor has won 104 of 104 resolved bets and is up $48.9k lifetime.
- They have positioned across 6 related Bitcoin markets with $73.6k total exposure.
- Buying No at 62¢ means they are betting Bitcoin avoids a $45k dip through 2026.
$1,619 on No | Wallet win rate: 97%
Perfect-record crypto bettor
A highly profitable wallet with a perfect 104-0 resolved record is building a broader cross-market Bitcoin downside thesis, including this $1.9k BUY No position.
- This bettor has won 104 of 104 resolved bets and is up $48.9k lifetime.
- They have positioned across 6 related Bitcoin markets with $73.6k total exposure.
- Buying No at 62¢ means they are betting Bitcoin avoids a $45k dip through 2026.
$1,595 on No | Wallet win rate: 97%
Top Holders
- 0x42d1...dab6 — No, $894,188
- 0x6ad9...8d2e — Yes, $689,469
- 0x1465...7072 — No, $422,932 (93% win rate)
- 0x861f...177d — Yes, $151,756 (44% win rate)
- 0x825a...8835 — Yes, $143,610 (84% win rate)
- 0x56ad...f13e — No, $120,000 (57% win rate)
- 0x9b26...2211 — Yes, $80,638
- 0xe734...4f0c — Yes, $74,533 (41% win rate)
- 0x93fb...3e4a — Yes, $62,177 (42% win rate)
- 0x8b14...d0b1 — Yes, $55,306 (71% win rate)
Related Theses
No Iran peace deal
Covers 6 related markets
Bitcoin reaches $110K, avoids $120K
Covers 7 related markets
Ethereum reaches $2,400, avoids major dips
Covers 5 related markets
Ethereum reaches $2,500, avoids $2,750
Covers 7 related markets
Bitcoin stays between $55K and $100K
Covers 6 related markets
Bitcoin will hit $45K and $85K
Covers 6 related markets
Bitcoin stays range-bound between $60K–$75K
Covers 10 related markets
Ethereum stays range-bound in May
Covers 3 related markets
Starmer exits in late May
Covers 3 related markets
