Part of: New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins
New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins
This prediction market covers the May 23 MLB game between the New York Mets and Miami Marlins, resolving to the team that wins the game. PolySpotter is tracking $19,105 in smart money activity across 3 signals, including alerts from high-win-rate sports bettors and sharp wallet clusters. The market remains open if the game is postponed and resolves 50-50 only if the game is canceled with no makeup game or ends in a tie.
In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Mets and Miami Marlins, scheduled for May 23 at 4:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game. This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
9 smart money signals detected, totaling $63,064.
Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball
Notable Trades
Profitable serial bettor
Profitable serial cross-market trader made a $15.1k Marlins buy before a sharp move from 56% to 74%, alongside a major volume spike.
- This bettor is up $87k lifetime across 102 resolved markets.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with activity across 109 events and a 61% win rate.
- Bought $15.1k of Miami at 56¢ before the market jumped to 74¢.
$15,101 on Miami Marlins | Wallet win rate: 61%
92% winner riding volume spike
Sharp profitable MLB bettor bought Miami at 56¢ before the market moved to 74¢, with a major pre-event volume spike confirming momentum.
- This bettor has won 12 of 13 resolved bets and is up $20,008 lifetime.
- They bought Miami at 56¢ before the market moved to 74¢, a strong sign they caught the move early.
- Market volume spiked 51x above normal, adding support to the same direction.
$2,517 on Miami Marlins | Wallet win rate: 92%
Repeat new MLB wallet
A fresh repeat wallet is making another meaningful contrarian MLB bet during a major pre-game volume spike, though it lacks resolved track record.
- A new wallet has now triggered twice, with $3.2K total in flagged bets despite no public track record yet.
- This bettor bought the Mets at 28¢ after the price fell 23 points, taking a contrarian underdog position.
- Market activity is 51x above its normal pace ahead of the game, suggesting the line may be reacting to fresh information.
$1,487 on New York Mets
Four-wallet sharp cluster
A four-wallet cluster including highly profitable bettors bought $26.8K of Miami Marlins amid a 100x pre-event volume spike and a sharp move from 55¢ to 64¢.
- Four wallets bought $26.8K the same way, including one bettor up $12.5M lifetime.
- One wallet has won 92% of recent resolved bets and is up $20K on $51K invested.
- The market saw a 100x volume spike, and their 55¢ average entry has already moved to 64¢.
$26,819 on Miami Marlins
$12.5M profitable sports whale
Highly profitable sports bettor is taking a concentrated Marlins position alongside an Under bet during a 54x pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor is up $12.5M lifetime with a 64% record across 2,619 resolved bets.
- They put about $6.4K on Miami at 55¢ and also bought the Under, suggesting a specific game script.
- Market activity is running 54x above its usual pace before the game.
$7,599 on Miami Marlins | Wallet win rate: 64%
Elite 87% sports bettor
Elite sports bettor with an 87% win rate and $2.56M profit bought the Mets at roughly even odds.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved bets and is up $2.56M lifetime.
- They have traded across 723 events with a strong 87% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- Entry at 49¢ implies they see the Mets as mispriced near a coin flip.
$2,081 on New York Mets | Wallet win rate: 88%
98% win-rate sports sharp
Elite sports bettor with a 98% resolved win rate and large lifetime profit is buying Miami at 52¢.
- This bettor has won 49 of 50 resolved positions and is up $346K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 60 events with over $1.0M in tracked bets.
- Buying Miami at 52¢ suggests they see value even in a liquid, tight-spread MLB market.
$2,500 on Miami Marlins | Wallet win rate: 98%
Profitable serial sports bettor
A highly profitable serial sports bettor with 1,499 resolved trades and $461k lifetime profit is buying the Mets at 49¢.
- This bettor is up $461k across 1,499 resolved trades.
- They have a long pattern of cross-market sports betting, with activity across 167 events.
- Entry at 49¢ implies a near-even-money shot on the Mets.
$1,960 on New York Mets | Wallet win rate: 67%
98% win-rate sports sharp
Elite sharp wallet with a 98% historical win rate and $1.77M profit bought Miami Marlins for $3,000 at 51¢.
- This bettor wins 98% of resolved bets and is up $1.77M lifetime.
- They have traded 468 events with a 98% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- Entry at 51¢ implies they see Miami as better than a coin flip.
$3,000 on Miami Marlins | Wallet win rate: 98%
Top Holders
- 0xfe78...0319 — New York Mets, $43,600 (72% win rate)
- 0xf152...64aa — Miami Marlins, $37,815 (66% win rate)
- 0x99a7...fc82 — New York Mets, $33,333 (54% win rate)
- 0x2dc1...b33c — Miami Marlins, $26,966 (61% win rate)
- 0x9495...9a27 — Miami Marlins, $17,647 (64% win rate)
- 0xd48a...6e90 — New York Mets, $14,933 (68% win rate)
- 0xff4b...0b1b — Miami Marlins, $13,331 (87% win rate)
- 0x5268...135d — New York Mets, $12,503 (53% win rate)
- 0x8fba...d08a — New York Mets, $10,000 (48% win rate)
- 0xfc25...1f7f — Miami Marlins, $9,895 (95% win rate)
