Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-20?

This Polymarket asks whether ACF Fiorentina will win its scheduled match on April 20, 2026, with the market resolving to Yes only if Fiorentina wins in regular time plus stoppage time. If the match ends in a draw or Fiorentina loses, the outcome is No; postponed matches stay open until played, while a full cancellation with no make-up game resolves No. Current smart money activity tracked by PolySpotter shows recent notable interest on the No side ahead of kickoff.

In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 20, 2026 If ACF Fiorentina wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

12 smart money signals detected, totaling $102,355.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, sea

Notable Trades

73% win-rate sharp bettor

A highly active cross-market trader with a strong 73% win rate and $334k profit is buying No at 56¢, making this a followable sharp-bettor signal despite the modest size and single-signal alert.

  • This bettor wins 73% of resolved trades and is up $333.8k lifetime
  • They've traded 521 markets across 397 events, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet
  • Bought No at 56¢, implying they see Fiorentina as overpriced at current odds

$2,072 on No | Wallet win rate: 73%

80% winner buys No

A highly proven wallet with an 80% win rate and nearly $3.0M in profit is making a fresh $11k buy on No, and its long history across 158 events makes this a credible copy-trade signal even in a liquid market.

  • This bettor wins 80% of 1,247 resolved trades and is up $3.0M lifetime
  • They've traded 165 markets across 158 events, so this is a seasoned operator rather than a one-off whale
  • They bought No at 55¢, a meaningful $11k position in a major soccer market

$10,986 on No | Wallet win rate: 80%

Sharp serial bettor

A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with a 73% win rate and $334k profit is backing No at 55¢, making this a credible sharp-trader signal despite the modest alert score.

  • This bettor has won 73% of 655 resolved trades and is up $333.8k lifetime
  • They have traded 520 markets across 396 events, which suggests a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet
  • They bought No at 55¢ in a liquid match market, a fair copy level for following a proven sports trader

$2,960 on No | Wallet win rate: 73%

New whale betting No

A 2-day-old wallet has already made five unusually large bets totaling $43k and just placed another $17.2k buy on No, showing strong early conviction despite no long-term track record yet.

  • This 2-day-old wallet has already made 5 flagged large bets totaling $43k
  • They just put $17.2k on No at 55¢, a sizable single-market position
  • The wallet is new, so the signal is conviction more than proven skill

$17,248 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%

88% win-rate bettor

A proven sharp bettor with an 88% win rate and strong edge is taking a fresh No position, which is notable even though the bet size is modest in a liquid market.

  • This bettor wins 88% of their resolved trades with a strong track record across 58 bets
  • They bought No at 55¢, suggesting they see Fiorentina as overpriced at current odds
  • The stake is small versus market liquidity, so this looks more like a sharp signal than a market-moving whale bet

$1,257 on No | Wallet win rate: 88%

Profitable sports sharp

A highly profitable sports trader with 8,381 resolved bets and $2.15M in profit is buying No here, making this a followable sharp-bettor signal despite the modest size and only one detection flag.

  • This bettor has won 68% of 8,381 resolved bets and is up $2.15M lifetime
  • They trade heavily across related markets, with 223 events and $1.32M tracked in cross-market positioning
  • Bought No at 55¢, a moderate favorite price in a deep market rather than chasing an extreme long shot

$1,019 on No | Wallet win rate: 68%

Proven sharp betting No

A highly proven sports trader with 8,381 resolved bets and $2.15M profit is taking the No side here, making this modest-sized wager worth following despite the limited signal mix.

  • This bettor wins 68% of 8,381 resolved trades and is up $2.15M lifetime
  • They trade heavily across related markets with over $1.32M tracked, suggesting a repeatable edge
  • They bought No at 55¢, a clear directional position from a wallet with a long profitable record

$1,019 on No | Wallet win rate: 68%

88% win-rate bettor

A high-hit-rate sports bettor with a strong edge is buying No at 55¢ on a liquid match market, making this a credible copy-trade despite only one signal.

  • This bettor wins 88% of their resolved trades and is up $76k on $153k invested
  • They bought No at 55¢, a price that suggests they see Fiorentina as clearly overpriced
  • The market is liquid with a tight 1¢ spread, so this looks like a deliberate value bet rather than random noise

$4,083 on No | Wallet win rate: 88%

88% win-rate sports bettor

A highly profitable sports trader with an 88% win rate and $1.29M P&L made a fresh $28.4k buy into a match seeing an extreme pre-game volume surge.

  • This bettor wins 88% of resolved markets and is up $1.29M overall
  • They put $28.4k on Yes at 45¢, a meaningful size even in a liquid match market
  • The market is seeing a 445x pre-game volume spike, suggesting strong event-driven positioning

$28,352 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 88%

Linked sharp cluster buys No

Three wallets, including one with a 68% win rate and $2.15M profit, coordinated $12.6k into No at 55¢, with linked funding and a strong one-sided cluster signal.

  • One wallet wins 68% of 8,381 resolved bets and is up $2.15M lifetime
  • Three wallets bought No within seconds of each other, and two are linked by the same funder
  • They entered at 55¢ in a high-volume soccer market, showing coordinated conviction rather than a random whale bet

$12,589 on No

Top Holders

  1. 0x4d30...a42d Yes, $330,610 (88% win rate)
  2. 0xee0d...57ab Yes, $100,000 (100% win rate)
  3. 0x7ea5...de7b No, $38,275 (68% win rate)
  4. 0x6d3c...d294 No, $37,461 (50% win rate)
  5. 0xcf6c...7e66 No, $37,075 (80% win rate)
  6. 0x54d2...de22 No, $31,361 (100% win rate)
  7. 0x39d3...9ef0 No, $24,996 (43% win rate)
  8. 0x507e...beae No, $22,686 (50% win rate)
  9. 0x204f...5e14 No, $19,178 (55% win rate)
  10. 0x5d1d...afd2 No, $17,854 (55% win rate)

Related Theses

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Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-20?

3h$102,355 tracked12 signalsSportsGamesSoccersea
Yes
45¢
No
56¢

In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 20, 2026 If ACF Fiorentina wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Price History — “No
59¢
56¢
53¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-20?

3m ago

$2,072 on No at 56¢

56¢56¢

Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-20?

51m ago

$10,986 on No at 55¢

55¢56¢1¢

Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-20?

1h ago

$2,960 on No at 55¢

55¢56¢1¢

Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-20?

2h ago

$17,248 on No at 55¢

55¢56¢1¢

Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-20?

3h ago

$1,257 on No at 55¢

55¢56¢1¢

Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-20?

4h ago

$1,019 on No at 55¢

55¢56¢1¢

Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-20?

5h ago

$1,019 on No at 55¢

55¢56¢1¢

Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-20?

5h ago

$4,083 on No at 55¢

55¢56¢1¢

Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-20?

7h ago

$28,352 on Yes at 45¢

45¢45¢

Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-20?

1h ago

$12,589 on No at 55¢

55¢56¢1¢

Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-20?

11h ago

$1,638 on No at 56¢

56¢56¢

Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-20?

13h ago

$19,131 on Yes at 44¢

44¢45¢1¢

Related Theses

ACF Fiorentina Win Odds Apr 20, 2026 | Polymarket | PolySpotter