Part of: Thunder vs. Lakers

Spread: Thunder (-10.5)

14 smart money signals detected, totaling $106,805.

Categories: Sports, NBA, Games, Basketball

Notable Trades

Million-profit NBA sharp

A highly profitable serial sports bettor bought Lakers at 55¢ as part of a larger $61K same-event position, and the market has already moved sharply in their direction.

  • This bettor has won 70% of 5,045 resolved bets and is up about $2.9M lifetime.
  • They have $61K positioned across 4 markets in this same NBA game, suggesting a broader thesis.
  • Their Lakers spread entry at 55¢ has already moved to 78¢, so the edge may be mostly priced in now.

$1,293 on Lakers | Wallet win rate: 70%

Sharp 7-wallet spread cluster

A 7-wallet one-sided cluster put $34.8k on Thunder to cover, including multiple profitable high-volume sports bettors with strong win records.

  • Seven wallets all backed the same side for $34.8k, a strong coordinated signal on an NBA spread.
  • One bettor in the cluster wins 80% of 1,458 resolved bets and is up $314k lifetime.
  • Most of the cluster paid 62–65¢, while the market is now around 52¢, offering a cheaper entry than their average.

$34,831 on Thunder

93% winner backs Lakers spread

A highly profitable sharp sports bettor with a 93% record and extensive cross-market history bought Lakers +10.5 despite the trade currently moving against them.

  • This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $311K lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market sports trader, active across 35 events with a 93% hit rate.
  • Entry at 54¢ backed Lakers +10.5, though the market has since fallen to about 46¢.

$1,080 on Lakers | Wallet win rate: 94%

Pro sports cross-market sharp

Serial cross-market sports bettor with a strong 314-bet record bought Thunder spread despite the market moving against them, with supporting volume and price activity.

  • This bettor has won 74% of 314 resolved bets and is up $316K lifetime.
  • They are a high-volume sports trader, active across 595 events and $7.1M in tracked cross-market bets.
  • The market saw an 11.6x volume spike and a fast 10.5-point move, suggesting active disagreement around this line.

$2,000 on Thunder | Wallet win rate: 74%

Profitable serial sports sharp

Sharp sports bettor with an 80% record and $52k profit is fading Thunder -10.5 via a SELL Thunder trade, equivalent to buying Lakers +10.5 at 43¢.

  • This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $52,077 lifetime.
  • They have traded across 47 events with the same 80% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
  • Selling Thunder at 57¢ is equivalent to buying Lakers +10.5 at 43¢.

$2,147 on Lakers | Wallet win rate: 80%

Elite cross-market sports sharp

Proven high-volume sports bettor with 71% win rate and $1.22M lifetime profit is buying Thunder -10.5 as part of a recurring cross-market strategy.

  • This bettor has won 71% of 2,053 resolved bets and is up $1.22M lifetime.
  • They regularly trade across related markets, with 83 events and $405K in tracked cross-market flow.
  • They are buying Thunder -10.5 at 58¢ after the market moved 6 points today.

$1,145 on Thunder | Wallet win rate: 71%

98% win-rate sports sharp

Surface because this is a proven sharp sports bettor with a 98% resolved win rate and strong positive P&L buying Thunder -10.5.

  • This bettor has won 56 of 57 resolved bets and is up $18.2K lifetime.
  • Their wins came around 54¢ on average, so the record is not just from taking heavy favorites.
  • They bought Thunder at 57¢ in a liquid NBA spread market that has already moved 5 points today.

$1,140 on Thunder | Wallet win rate: 98%

Elite sharp buying underdog spread

Highly profitable sharp sports bettor with an 85% win rate and $1.36M lifetime profit is buying Lakers +10.5 at 44¢.

  • This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $1.36M lifetime.
  • They have traded across 562 events with nearly $3M in volume, showing a long-running sports edge.
  • Entry at 44¢ suggests they think Lakers +10.5 is materially underpriced.

$3,938 on Lakers | Wallet win rate: 86%

93% winner joins sharp cluster

Three profitable sports wallets bought Lakers +10.5 together, led by a 93% winner up $311k with strong cross-market history.

  • A bettor who wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $311k joined this position.
  • Three wallets bought the same side for $3.1k, including another wallet up $4.8M lifetime.
  • The cluster paid about 53¢ while the market is now around 46¢, offering a cheaper entry than the sharp buyers got.

$3,139 on Lakers

93% sports sharp

Elite 93% winner with strong cross-market history is taking Lakers +10.5 at 44¢ ahead of a high-volume NBA spread market.

  • This bettor wins 93% of resolved positions and is up $203K lifetime.
  • They have traded across 190 events with the same 93% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
  • Entry at 44¢ on Lakers +10.5 implies they see meaningful value against a 56¢ Thunder price.

$3,940 on Lakers | Wallet win rate: 93%

Top Holders

  1. 0x9495...9a27 Outcome 72289651, $49,580 (64% win rate)
  2. 0x3450...6793 Outcome 54530456, $41,875 (54% win rate)
  3. 0x163e...dc5b Outcome 54530456, $39,193 (93% win rate)
  4. 0x0eb7...1f17 Outcome 54530456, $30,409 (74% win rate)
  5. 0x3a51...b2b6 Outcome 54530456, $21,599 (64% win rate)
  6. 0xbc5b...3f6a Outcome 54530456, $14,538 (83% win rate)
  7. 0x24b3...a5a4 Outcome 54530456, $12,586 (58% win rate)
  8. 0x0979...8d9b Outcome 54530456, $12,538 (64% win rate)
  9. 0xb3cf...0ebd Outcome 54530456, $11,513 (80% win rate)
  10. 0xdfa6...6c6c Outcome 54530456, $10,999 (100% win rate)

Related Theses

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Covers 5 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Spread: Thunder (-10.5)

ResolvedThunder vs. Lakers$106,805 tracked14 signalsSportsNBAGamesBasketball

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 11 at 10:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Thunder" if the Thunder win the game by 11 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Lakers". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Lakers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

OKC
64-18
crypto.com Arena
LAL
53-29
Draft Kings
Spread: OKC -12.5O/U: 214.5ML: -575/+425
Win Prob
Last Play
Game hasn’t started
Price History — “Thunder
56¢
53¢
50¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Spread: Thunder (-10.5)

13h ago

$1,293 on Lakers at 55¢

Spread: Thunder (-10.5)

13h ago

$34,831 on Thunder at 60¢

Spread: Thunder (-10.5)

14h ago

$1,080 on Lakers at 54¢

Spread: Thunder (-10.5)

14h ago

$2,000 on Thunder at 47¢

Spread: Thunder (-10.5)

16h ago

$2,147 on Lakers at 43¢

Spread: Thunder (-10.5)

18h ago

$1,145 on Thunder at 58¢

Spread: Thunder (-10.5)

20h ago

$1,140 on Thunder at 57¢

Spread: Thunder (-10.5)

21h ago

$3,938 on Lakers at 44¢

Spread: Thunder (-10.5)

14h ago

$3,139 on Lakers at 53¢

Spread: Thunder (-10.5)

21h ago

$3,940 on Lakers at 44¢

Spread: Thunder (-10.5)

1d ago

$13,209 on Thunder at 53¢

Spread: Thunder (-10.5)

1d ago

$27,677 on Lakers at 47¢

Spread: Thunder (-10.5)

1d ago

$6,267 on Lakers at 47¢

Spread: Thunder (-10.5)

1d ago

$5,000 on Thunder at 54¢

Related Theses

Spread: Thunder (-10.5) | PolySpotter