Part of: Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Arthur Fery vs Pedro Martinez
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Arthur Fery vs Pedro Martinez
This prediction market covers the Roland Garros Qualification ATP match between Arthur Fery and Pedro Martinez, scheduled for May 20, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET. It resolves to the player who advances, with final resolution expected by May 27, 2026 if a winner is determined within the market rules. PolySpotter is tracking $8,649 in smart money activity and 2 smart money signals on this tennis market.
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $70,293.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable serial sports bettor bought Pedro Martinez before a notable pre-event volume spike, but the edge is modest rather than elite.
- This bettor has won 59% of 46 resolved bets and is up $19.4K lifetime.
- They put $5K on Pedro Martinez at 59¢, and the market has already moved to 62¢.
- The market saw a 31.5x pre-event volume spike, suggesting fresh momentum behind this side.
$5,000 on Pedro Martinez | Wallet win rate: 56%
New profitable tennis wallet
Very new wallet with early profits sold Pedro Martinez, effectively buying Arthur Fery at 39¢ before the market moved to 44¢.
- This wallet is only 9 hours old but is already 5-for-5 and up $1.7K.
- The trade is effectively a buy on Arthur Fery at 39¢, and the market has already moved to 44¢.
- They have put $73K to work across 6 positions, suggesting this is not a casual one-off bet.
$3,649 on Arthur Fery | Wallet win rate: 100%
Sharp tennis cluster
Strong cluster: six wallets, including several highly profitable sports traders, bought $43.8k of Arthur Fery amid a huge volume spike and meaningful price impact.
- Six wallets put $43.8k on Arthur Fery, far above the market’s $6.5k liquidity.
- Several buyers have strong records, including one up $10.9M lifetime and another winning 94% of resolved bets.
- The flow came with a 1500x volume spike and moved Fery up about 18 percentage points.
$43,771 on Arthur Fery
94% winner fades position
A proven 94% winner with large lifetime profit sold Arthur Fery before a major drop, alongside a large pre-event volume spike and price move.
- This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $214K lifetime.
- They sold Arthur Fery at 48¢ before the price fell to 32¢, effectively backing Pedro Martinez at 52¢.
- The market saw a 1512x volume spike, suggesting the move had broader momentum.
$14,681 on Pedro Martinez | Wallet win rate: 94%
Profitable serial sports bettor
A massively profitable serial cross-market bettor bought Pedro Martinez despite the market now trading slightly below their entry.
- This bettor has won 72% of 7,362 resolved bets and is up $10.9M lifetime.
- They are a very active cross-market trader, with $16.1M tracked across 1,814 events.
- Bought Pedro Martinez at 55¢, implying confidence even though the market is currently around 51¢.
$1,293 on Pedro Martinez | Wallet win rate: 72%
92% winner backs underdog
Surfacing because a highly profitable 92% lifetime bettor with extensive cross-market history bought Arthur Fery at roughly even odds.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up about $98.6K lifetime.
- They have traded across 531 events with a 92% hit rate, making the wallet itself the main signal.
- Entry around 50¢ suggests they see Arthur Fery as better than a coin flip despite the market pricing him near 48%.
$1,900 on Arthur Fery | Wallet win rate: 92%
Top Holders
- 0x9094...dcab — Outcome 51873061, $251,320
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 51873061, $73,940 (72% win rate)
- 0x5c3a...020b — Outcome 51873061, $32,192 (57% win rate)
- 0xeda6...84c5 — Outcome 51873061, $8,035 (70% win rate)
- 0xd218...b5c9 — Outcome 51873061, $6,715 (43% win rate)
- 0xdbdd...a5de — Outcome 51873061, $4,338 (51% win rate)
- 0xc181...0992 — Outcome 51873061, $3,816 (92% win rate)
- 0x99aa...6c5a — Outcome 51873061, $3,000 (100% win rate)
- 0x8409...35eb — Outcome 51873061, $2,607 (81% win rate)
- 0x16db...8d0f — Outcome 51873061, $2,134 (88% win rate)
