Part of: Athletic Club vs. CA Osasuna

Will Athletic Club win on 2026-04-21?

11 smart money signals detected, totaling $114,662.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, La Liga

Notable Trades

90% win-rate sports bettor

A proven sharp bettor with a 90% win rate and strong history across 42 events bought into a fast-rising sports market, making this a credible follow despite the modest size.

  • This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $77.7k over more than 1,000 bets.
  • They have bet across 42 separate events, which points to a repeatable edge rather than a one-off hit.
  • They bought Yes at 86¢ as the market was moving fast, suggesting they still saw value after a sharp late surge.

$1,014 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 89%

Proven sports sharp buying momentum

A highly profitable high-volume sports trader with a 73% win rate bought into a fast-rising market, making this a credible momentum-follow signal despite the modest composite score.

  • This bettor has won 2,322 of 3,192 resolved trades and is up $5.9M lifetime.
  • They trade heavily across 1,000 markets, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet.
  • Bought Yes at 78¢ as the market was jumping, and the price is already up to 80¢.

$3,904 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 73%

Proven cross-market winner

A proven profitable sports-style trader with 69% win rate bought No at 49¢ during a strong pre-event volume spike, offering a modest but followable edge despite the otherwise liquid market.

  • This bettor has won 69% of 68 resolved trades and is up about $97k overall.
  • They bought No at 49¢ while the market was seeing a 15.5x surge in activity.
  • The price has already moved in their favor from 49¢ to 52¢ after the buy.

$2,847 on No | Wallet win rate: 87%

3-wallet sports surge

Three wallets piled nearly $19.5k into Athletic Club Yes during a broader volume and price surge, and one participant is a highly profitable 90% win-rate serial cross-market trader.

  • Three wallets bought nearly $19.5k on the same side as volume jumped 15.5x and price recently moved 20 points.
  • One of the buyers wins 90% of 1,308 resolved bets and is up about $169k across 247 events.
  • This is a fresh coordinated buy in a liquid sports market, with entries mostly between 52¢ and 60¢.

$19,492 on Yes

89% win-rate bettor

A proven sharp wallet with an 89% win rate and strong edge is opening a fresh position, even though the stake size is modest and the market is liquid.

  • This bettor wins 89% of their trades, with 63 wins in 71 resolved markets
  • They have made about $29.5k profit on roughly $109.9k invested, suggesting real edge rather than luck
  • They bought Yes at 53¢, a small but notable fresh position from a wallet that usually beats the odds

$1,819 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 90%

New whale repeating big buys

A brand-new wallet has already made four large bets totaling $111k, and this latest $41k buy is a meaningful fresh position even in a liquid sports market.

  • This wallet is only 16 hours old and has already triggered 4 large-bet alerts totaling $111k
  • They just bought $41k of Athletic Club at 52–53¢, showing repeat conviction rather than a one-off punt
  • The market is liquid and tight, so this stands out more as confident sizing from a new bettor than a thin-market anomaly

$41,179 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 67%

92% win-rate bettor

A highly proven bettor with a 92% win rate and nearly $2.8M in profit is taking a fresh $3.3k position on No at 48¢, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the market being liquid.

  • This bettor wins 92% of their trades and is up about $2.8M lifetime
  • They have done this across 308 resolved bets and 44 different events, so this is not a one-off hot streak
  • Buying No at 48¢ means taking the side they likely see as better than a coin flip

$3,277 on No | Wallet win rate: 70%

92% win-rate sharp bettor

A proven sharp bettor with a 92% win rate and nearly $2.8M profit is buying No at 48¢, a strong copy-trade signal even in a liquid market.

  • This bettor wins 92% of their trades and is up $2.8M across 308 resolved positions
  • They have a long track record across 43 events and 51 markets, not just a one-off hot streak
  • Buying No at 48¢ suggests they see Athletic Club as less than a 48% chance to win

$4,725 on No | Wallet win rate: 70%

Sharp 6-wallet sports cluster

Six wallets piled into No at 47¢ in a synchronized burst, and several of the biggest buyers have exceptional long-term records across many sports markets, making this coordinated move worth watching despite one weak wallet in the cluster.

  • Three wallets in this burst have elite records: 94% to 96% win rates across 98 to 129 resolved bets.
  • Six wallets bought No within seconds, putting $23.5k behind one side at 47¢.
  • This market saw a 429x volume spike, suggesting a sudden rush of conviction rather than routine betting.

$23,470 on No

New wallet, perfect start

A 24-day-old wallet with 9 straight wins and +$10.8k profit is still making sizable repeat bets, suggesting an unusually strong early track record worth watching despite this being a liquid market.

  • This 24-day-old wallet has won all 9 of its resolved bets and is up $10.8k
  • It has already been flagged 8 times for large repeat bets, showing this is not a one-off trade
  • They bought No at 47¢ in a liquid market, implying they see Athletic Club's true win odds below the current 54% Yes price

$1,427 on No | Wallet win rate: 88%

Top Holders

  1. 0x37c1...c53a Outcome 10910120, $44,453 (67% win rate)
  2. 0xcf6c...7e66 Outcome 10910120, $31,635 (80% win rate)
  3. 0x01c7...e995 Outcome 10910120, $30,502 (64% win rate)
  4. 0x0a12...d3fe Outcome 10910120, $24,324 (100% win rate)
  5. 0xc974...b33b Outcome 10910120, $22,077 (86% win rate)
  6. 0xe0a2...40d5 Outcome 10910120, $18,844 (91% win rate)
  7. 0x1b4d...e246 Outcome 10910120, $16,672 (70% win rate)
  8. 0xbe87...6fc0 Outcome 10910120, $15,194 (87% win rate)
  9. 0x7ea5...de7b Outcome 10910120, $12,353 (65% win rate)
  10. 0x7236...ea53 Outcome 10910120, $7,873 (84% win rate)

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Will Athletic Club win on 2026-04-21?

ResolvedAthletic Club vs. CA Osasuna$114,662 tracked11 signalsSportsGamesSoccerLa Liga

In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 21, 2026 If Athletic Club wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Notable Trades

Will Athletic Club win on 2026-04-21?

24d ago

$1,014 on Yes at 86¢

Will Athletic Club win on 2026-04-21?

24d ago

$3,904 on Yes at 78¢

Will Athletic Club win on 2026-04-21?

24d ago

$2,847 on No at 49¢

Will Athletic Club win on 2026-04-21?

24d ago

$19,492 on Yes at 52¢

Will Athletic Club win on 2026-04-21?

24d ago

$1,819 on Yes at 53¢

Will Athletic Club win on 2026-04-21?

24d ago

$41,179 on Yes at 53¢

Will Athletic Club win on 2026-04-21?

24d ago

$3,277 on No at 48¢

Will Athletic Club win on 2026-04-21?

24d ago

$4,725 on No at 48¢

Will Athletic Club win on 2026-04-21?

24d ago

$23,470 on No at 47¢

Will Athletic Club win on 2026-04-21?

24d ago

$1,427 on No at 47¢

Will Athletic Club win on 2026-04-21?

28d ago

$11,507 on No at 47¢

Related Theses