Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET

This Polymarket asks whether Bitcoin will be up or down between 2:20AM and 2:25AM ET on April 21, based on the Chainlink BTC/USD data stream. It resolves to Up if the end price is greater than or equal to the starting price, and Down if the end price is lower. PolySpotter is currently tracking $9,133 in smart money activity and 1 recent smart money signal on this market.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $9,133.

Notable Trades

New wallet last-second winner

A 6-hour-old wallet with early profits and an 86% win rate made a large bet 12 seconds before resolution, a strong last-minute timing pattern worth watching despite the ultra-short market.

  • This 6-hour-old wallet is already up $8.0k and has won 6 of 7 resolved bets
  • Placed about 12 seconds before resolution with $9.1k, showing very strong timing conviction
  • The trade also moved the Down price by 18.6 points, so this size mattered in the market

$9,133 on Down | Wallet win rate: 86%

Top Holders

  1. 0xfc0c...cfc9 — Outcome 80353930, $17,700
  2. 0x7da0...6be2 — Outcome 80353930, $1,600
  3. 0x1e3b...c850 — Outcome 80353930, $1,452 (39% win rate)
  4. 0xebfa...ada9 — Outcome 80353930, $1,394
  5. 0xd7f1...1827 — Outcome 80353930, $973
  6. 0xbb15...5790 — Outcome 80353930, $819
  7. 0x79d3...6100 — Outcome 80353930, $649
  8. 0x94ea...dd5a — Outcome 80353930, $519
  9. 0x4175...0281 — Outcome 80353930, $500
  10. 0x176e...ecc4 — Outcome 80353930, $421

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET

$9,133 tracked1 signal

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Notable Trades

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET

3h ago

$9,133 on Down at 71¢