Part of: Spain vs. Cabo Verde - More Markets

Spread: Spain (-3.5)

14 smart money signals detected, totaling $225,357.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

Elite sharp buying spread

Elite high-volume bettor with a 94% resolved win rate and $3.4M profit bought $20k of Spain -3.5 despite the market being highly liquid.

  • This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $3.4M lifetime.
  • They have traded 466 events and $8.6M across markets, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
  • A $20k buy at 40¢ implies they see Spain covering by 4+ as underpriced.

$20,000 on Spain | Wallet win rate: 94%

Whales buying underdog spread

A $124k three-wallet one-sided buy on Cabo Verde coincided with a 71.6x pre-event volume spike, led by a high-volume profitable sports trader flipping away from Spain.

  • Three wallets bought $124k of Cabo Verde, all on the same side before kickoff.
  • Volume is running 71.6x above normal, with Cabo Verde up 8 points today.
  • The lead wallet is up $652k lifetime and appears to have flipped from Spain to Cabo Verde.

$124,111 on Cabo Verde

77% winner event specialist

Proven profitable sports bettor with a 77% win rate and heavy cross-market event positioning bought Spain -3.5 at 36¢.

  • This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up $569k lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader with bets across 90 events and a 77% win rate.
  • They have $48.8k positioned across 7 markets in this same event, suggesting a broader thesis.

$2,160 on Spain | Wallet win rate: 71%

Elite sports sharp buying Spain

Elite high-volume sports bettor with a 76% win rate and +$22.8M lifetime P&L bought $19k of Spain -3.5 into a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $22.8M lifetime.
  • They have traded 259 related events with $10.8M in cross-market volume, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
  • The $19k buy came as market volume spiked 393x, with Spain still priced at only 34¢.

$19,059 on Spain | Wallet win rate: 77%

Sharp cluster buying Spain spread

Strong Spain BUY cluster backed by two highly profitable sharp wallets, heavy same-direction flow, and a major pre-event volume spike.

  • A bettor up $22.8M lifetime bought $19k of Spain at 34¢ and wins 76% of resolved bets.
  • Three wallets put $44k on the same side, while volume jumped 138x above the market’s usual pace.
  • One wallet is a serial cross-market sports trader across 258 events with a 76% win rate.

$44,058 on Spain

Sharp bettor buying spread

Sharp profitable wallet with a 79% long-run win rate is buying Spain -3.5 amid a major pre-game volume spike and related cross-market positioning.

  • This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $92k lifetime.
  • They are buying Spain -3.5 at 34¢, implying a roughly 3x payout if Spain win by 4+ goals.
  • Market volume is surging 438x above normal, and this wallet has $7.3k positioned across 3 related event markets.

$1,556 on Spain | Wallet win rate: 79%

Elite 87% sports bettor

Sharp sports/cross-market bettor with an 87% resolved win rate and $666k lifetime profit bought Spain -3.5 at 35¢.

  • This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $666k lifetime.
  • They have traded 194 events with the same strong 87% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
  • Entry at 35¢ implies a nearly 3x payout if Spain win by 4 or more.

$1,944 on Spain | Wallet win rate: 88%

Profitable cross-market sports bettor

A highly profitable, high-volume sports wallet is building a cross-market position on this match, including buying Cabo Verde +3.5 at 70¢.

  • This bettor is up $1.54M lifetime across 78,000 resolved trades.
  • They have put $25,101 across 3 markets on the same match, suggesting a broader thesis.
  • Buying Cabo Verde at 70¢ backs Spain not winning by 4 or more goals.

$3,282 on Cabo Verde | Wallet win rate: 53%

Profitable cross-market sports bettor

A highly profitable, high-volume sports wallet is building a cross-market position on this match, including buying Cabo Verde +3.5 at 70¢.

  • This bettor is up $1.54M lifetime across 78,000 resolved trades.
  • They have put $25,101 across 3 markets on the same match, suggesting a broader thesis.
  • Buying Cabo Verde at 70¢ backs Spain not winning by 4 or more goals.

$1,123 on Cabo Verde | Wallet win rate: 53%

Profitable cross-market sports bettor

A highly profitable, high-volume sports wallet is building a cross-market position on this match, including buying Cabo Verde +3.5 at 70¢.

  • This bettor is up $1.54M lifetime across 78,000 resolved trades.
  • They have put $25,101 across 3 markets on the same match, suggesting a broader thesis.
  • Buying Cabo Verde at 70¢ backs Spain not winning by 4 or more goals.

$1,413 on Cabo Verde | Wallet win rate: 53%

Top Holders

  1. 0x37e4...c991 Outcome 11418398, $56,057 (77% win rate)
  2. 0xcd65...ee96 Outcome 11418398, $50,436 (94% win rate)
  3. 0xdb85...152f Outcome 11418398, $26,447 (76% win rate)
  4. 0x9744...4789 Outcome 11418398, $21,907 (100% win rate)
  5. 0x1117...3532 Outcome 11418398, $20,000 (66% win rate)
  6. 0x60c1...0438 Outcome 11418398, $11,666 (82% win rate)
  7. 0xb10b...0b04 Outcome 11418398, $11,110 (88% win rate)
  8. 0x2005...75ea Outcome 11418398, $9,317 (55% win rate)
  9. 0x5fae...4079 Outcome 11418398, $6,600 (68% win rate)
  10. 0xd2ef...1829 Outcome 11418398, $5,882 (100% win rate)

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Spread: Spain (-3.5)

ResolvedSpain vs. Cabo Verde - More Markets$225,357 tracked14 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 15 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Spain" if Spain win the game by 4 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Cabo Verde". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Notable Trades

Spread: Spain (-3.5)

16d ago

$20,000 on Spain at 40¢

Spread: Spain (-3.5)

16d ago

$124,111 on Cabo Verde at 63¢

Spread: Spain (-3.5)

16d ago

$2,160 on Spain at 36¢

Spread: Spain (-3.5)

16d ago

$19,059 on Spain at 34¢

Spread: Spain (-3.5)

16d ago

$44,058 on Spain at 34¢

Spread: Spain (-3.5)

16d ago

$1,556 on Spain at 34¢

Spread: Spain (-3.5)

16d ago

$1,944 on Spain at 35¢

Spread: Spain (-3.5)

16d ago

$3,282 on Cabo Verde at 70¢

Spread: Spain (-3.5)

16d ago

$1,123 on Cabo Verde at 70¢

Spread: Spain (-3.5)

16d ago

$1,413 on Cabo Verde at 70¢

Spread: Spain (-3.5)

17d ago

$1,263 on Cabo Verde at 70¢

Spread: Spain (-3.5)

17d ago

$2,778 on Spain at 32¢

Spread: Spain (-3.5)

17d ago

$1,127 on Cabo Verde at 70¢

Spread: Spain (-3.5)

17d ago

$1,481 on Cabo Verde at 70¢

Related Theses