Part of: Norway vs. France

Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?

18 smart money signals detected, totaling $136,380.

Categories: Games, Sports, Soccer, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

95% winner buying No

Surface because a highly proven sports bettor with a 95% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L is buying No despite this being a very liquid market.

  • This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $45K lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 48 events with the same 95% win rate.
  • They bought $6K of No at 89¢ as market volume spiked 47x before the match.

$6,035 on No | Wallet win rate: 87%

80% cross-market sharp

Sharp serial cross-market bettor with an 80% record and positive lifetime P&L bought $8.4k of No amid a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades across 916 bets and is up $27.9k lifetime.
  • They are a serial sports/event trader, with $2.8M placed across 415 events.
  • An $8.4k Buy No came during a 49x volume spike before the match.

$8,366 on No | Wallet win rate: 80%

80% winner buying favorite

Surfaced via sharp-wallet override: this bettor has an 80% resolved win rate across 555 bets and $74.7k lifetime profit despite only a modest single signal.

  • This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $74,686 lifetime.
  • They bought Norway No at 87¢, backing the current favorite side in a very liquid market.
  • Their long track record matters more than the small trade size here.

$1,740 on No | Wallet win rate: 80%

97% winner buying No

Sharp sports bettor with a 97% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought No on Norway at 87¢.

  • This bettor has won 34 of 35 resolved positions and is up $20.2K lifetime.
  • They bought No at 87¢ in a highly liquid market, backing the already-favored side with a proven track record.
  • Entry at 87¢ implies a lower-risk copy with upside if Norway fails to win in regulation.

$1,933 on No | Wallet win rate: 98%

7-wallet sharp long-shot cluster

Seven wallets bought $30k of Norway Yes, including a profitable 80% bettor and a repeat new-wallet whale, making this coordinated long-shot flow worth surfacing despite price moving against them.

  • Seven wallets bought the same 10–12¢ long shot for $30k total.
  • One wallet wins 80% of its resolved bets and is up $4.4k lifetime.
  • A repeat new wallet has now made $46k of flagged large bets in 10 days.

$30,302 on Yes

Profitable serial sports bettor

Profitable serial sports trader bought Norway No amid a large pre-event volume spike, making the directional move worth surfacing despite modest trade size.

  • This bettor is up $3.6M lifetime across more than 18,000 resolved trades.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader, active in 498 events with a 62% win record.
  • Market activity spiked 617x versus its historical average before this No buy.

$5,863 on No | Wallet win rate: 61%

Profitable serial sports bettor

Profitable serial sports trader bought Norway No amid a large pre-event volume spike, making the directional move worth surfacing despite modest trade size.

  • This bettor is up $3.6M lifetime across more than 18,000 resolved trades.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader, active in 498 events with a 62% win record.
  • Market activity spiked 617x versus its historical average before this No buy.

$4,174 on No | Wallet win rate: 61%

87% sports bettor on No

High-hit-rate sports wallet bought $15k of Norway No amid a major pre-event volume spike, though lifetime P&L is negative.

  • This bettor has won 13 of 15 resolved bets, beating average market odds by a wide margin.
  • They put $15k on Norway not winning at 80¢, matching the current market price.
  • Market volume is surging before the game, with more than $1.1M traded in the last 24 hours.

$15,062 on No | Wallet win rate: 90%

Sharp serial sports bettor

Sharp cross-market sports bettor with a 76% win rate and positive lifetime P&L is buying Norway at 19¢ despite a liquid market.

  • This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $25.5K lifetime.
  • They have traded across 55 events with the same 76% win rate, suggesting a repeatable edge.
  • Entry at 19¢ implies a long-shot view with about 5.3x upside if Norway wins.

$1,300 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 81%

92% winner backs Norway

Elite sports bettor with a 92% win rate and $1.3M profit bought Norway Yes in a quiet market, with the bet over 3x the market's 24h volume.

  • This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $1.3M lifetime.
  • They are a major serial sports trader, with $2.9M bet across 237 events.
  • The $2,000 buy was over 3x this market’s 24h volume, showing conviction in a quiet market.

$3,865 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 87%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 Outcome 16119210, $1,171,251
  2. 0xcde3...534d Outcome 13720141, $239,999
  3. 0xb60b...3f85 Outcome 13720141, $192,555
  4. 0x94d7...bef5 Outcome 13720141, $172,715 (87% win rate)
  5. 0x1afb...00e0 Outcome 13720141, $162,413
  6. 0x8f25...1e13 Outcome 13720141, $143,025
  7. 0x7e78...3945 Outcome 13720141, $134,228 (67% win rate)
  8. 0x1aeb...eb6c Outcome 13720141, $130,817 (100% win rate)
  9. 0xd61c...84fb Outcome 13720141, $87,723 (72% win rate)
  10. 0x91a8...b42e Outcome 13720141, $82,345 (79% win rate)

Related Theses

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Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?

ResolvedNorway vs. France$136,380 tracked18 signalsGamesSportsSoccerFIFA World Cup

In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 26, 2026 If Norway wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Price History — “No
88¢
83¢
77¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?

5d ago

$6,035 on No at 89¢

Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?

5d ago

$8,366 on No at 89¢

Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?

5d ago

$1,740 on No at 87¢

Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?

5d ago

$1,933 on No at 87¢

Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?

5d ago

$30,302 on Yes at 12¢

Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?

5d ago

$5,863 on No at 80¢

Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?

5d ago

$4,174 on No at 80¢

Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?

5d ago

$15,062 on No at 80¢

Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?

5d ago

$1,300 on Yes at 19¢

Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?

5d ago

$3,865 on Yes at 23¢

Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?

6d ago

$5,000 on No at 81¢

Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?

6d ago

$2,000 on Yes at 19¢

Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?

6d ago

$3,915 on No at 80¢

Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?

6d ago

$7,700 on No at 82¢

Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?

6d ago

$33,037 on No at 81¢

Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?

7d ago

$1,587 on No at 80¢

Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?

18d ago

$2,000 on Yes at 23¢

Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?

20d ago

$2,500 on Yes at 24¢

Related Theses