Seven wallets bought the same side, totaling $14.3K on Portugal Yes. The buying wave pushed Yes up 35 percentage points, showing meaningful market impact. This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades, but is down $11.7K lifetime, so the edge is mixed.

Seven wallets are all betting the same way, totaling $14.3K on the Yes side. This wallet is up $181.7K lifetime across 813 resolved bets, though its win rate is a moderate 56%. The trade converts to buying Yes around 40¢, while the market is currently near 42¢.

This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $1.53M lifetime. They are a serial sports trader across 338 events with $2.4M in tracked cross-market volume. Entry at 39¢ means they are betting Portugal is overpriced at roughly 60% to win.

Part of: Portugal vs. Nigeria

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10?

18 smart money signals detected, totaling $87,792.

Categories: Fifa Friendly, Games, Soccer, Sports

Notable Trades

7-wallet Yes surge

Worth surfacing because seven wallets moved together on Portugal Yes with major price impact, though this particular wallet has negative lifetime P&L and the entry has since moved sharply against them.

Seven wallets bought the same side, totaling $14.3K on Portugal Yes.
The buying wave pushed Yes up 35 percentage points, showing meaningful market impact.
This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades, but is down $11.7K lifetime, so the edge is mixed.

$1,100 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 78%

Sharp bettor exits No

A proven 86% winner is exiting a profitable No position while broader one-sided flow is effectively moving toward Yes, but the wallet action is partly profit-taking rather than a clean new position.

This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $3,725 on $14,514 invested.
They sold out of a profitable No position after No had rallied, effectively moving exposure toward Yes at 40¢.
Seven wallets have pushed the same Yes-side direction for about $14.3K total.

$1,043 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 56%

7-wallet Yes flow

Surface despite the individual trade looking like No-side profit-taking because 7 wallets are collectively buying the Portugal Yes side and this wallet has a large positive long-term P&L.

Seven wallets are all betting the same way, totaling $14.3K on the Yes side.
This wallet is up $181.7K lifetime across 813 resolved bets, though its win rate is a moderate 56%.
The trade converts to buying Yes around 40¢, while the market is currently near 42¢.

$2,960 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 56%

83% serial sports winner

Sharp serial cross-market bettor with an 83% record and positive lifetime P&L bought Portugal Yes despite recent market weakness.

This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $71K lifetime.
They have traded across 743 events, suggesting a repeatable sports-betting process rather than a one-off bet.
They bought Portugal Yes at 77¢ while the market is now around 62¢, giving a cheaper current entry than they paid.

$1,221 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 83%

88% winner backs No

Surfacing because a highly profitable sports bettor with an 88% long-term win rate bought Portugal No despite the market being liquid.

This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $1.53M lifetime.
They are a serial sports trader across 338 events with $2.4M in tracked cross-market volume.
Entry at 39¢ means they are betting Portugal is overpriced at roughly 60% to win.

$1,900 on No | Wallet win rate: 54%

88% winner buying No

Elite sharp wallet with 88% win rate and $1.53M lifetime profit is buying Portugal No amid a major pre-event volume spike.

This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $1.53M lifetime.
They are a serial sports trader across 338 events with $2.4M placed and the same 88% hit rate.
They bought Portugal No around 38–39¢ while the market is seeing a 28x volume spike.

$3,452 on No | Wallet win rate: 54%

Six-wallet dip-buying cluster

High-score coordinated cluster: six wallets put $15k on Yes within minutes after a sharp Portugal price drop, with support from a profitable serial cross-market trader.

Six wallets bought the same side within minutes, putting $15k behind Yes after a sharp price drop.
One participating bettor wins 70% of resolved bets and is up $84k lifetime.
Volume is 28x above normal, suggesting this is more than routine pre-game flow.

$15,012 on Yes

88% winner fading favorite

Elite sports bettor with an 88% win rate and $1.53M profit bought Portugal No amid a major pre-event volume spike.

This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $1.53M lifetime.
They are a serial sports trader across 337 events, with $2.4M in tracked cross-market volume.
Buying No at 38¢ fades Portugal after odds moved 14 points against Yes in the last day.

$1,553 on No | Wallet win rate: 54%

Coordinated sharp sports flow

Four wallets bought Portugal Yes before a sharp move from the low-60s/70s to 84%, backed by a volume spike and several profitable active bettors.

Four wallets bought the same side for $8.0K before Portugal moved up to 84%.
Two of the bettors win 69% of resolved trades, including one up $59K lifetime.
Market volume spiked 10x and Portugal is up 9 points in the last day.

$8,046 on Yes

Profitable serial trader exits Yes

Profitable serial cross-market trader sold Portugal Yes at 84¢ before a sharp drop, alongside one-sided selling and a pre-event volume spike, though this appears partly like profit-taking from an existing Yes position.

This bettor has a long record across 77 events and is up $59K lifetime.
They sold Yes at 84¢ before Portugal fell to 62¢, matching a broader same-direction sell wave from 3 wallets.
The equivalent No entry was 16¢, but the market has already moved to 38¢, so chasing above 26¢ is not ideal.

$1,680 on No | Wallet win rate: 76%

Top Holders

0x2a69...d2f7 — Outcome 19293054, $51,519 (65% win rate)
0x076d...8d4c — Outcome 19293054, $27,649 (63% win rate)
0x4337...8882 — Outcome 19293054, $8,319 (75% win rate)
0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 19293054, $7,813
0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 19293054, $6,160 (63% win rate)
0x68a4...856e — Outcome 19293054, $4,892 (90% win rate)
0x52d9...fb1a — Outcome 19293054, $3,976 (71% win rate)
0x90ba...63f3 — Outcome 19293054, $3,150 (80% win rate)
0x6340...e272 — Outcome 19293054, $2,836 (88% win rate)
0x08ca...7895 — Outcome 19293054, $2,580 (94% win rate)

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Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10?

ResolvedPortugal vs. Nigeria$87,792 tracked18 signalsFifa FriendlyGamesSoccerSports

In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 10, 2026 If Portugal wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.