Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines
In the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for April 4 at 12:00 AM ET: If the Arizona Wildcats win, the market will resolve to "Arizona Wildcats". If the Michigan Wolverines win, the market will resolve to "Michigan Wolverines". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
44 smart money signals detected, totaling $460,557.
Categories: Sports, Basketball, NCAA, Games, NCAA Basketball, March Madness
Notable Trades
Linked bettors chasing momentum
Linked wallets with a long cross-market history piled into Michigan before a fast 17-point move, suggesting coordinated conviction despite the modest trade size.
- This wallet has a long track record with 1,328 resolved bets and nearly $40k profit.
- Three wallets funded by the same address put about $3.4k on the same side, showing coordinated conviction.
- The buy came at 89¢ before Michigan jumped to 96¢ in about 4 minutes, confirming strong momentum.
$1,124 on Michigan Wolverines | Wallet win rate: 59%
85% winner buys momentum
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with an 85% win rate just put $26k into Michigan as the market was ripping higher, making this a strong momentum-follow signal despite the already-high price.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up about $1.0M lifetime.
- They just put $26k on Michigan at 87¢ while the market jumped 17 points in about 4 minutes.
- The market is very liquid, so a bet this size still stands out mainly because of the bettor's long track record across 300 markets.
$25,998 on Michigan Wolverines | Wallet win rate: 85%
89% bettor fades favorite
A serial cross-market sports trader with an 89% hit rate sold the favorite after a sharp move, which translates into a contrarian buy on Arizona at 14¢.
- This wallet wins 89% of resolved bets across 100+ markets, making it a trader worth watching despite modest net P&L.
- They sold Michigan at 86¢ after a fast 17-point move up, which is equivalent to buying Arizona at 14¢.
- Entry at 14¢ is a very low implied win chance in a major, liquid game after heavy pregame volume.
$10,845 on Arizona Wildcats | Wallet win rate: 88%
6-wallet funded cluster
A linked 6-wallet cluster with a long cross-market history bought Michigan before a sharp move higher, suggesting coordinated conviction despite the individual wallet’s mixed profitability.
- Six linked wallets funded by the same address have been active together, a strong sign of coordinated conviction.
- This trader has bet across 29 related markets and 28 events, showing a repeatable playbook rather than a one-off bet.
- They bought Michigan at 80¢ and the price has already moved to 86¢, confirming immediate market follow-through.
$994 on Michigan Wolverines | Wallet win rate: 66%
6-wallet funded cluster
Surface this because a large linked-wallet cluster with a long cross-market betting history bought Michigan well before a big move from 62¢ to 80¢, suggesting coordinated conviction despite the modest ticket size.
- Six linked wallets share the same funder, a strong sign of one actor spreading bets across accounts
- This trader has bet across 29 related markets and 28 events, showing a repeatable event-trading pattern
- They bought Michigan at 62¢ before the market jumped to 80¢, locking in an early edge
$1,226 on Michigan Wolverines | Wallet win rate: 66%
73% win-rate sports bettor
A high-volume sports trader with a strong 73% win rate sold Arizona into a sharp move, which converts to a BUY on Michigan around 81¢.
- This bettor wins 73% of resolved markets across 271 bets and is up about $174k.
- The trade fades Arizona after a 16-point price drop, effectively backing Michigan at about 81¢.
- The bet size is meaningful at $5.7k, though it came in a very liquid market so the main edge is the trader's track record.
$5,721 on Michigan Wolverines | Wallet win rate: 74%
Sharp cluster buying Arizona
A proven high-volume bettor with a 73% win rate joined a 7-wallet one-sided Arizona buy cluster during a sharp 17-point move, making this coordinated dip-buy worth watching despite the liquid market.
- This bettor wins 73% of resolved trades and is up $174k across 271 settled positions.
- 7 wallets bought Arizona together for $20.6k while the price swung 17 points in about 4 minutes.
- They entered at 35¢, which implies they saw value well above the current 26¢ market price.
$1,961 on Arizona Wildcats | Wallet win rate: 74%
7-wallet Arizona cluster
Coordinated buying across 7 wallets hit Arizona while this high-volume cross-market trader sold Michigan, which converts to a fresh Arizona buy at 34¢ despite heavy market momentum the other way.
- 7 wallets lined up on Arizona with about $20.6k total, a strong one-sided signal on the same side.
- This wallet has traded 112 markets across 81 events and is up about $40.8k overall.
- Selling Michigan at 66¢ is equivalent to buying Arizona at 34¢, implying they saw the underdog as mispriced.
$2,531 on Arizona Wildcats | Wallet win rate: 60%
7-wallet dip buyer cluster
A profitable bettor with a solid early track record joined a 7-wallet, $20.6k one-sided push into Arizona after a sharp price drop, making this coordinated dip-buy worth watching.
- 7 wallets put $20.6k on Arizona in the same window, showing clear one-sided conviction
- This wallet wins 77% of resolved bets and is up $2.4k, so the buy came from a bettor with a decent edge
- They bought Arizona at 24¢ after a fast 17-point drop, suggesting the group saw value on the dip
$1,192 on Arizona Wildcats | Wallet win rate: 77%
76% win-rate sports bettor
Profitable high-volume bettor with a 76% win rate rotated from a small Arizona position into Michigan after a sharp move, making this a follow-worthy sports trade despite modest size in a liquid market.
- This bettor wins 76% of their trades and is up $1.1M across 668 resolved markets.
- They trade heavily across sports and event markets, with nearly $970k tracked across 131 markets.
- They bought Michigan at 66¢ after closing a small Arizona position, showing a clear directional switch rather than routine profit-taking.
$1,331 on Michigan Wolverines | Wallet win rate: 76%
Top Holders
- 0xfa41...a7a1 — Arizona Wildcats, $985,000 (52% win rate)
- 0xe934...640b — Arizona Wildcats, $514,595 (60% win rate)
- 0xd2a4...caf5 — Arizona Wildcats, $104,564
- 0x6368...6dc8 — Arizona Wildcats, $97,459 (62% win rate)
- 0xc257...358e — Arizona Wildcats, $81,647 (96% win rate)
- 0x0940...3640 — Arizona Wildcats, $61,427 (95% win rate)
- 0x709e...66f5 — Arizona Wildcats, $60,173 (83% win rate)
- 0xd4aa...d40c — Arizona Wildcats, $54,719
- 0x2537...bff9 — Arizona Wildcats, $45,000
- 0xb3cf...0ebd — Arizona Wildcats, $33,346 (82% win rate)
