Part of: Suns vs. Thunder

Spread: Thunder (-17.5)

12 smart money signals detected, totaling $77,673.

Categories: Games, NBA, Sports, Basketball

Notable Trades

87% win-rate sports bettor

A highly profitable serial trader with an 87% win rate bought Suns +17.5 at 45¢, and the market has already moved in their favor to 37¢.

  • This bettor wins 87% of their trades and is up $664k across 121 resolved bets
  • They trade heavily across sports markets with $2.25M deployed over 219 markets
  • Bought Suns at 45¢ and the market is now 37¢, so they already beat the current price

$2,362 on Suns | Wallet win rate: 85%

Proven sports trader in spike

A proven cross-market sports trader with a solid 63% win rate bought into a sharp pregame move on Thunder -17.5 during a clear volume spike, making this worth watching despite the modest size.

  • This bettor has won 63% of 67 resolved trades and is up $25.6k overall
  • They trade across many related markets — 42 markets over 38 events — which suggests a repeatable sports betting process
  • Bought Thunder at 48¢ during a 14.7x volume spike after a fast 13.5-point price jump

$1,215 on Thunder | Wallet win rate: 64%

Proven cross-market sports sharp

A highly profitable serial sports trader with a 71% win rate is betting across multiple markets in the same game, and this leg has already moved in their favor.

  • This bettor has won 2,677 of 3,767 resolved trades and is up about $2.37M lifetime
  • They've traded 4 markets in this same game and 960 markets across 401 events, which points to a repeatable event-level edge
  • They bought Suns at 56¢ and the market is now 60¢, so this position has already moved their way

$1,021 on Suns | Wallet win rate: 70%

Proven sports sharp re-entering

A highly profitable serial sports trader with a 73% win rate is reopening a Thunder position on this spread market, which is notable despite the modest bet size and only one signal.

  • This bettor has won 2,468 of 3,404 resolved bets and is up $6.3M lifetime
  • They trade heavily across sports markets with over $8.4M deployed, so this looks like a sharp bettor worth tracking
  • They bought Thunder at 54¢ after previously trading both sides here, suggesting a fresh lean rather than simple profit-taking

$1,072 on Thunder | Wallet win rate: 73%

73% win-rate sports sharp

A highly profitable serial sports trader with a 73% win rate is opening a fresh $2.7k Thunder position in a liquid NBA spread market after previously trading both sides successfully.

  • This bettor wins 73% of 3,404 resolved trades and is up $6.3M lifetime
  • They trade across 1,090 markets and 902 events, which points to a proven repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet
  • This is a fresh Thunder buy at 54¢ after prior positions on this market were already closed

$2,657 on Thunder | Wallet win rate: 73%

98% win-rate sharp bettor

A proven sharp wallet with a 98% win rate and $5.7M profit made a fresh $11.8k buy on Suns in a market seeing an unusual pregame volume surge.

  • This bettor wins 98% of resolved trades and is up $5.7M lifetime across 374 bets
  • They bought Suns at 51¢ and the market has already moved to 54¢ after a 61x volume spike
  • The bet is meaningful at $11.8k, though it landed in a fairly liquid market rather than a thin one

$11,824 on Suns | Wallet win rate: 99%

87% win-rate sports bettor

A proven sharp sports trader with an 87% win rate and $664k profit made a sizable $14.8k bet at even odds, making this a strong copy-trade candidate despite the liquid market.

  • This bettor wins 87% of their trades and is up $664k across 121 resolved bets
  • They have traded 218 markets across 193 events, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off hit
  • They bought $14.8k at 50¢, a clear high-conviction position from a proven winner

$14,775 on Thunder | Wallet win rate: 85%

Profitable new wallet

A profitable new wallet with repeated large bets and a perfect early record is buying Suns in a fairly liquid NBA spread market, making this a credible copy-trade signal despite the modest ticket size.

  • This 24-day-old wallet has already been flagged 119 times and is up $312,953.
  • They have won all 6 resolved bets so far, with an average entry around 54¢.
  • This is a fresh buy on Suns at 54¢ in a liquid NBA market, suggesting real conviction rather than a random thin-market punt.

$996 on Suns | Wallet win rate: 100%

104-0 sharp bettor

A bettor with a perfect 104-for-104 resolved record and $282k profit is taking a fresh $2.8k position on Thunder -17.5, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the market being fairly liquid.

  • This bettor has won 104 of 104 resolved trades and is up $282.6k lifetime.
  • They have bet across 35 events and 36 markets, so this is part of a broad track record rather than a one-off hit.
  • They bought Thunder at 47¢, a price that suggests they see the spread as better than a coin flip.

$2,821 on Thunder | Wallet win rate: 100%

Sharp 3-wallet Thunder cluster

Three wallets piled $31.8k into Thunder -17.5, including two highly profitable serial traders with 87% and 73% win rates, creating a strong coordinated sports signal near 50 cents.

  • Two proven bettors are in this cluster: one wins 87% of trades and the other has made $6.3M with a 73% win rate.
  • Three wallets put $31.8k on Thunder -17.5 in a short burst, a strong one-sided signal on a sports market.
  • They bought around 50¢, so the bet only needs Thunder to cover slightly more than half the time to be attractive.

$31,818 on Thunder

Top Holders

  1. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 74858817, $69,221 (73% win rate)
  2. 0xdd51...1041 Outcome 74858817, $12,982 (100% win rate)
  3. 0xc974...b33b Outcome 74858817, $9,229 (86% win rate)
  4. 0x92d8...0924 Outcome 74858817, $7,447 (80% win rate)
  5. 0xd1e6...1dc1 Outcome 74858817, $6,003 (100% win rate)
  6. 0xdaef...54e9 Outcome 74858817, $5,788 (64% win rate)
  7. 0x29cc...3c29 Outcome 74858817, $4,736 (96% win rate)
  8. 0x93bc...8ca3 Outcome 74858817, $3,876 (79% win rate)
  9. 0x6323...9fee Outcome 74858817, $3,294 (97% win rate)
  10. 0xbf26...6fe2 Outcome 74858817, $2,802 (93% win rate)

Related Theses

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Covers 3 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Spread: Thunder (-17.5)

ResolvedSuns vs. Thunder$77,673 tracked12 signalsGamesNBASportsBasketball

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 22 at 9:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Thunder" if the Thunder win the game by 18 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Suns". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Suns". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

PHX
45-37
Paycom Center
OKC
64-18
Draft Kings
Spread: OKC -17.5O/U: 216.5ML: +1000/-1800
Win Prob
Last Play
Game hasn’t started

Notable Trades

Spread: Thunder (-17.5)

19d ago

$2,362 on Suns at 45¢

Spread: Thunder (-17.5)

19d ago

$1,215 on Thunder at 48¢

Spread: Thunder (-17.5)

19d ago

$1,021 on Suns at 56¢

Spread: Thunder (-17.5)

19d ago

$1,072 on Thunder at 54¢

Spread: Thunder (-17.5)

19d ago

$2,657 on Thunder at 54¢

Spread: Thunder (-17.5)

19d ago

$11,824 on Suns at 51¢

Spread: Thunder (-17.5)

19d ago

$14,775 on Thunder at 50¢

Spread: Thunder (-17.5)

20d ago

$996 on Suns at 54¢

Spread: Thunder (-17.5)

20d ago

$2,821 on Thunder at 47¢

Spread: Thunder (-17.5)

19d ago

$31,818 on Thunder at 50¢

Spread: Thunder (-17.5)

20d ago

$6,101 on Thunder at 47¢

Spread: Thunder (-17.5)

20d ago

$1,010 on Suns at 53¢

Related Theses