Part of: Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?
30 smart money signals detected, totaling $394,469.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, UCL
Notable Trades
Linked new-wallet Yes cluster
A linked 3-wallet cluster led by a 5-day-old repeat bettor is buying Yes amid a major volume spike and strong upward price move, despite limited wallet track record.
- Three wallets funded by the same address are backing the same outcome with $6.1k total exposure.
- This 5-day-old wallet has already triggered 4 large-bet alerts and bought at 77¢ before the market moved to 82¢.
- Volume is up 188x versus normal and the Yes price has jumped 20 points in the last day.
$2,618 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 50%
76% winner exits No
A highly profitable serial sports trader is exiting No exposure during a major pre-event volume surge, effectively aligning with the sharp move toward Arsenal Yes, though this is more a position reversal than a fresh large bet.
- This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up about $1.06M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 187 events with over $1.1M deployed.
- Market volume spiked 188x while Arsenal Yes moved up 20 points in a day.
$2,407 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 78%
$6.9M sharp buying favorite
A highly profitable serial sports trader with a 72% win rate bought $11.7k Yes before the market moved sharply higher amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 72% of resolved trades and is up $6.9M lifetime.
- They bought $11.7k at 71¢, and the market has already moved to 82¢.
- Volume spiked 188x versus normal, suggesting broader momentum behind the move.
$11,729 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 64%
85% winner chasing late move
Proven profitable bettor is effectively buying Yes amid a huge volume spike and major price move toward Arsenal winning.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved bets and is up $361,734 lifetime.
- Market volume is running 300x above normal, with odds moving sharply toward this outcome.
- Their 78¢ entry implies confidence despite the market already moving 23 points this week.
$1,334 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 84%
11-wallet Yes surge
Coordinated one-sided Arsenal buying across 11 wallets drove a major price move, backed by a profitable serial cross-market trader and a 17x volume spike.
- 11 wallets bought the same side, putting $44.6k behind Arsenal Yes in the scan window.
- This wave moved the price from 50¢ to 78¢ alongside a 17x volume spike.
- The flagged bettor has traded 633 resolved markets and is up $35.5k lifetime.
$2,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 58%
89% winner joins Yes wave
Surface: an 89% lifetime winner bought Arsenal Yes amid 11-wallet one-sided flow, a 17x volume spike, and a 23-point price move.
- This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $206K lifetime.
- 11 wallets bought the same side for $44.6K as volume spiked 17x.
- The price has jumped 23 points, but this wallet entered at 76¢ before the current 78¢ level.
$1,520 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 90%
Linked No cluster
Surfacing because five wallets, including linked funding, bought the same No side alongside a profitable high-volume sports trader, though the market has moved sharply against their original 41¢ entry.
- Five wallets bought the same No side for $18.9K, with two wallets sharing a funder.
- This wallet is up $156K lifetime across 4,415 resolved trades and has traded 417 events.
- The original 41¢ No entry is now around 26¢, giving a much cheaper entry than the cluster paid.
$2,060 on No | Wallet win rate: 54%
9-wallet contrarian No cluster
A sizable 9-wallet contrarian cluster is buying Arsenal No with linked-wallet support and a volume spike, though trader track records are mixed and the market has moved against them.
- Nine wallets put $50.4K on Arsenal not winning, all in the same direction.
- Three wallets share the same funder, adding $6.1K to the No side.
- No is now 16¢ after these wallets paid around 23¢, giving a cheaper entry than the cluster got.
$50,368 on No
99% sharp joins Yes wave
Surface: a 99% winning serial cross-market bettor bought Yes, aligning with 10-wallet one-sided flow and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won 76 of 77 resolved bets and is up about $300K lifetime.
- 10 wallets are all buying the same side, totaling about $144K in Yes bets.
- The bettor paid 58¢, while the market is now near 52¢, offering a cheaper entry than the sharp got.
$2,238 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 64%
10-wallet late Arsenal surge
High-conviction late sports flow: a brand-new wallet put $29.6k on Arsenal Yes seconds before resolution alongside 10 wallets totaling $143.7k the same way.
- 10 wallets all bought Arsenal Yes near resolution, totaling $143.7k on the same side.
- A brand-new wallet committed $29.6k just 20 seconds before the listed close.
- The bettor paid 61¢ while the market is now around 52¢, offering a cheaper follow entry than the flagged trade.
$29,579 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 56%
Top Holders
- 0x2a2c...9bc1 — Outcome 10220004, $566,409 (53% win rate)
- 0xbddf...c684 — Outcome 10220004, $292,454 (89% win rate)
- 0x6f80...8a96 — Outcome 10220004, $156,097 (100% win rate)
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 10220004, $145,648
- 0x5c3a...020b — Outcome 10220004, $140,000 (60% win rate)
- 0x37e4...c991 — Outcome 10220004, $115,471 (77% win rate)
- 0xce9d...f402 — Outcome 10220004, $107,208 (78% win rate)
- 0xcf98...6e0a — Outcome 10220004, $50,000 (86% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 10220004, $48,516 (64% win rate)
- 0xf3c7...c83b — Outcome 10220004, $40,000 (89% win rate)
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