Part of: Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?
In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 5, 2026 If Arsenal FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
30 smart money signals detected, totaling $394,469.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, UCL
Notable Trades
Linked new-wallet Yes cluster
A linked 3-wallet cluster led by a 5-day-old repeat bettor is buying Yes amid a major volume spike and strong upward price move, despite limited wallet track record.
- Three wallets funded by the same address are backing the same outcome with $6.1k total exposure.
- This 5-day-old wallet has already triggered 4 large-bet alerts and bought at 77¢ before the market moved to 82¢.
- Volume is up 188x versus normal and the Yes price has jumped 20 points in the last day.
$2,618 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 50%
76% winner exits No
A highly profitable serial sports trader is exiting No exposure during a major pre-event volume surge, effectively aligning with the sharp move toward Arsenal Yes, though this is more a position reversal than a fresh large bet.
- This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up about $1.06M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 187 events with over $1.1M deployed.
- Market volume spiked 188x while Arsenal Yes moved up 20 points in a day.
$2,407 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 78%
$6.9M sharp buying favorite
A highly profitable serial sports trader with a 72% win rate bought $11.7k Yes before the market moved sharply higher amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 72% of resolved trades and is up $6.9M lifetime.
- They bought $11.7k at 71¢, and the market has already moved to 82¢.
- Volume spiked 188x versus normal, suggesting broader momentum behind the move.
$11,729 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 64%
85% winner chasing late move
Proven profitable bettor is effectively buying Yes amid a huge volume spike and major price move toward Arsenal winning.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved bets and is up $361,734 lifetime.
- Market volume is running 300x above normal, with odds moving sharply toward this outcome.
- Their 78¢ entry implies confidence despite the market already moving 23 points this week.
$1,334 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 83%
11-wallet Yes surge
Coordinated one-sided Arsenal buying across 11 wallets drove a major price move, backed by a profitable serial cross-market trader and a 17x volume spike.
- 11 wallets bought the same side, putting $44.6k behind Arsenal Yes in the scan window.
- This wave moved the price from 50¢ to 78¢ alongside a 17x volume spike.
- The flagged bettor has traded 633 resolved markets and is up $35.5k lifetime.
$2,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 59%
89% winner joins Yes wave
Surface: an 89% lifetime winner bought Arsenal Yes amid 11-wallet one-sided flow, a 17x volume spike, and a 23-point price move.
- This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $206K lifetime.
- 11 wallets bought the same side for $44.6K as volume spiked 17x.
- The price has jumped 23 points, but this wallet entered at 76¢ before the current 78¢ level.
$1,520 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 90%
Linked No cluster
Surfacing because five wallets, including linked funding, bought the same No side alongside a profitable high-volume sports trader, though the market has moved sharply against their original 41¢ entry.
- Five wallets bought the same No side for $18.9K, with two wallets sharing a funder.
- This wallet is up $156K lifetime across 4,415 resolved trades and has traded 417 events.
- The original 41¢ No entry is now around 26¢, giving a much cheaper entry than the cluster paid.
$2,060 on No | Wallet win rate: 54%
9-wallet contrarian No cluster
A sizable 9-wallet contrarian cluster is buying Arsenal No with linked-wallet support and a volume spike, though trader track records are mixed and the market has moved against them.
- Nine wallets put $50.4K on Arsenal not winning, all in the same direction.
- Three wallets share the same funder, adding $6.1K to the No side.
- No is now 16¢ after these wallets paid around 23¢, giving a cheaper entry than the cluster got.
$50,368 on No
99% sharp joins Yes wave
Surface: a 99% winning serial cross-market bettor bought Yes, aligning with 10-wallet one-sided flow and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won 76 of 77 resolved bets and is up about $300K lifetime.
- 10 wallets are all buying the same side, totaling about $144K in Yes bets.
- The bettor paid 58¢, while the market is now near 52¢, offering a cheaper entry than the sharp got.
$2,238 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 79%
10-wallet late Arsenal surge
High-conviction late sports flow: a brand-new wallet put $29.6k on Arsenal Yes seconds before resolution alongside 10 wallets totaling $143.7k the same way.
- 10 wallets all bought Arsenal Yes near resolution, totaling $143.7k on the same side.
- A brand-new wallet committed $29.6k just 20 seconds before the listed close.
- The bettor paid 61¢ while the market is now around 52¢, offering a cheaper follow entry than the flagged trade.
$29,579 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 56%
Top Holders
- 0x2a2c...9bc1 — No, $566,409 (53% win rate)
- 0xbddf...c684 — No, $292,454 (89% win rate)
- 0x6f80...8a96 — No, $156,097 (100% win rate)
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $145,648
- 0x37e4...c991 — No, $115,471 (77% win rate)
- 0xce9d...f402 — No, $107,208 (78% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — No, $48,516 (64% win rate)
- 0xf3c7...c83b — No, $40,000 (87% win rate)
- 0x84cb...28ad — No, $37,500 (99% win rate)
- 0x9106...afcb — No, $32,800 (72% win rate)
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