Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs

20 smart money signals detected, totaling $219,272.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

High-win serial sports bettor

A proven high-volume sports trader with a 73% win rate bought Vitality before a sharp move higher, suggesting a bettor with repeatable edge rather than random whale flow.

  • This bettor has won 1,059 of 1,453 resolved trades and is up about $54k overall
  • They bought Vitality at 84¢ and the market is now 90¢, so the trade moved their way quickly
  • This wallet has traded 280 markets across 183 events, which points to a repeatable betting process rather than a one-off punt

$2,678 on Vitality | Wallet win rate: 73%

87% win-rate esports sharp

A proven sharp bettor with an 87% win rate and $4.1M profit made a large contrarian buy on Natus Vincere, and the price has since moved sharply in their favor.

  • This bettor wins 87% of their resolved trades and is up $4.1M lifetime.
  • They put $15.7k on Natus Vincere at 28¢, and the market is now 18¢ — a strong move in their favor.
  • This wallet has traded 107 markets across 98 events, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet.

$15,652 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 88%

91% win-rate sports sharp

A highly profitable cross-market sports bettor with a 91% win rate just put $9.4k on Natus Vincere at 26¢ into a volume spike, making this a strong copy-trade candidate despite the market being liquid.

  • This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up about $1.09M lifetime
  • They have made 350 bets across 327 events, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off hit
  • Bought Natus Vincere at 26¢ during a 57x volume surge, implying they see the underdog as materially underpriced

$9,423 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 90%

3-wallet esports cluster

Worth surfacing because a high-volume, profitable serial cross-market trader with 5,393 resolved bets bought into a pre-match volume surge, and the wallet is part of a 3-wallet funded cluster betting nearly $18k total.

  • This bettor has 5,393 resolved bets, wins 62% of them, and is up $88k lifetime.
  • Three wallets funded by the same source put nearly $18k into this setup, showing coordinated conviction.
  • The buy came during a 39.7x surge in market activity, suggesting smart money moved before the match.

$4,963 on Vitality | Wallet win rate: 62%

84% win-rate esports bettor

A proven sharp sports trader with an 84% win rate and strong cross-market history is buying Vitality into a pre-match volume surge, making this a worthwhile follow despite the modest size.

  • This bettor wins 84% of their trades and is up $92.5k across 401 resolved bets.
  • They have bet 48 related markets across 40 events, which points to a repeatable edge rather than a one-off punt.
  • They bought Vitality at 74¢ as volume ran nearly 40x above normal, adding momentum behind the position.

$1,984 on Vitality | Wallet win rate: 84%

96% win-rate sharp

An elite sports bettor with a 96% win rate and massive realized profits is taking the Vitality side here, making this a strong copy-trade despite the modest size in a very liquid market.

  • This bettor wins 96% of their trades across 744 settled markets and is up $24.3M
  • The trade was a sell on Natus Vincere at 26¢, which is equivalent to buying Vitality at 74¢
  • This wallet has traded 216 markets across 187 events with the same unusually strong hit rate

$1,466 on Vitality | Wallet win rate: 96%

84% win-rate sports sharp

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with an 84% win rate bought Vitality into a major pre-match volume spike, making this a credible sharp sports position worth surfacing.

  • This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $1.46M lifetime across 912 bets
  • They trade heavily across 377 markets and 256 events, which points to a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet
  • The buy came during a 94x pre-match volume spike, adding momentum behind Vitality at 74¢

$4,328 on Vitality | Wallet win rate: 84%

89% win-rate sharp

A highly profitable sharp wallet with an 89% win rate bought into a major pre-match volume surge, making this favorite-side entry worth following despite the modest size.

  • This bettor wins 89% of their trades and is up about $425k across 475 resolved markets
  • They bought during a 94x volume spike, showing strong market interest right before the match
  • Entry at 74¢ is a clear favorite bet, but this wallet’s long track record suggests their pricing is worth respecting

$1,579 on Vitality | Wallet win rate: 89%

75% win-rate serial bettor

A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with a strong long-term record bought Vitality into a live volume surge, making this worth surfacing despite the modest ticket size in a deep market.

  • This bettor wins 75% of 1,283 resolved trades and is up $1.18M lifetime
  • They have traded 267 markets across 154 events, suggesting a repeatable edge in event-driven markets
  • They bought Vitality at 74¢ during a 33.7x volume spike, backing the favorite as money rushed in

$1,631 on Vitality | Wallet win rate: 75%

$1M-profit esports sharp

A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with nearly $1.0M in profit just put $13.2k on the underdog in a liquid Counter-Strike market during a strong pre-match volume surge.

  • This bettor has won 63% of 244 resolved trades and is up about $985k lifetime
  • They just put $13.2k on Natus Vincere at 27¢, a clear underdog price with nearly 2.7x upside
  • Market activity is running 33.7x above normal, showing unusually strong pre-match positioning

$13,204 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 63%

Top Holders

  1. 0x63a5...8e33 Outcome 39179639, $285,992 (88% win rate)
  2. 0xa5ea...d96a Outcome 39179639, $149,998 (50% win rate)
  3. 0x18bb...e5cd Outcome 39179639, $42,247 (63% win rate)
  4. 0x8fbb...9a17 Outcome 41048816, $37,177 (86% win rate)
  5. 0x5d58...9a15 Outcome 39179639, $36,244 (90% win rate)
  6. 0x47f8...6699 Outcome 39179639, $21,789 (65% win rate)
  7. 0x0a63...fc03 Outcome 39179639, $14,465 (77% win rate)
  8. 0x66ba...621f Outcome 39179639, $11,342 (50% win rate)
  9. 0xafd4...7e61 Outcome 39179639, $10,000 (65% win rate)
  10. 0x5d34...7c8c Outcome 39179639, $9,781 (78% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

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Covers 1 related market

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Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs

Resolved$219,272 tracked20 signalsEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 2 match between Vitality and Natus Vincere in the IEM Rio Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 17 at 2:15PM ET. This market will resolve to "Vitality" if Vitality win the match against Natus Vincere. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win the match against Vitality. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Notable Trades

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs

1d ago

$2,678 on Vitality at 84¢

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs

1d ago

$15,652 on Natus Vincere at 28¢

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs

1d ago

$9,423 on Natus Vincere at 26¢

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs

1d ago

$4,963 on Vitality at 75¢

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs

1d ago

$1,984 on Vitality at 74¢

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs

1d ago

$1,466 on Vitality at 74¢

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs

1d ago

$4,328 on Vitality at 74¢

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs

1d ago

$1,579 on Vitality at 74¢

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs

1d ago

$1,631 on Vitality at 74¢

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs

1d ago

$13,204 on Natus Vincere at 27¢

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs

1d ago

$4,669 on Natus Vincere at 27¢

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs

1d ago

$1,517 on Vitality at 73¢

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs

1d ago

$125,375 on Natus Vincere at 28¢

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs

1d ago

$1,468 on Vitality at 74¢

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs

1d ago

$7,169 on Vitality at 74¢

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs

1d ago

$10,051 on Vitality at 74¢

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs

1d ago

$1,956 on Natus Vincere at 27¢

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs

1d ago

$4,949 on Vitality at 74¢

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs

1d ago

$3,671 on Vitality at 74¢

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs

2d ago

$1,537 on Vitality at 75¢

Related Theses

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs | PolySpotter