Part of: US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz
Shelton vs. Alcaraz: Match O/U 38.5
This Polymarket tennis market forecasts whether the Ben Shelton vs. Carlos Alcaraz US Open match will reach at least 39 total games. The market currently shows smart-money interest in Over, including an 84% winner-backed Over signal, and resolves after the match is completed, no later than September 15, 2026.
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $9,513.
Categories: Sports, Games, Tennis
Notable Trades
84% winner backs Over
A highly profitable serial trader with an 84% win rate and substantial edge is making a fresh $2,260 bet on Over at 54%.
- This bettor has won 84% of 673 resolved trades and earned $372,370 in profit.
- The $2,260 Over bet is unusually large relative to the market’s recent activity, signaling strong conviction.
- The trader has positioned across 274 markets and 211 events, making this more than an isolated wager.
$4,832 on Over | Wallet win rate: 85%
84% winner backs Over
A highly profitable serial trader with an 84% win rate and substantial edge is making a fresh $2,260 bet on Over at 54%.
- This bettor has won 84% of 673 resolved trades and earned $372,370 in profit.
- The $2,260 Over bet is unusually large relative to the market’s recent activity, signaling strong conviction.
- The trader has positioned across 274 markets and 211 events, making this more than an isolated wager.
$2,260 on Over | Wallet win rate: 85%
Sharp bettor scales into Over
A profitable bettor with an 80% win rate and strong historical edge added $1,250 to Over in an exceptionally thin market.
- This bettor has won 80% of 10 resolved trades and is up $9,307 overall.
- The $1,250 purchase was more than 76 times the market’s 24-hour volume, signaling strong conviction in Over 38.5.
- The wallet is adding to an existing Over position at 54¢, though the small track record warrants measured sizing.
$1,171 on Over | Wallet win rate: 61%
Sharp bettor scales into Over
A profitable bettor with an 80% win rate and strong historical edge added $1,250 to Over in an exceptionally thin market.
- This bettor has won 80% of 10 resolved trades and is up $9,307 overall.
- The $1,250 purchase was more than 76 times the market’s 24-hour volume, signaling strong conviction in Over 38.5.
- The wallet is adding to an existing Over position at 54¢, though the small track record warrants measured sizing.
$1,250 on Over | Wallet win rate: 61%
Top Holders
- 0x9f15...bdb3 — Outcome 10253133, $25,797 (79% win rate)
- 0x559b...4959 — Outcome 10253133, $20,000 (68% win rate)
- 0x21f3...35e3 — Outcome 10253133, $5,113 (74% win rate)
- 0xd871...6bba — Outcome 10253133, $2,220 (89% win rate)
- 0x7547...d158 — Outcome 10253133, $600
- 0x5e30...acbf — Outcome 10253133, $488 (81% win rate)
- 0x16cf...a2fb — Outcome 10253133, $109
- 0x2810...a1a8 — Outcome 10253133, $100
- 0x1dd2...9e07 — Outcome 10253133, $64
- 0xf59e...5525 — Outcome 10253133, $51
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