Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A

17 smart money signals detected, totaling $308,970.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

3-wallet Falcons push

Coordinated buying pushed into Team Falcons on a high-volume esports market, with one large profitable wallet leading multiple entries and the price moving from 52-55¢ to 58¢.

  • Three wallets piled into Team Falcons for $10.9k in a short window, led by one wallet that put in $8.3k across two buys.
  • The biggest bettor has made 1,688 resolved trades and is up about $87k lifetime, which makes this more worth tracking than random crowd flow.
  • They bought at 52-55¢ and the market is now 58¢, so the move already went their way.

$10,912 on Team Falcons

4-wallet Spirit cluster

A repeat new wallet put $20.2k into Spirit alongside 3 other wallets in a one-sided cluster, creating a notable coordinated esports bet despite weak current mark-to-market.

  • Four wallets all piled into Spirit, with $36.9k total on the same side.
  • This wallet is only 15 days old but has already been flagged 7 times and has put over $27k into big bets.
  • They bought Spirit around 49-53¢, so following only makes sense if Spirit can still be bought near 42¢.

$20,184 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 100%

4-wallet Spirit push

Worth surfacing because a proven cross-market bettor joined a 4-wallet, $36.9k one-sided push into Spirit during a major volume spike, even though this wallet’s own fill was worse than the current price.

  • Four wallets put $36.9k behind Spirit on the same market, a strong one-sided signal.
  • This wallet has bet across 88 related markets and is up $12.9k overall, suggesting a real edge rather than a random punt.
  • Market volume surged 21.7x above normal before the match, showing unusual attention around this side.

$1,234 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 54%

92% winner joins Falcons push

A proven sharp bettor with a 92% win rate joined a 5-wallet one-sided push into Team Falcons during a major pre-match volume spike, making this a strong follow signal despite the market being liquid.

  • This bettor wins 92% of their trades and is up nearly $196k across 80 resolved markets
  • Five wallets all bought Team Falcons together for $5.7k as volume ran 60.6x above normal
  • The entry was 50¢ and the market is now 48¢, keeping the price close to the sharp bettor's buy level

$1,034 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 93%

Sharp serial sports bettor

A high-performing serial event trader with a 77% win rate and $3.5M profit just placed a fresh $12.9k bet on Team Falcons at 53¢.

  • This bettor wins 77% of their resolved trades and is up $3.5M lifetime
  • They've traded 46 markets across 43 events, showing a repeatable edge rather than a one-off hit
  • They bought Team Falcons at 53¢, a near coin-flip price that suggests they see value in a liquid market

$12,872 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 76%

96% win-rate esports bettor

A bettor with a 96% win rate and $23.7M profit bought $25k of Spirit at 48¢ during a 39x pre-match volume spike, making this a strong copy-trade despite the modest composite score.

  • This bettor wins 96% of their resolved trades and is up $23.7M lifetime
  • They bought $25k of Spirit at 48¢ while market activity was running 39x above normal
  • Entry at 48¢ suggests they see Spirit as better than a coin flip in a very liquid match market

$25,043 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 96%

98% win-rate bettor

A highly proven sports trader with a 98% win rate bought Team Falcons at 53¢, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the modest size in a liquid market.

  • This bettor wins 98% of their resolved trades and is up $57k on $117k invested
  • They have done this across 67 events and 74 markets, so this is a repeatable edge rather than a one-off hit
  • Bought Team Falcons at 53¢, which signals they see Falcons as better than a coin flip

$1,026 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 99%

90% win-rate sharp bettor

A highly proven esports bettor with a 90% win rate and nearly $890k profit is buying Team Falcons at 53¢, making this a strong copy-trade despite the modest ticket size.

  • This bettor wins 90% of their trades and is up about $890k across 797 resolved positions
  • They trade heavily across related markets with the same strong record: 1,249 markets across 1,054 events
  • Bought Team Falcons at 53¢, a price that suggests they see Falcons as better than a coin flip

$1,161 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 91%

99% win-rate bettor

A bettor with an extraordinary 99% win rate and $141k profit bought Team Falcons at 53¢, making this a strong sharp-money signal despite the modest trade size.

  • This bettor wins 99% of their trades and is up $141k across 240 resolved positions
  • They bought Team Falcons at 53¢, suggesting they see value even in a deep, liquid market
  • The market is near a coin flip now, so their entry stands out as a sharp side pick rather than routine whale flow

$1,972 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 99%

76% win-rate sports sharp

A highly profitable sports trader with a 76% win rate and nearly $1M in profit is taking Spirit at 48¢, making this a credible copy-trade despite the modest ticket size.

  • This bettor wins 76% of their trades and is up $931k across 887 resolved bets
  • They have bet across 170 related markets and events, which points to a repeatable edge rather than a one-off hit
  • Buying Spirit at 48¢ means they likely see this as better than a coin flip at near-even odds

$2,003 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 76%

Top Holders

  1. 0x5d58...9a15 Outcome 88916559, $355,109 (90% win rate)
  2. 0xc257...358e Outcome 88916559, $106,173 (96% win rate)
  3. 0x0dcf...c556 Outcome 88916559, $51,681 (94% win rate)
  4. 0x60c3...5947 Outcome 88916559, $40,679 (100% win rate)
  5. 0x52ec...a6f3 Outcome 88916559, $9,844 (75% win rate)
  6. 0xd4aa...d40c Outcome 88916559, $9,095
  7. 0x1d5c...4f26 Outcome 88916559, $7,691 (63% win rate)
  8. 0x6902...b4ca Outcome 88916559, $6,153 (91% win rate)
  9. 0x44c5...8d45 Outcome 88916559, $4,174 (76% win rate)
  10. 0xf559...f462 Outcome 88916559, $4,102 (86% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A

Resolved$308,970 tracked17 signalsEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket semifinal 2 match between Spirit and Team Falcons in the IEM Rio Group A, initially scheduled for April 14 at 11:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit win the match against Team Falcons. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win the match against Spirit. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Notable Trades

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A

5d ago

$10,912 on Team Falcons at 54¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A

5d ago

$20,184 on Spirit at 51¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A

5d ago

$1,234 on Spirit at 57¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A

5d ago

$1,034 on Team Falcons at 50¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A

5d ago

$12,872 on Team Falcons at 53¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A

5d ago

$25,043 on Spirit at 48¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A

5d ago

$1,026 on Team Falcons at 53¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A

5d ago

$1,161 on Team Falcons at 53¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A

5d ago

$1,972 on Team Falcons at 53¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A

5d ago

$2,003 on Spirit at 48¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A

5d ago

$4,783 on Spirit at 25¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A

5d ago

$73,839 on Spirit at 48¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A

5d ago

$48,527 on Spirit at 48¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A

5d ago

$97,516 on Spirit at 50¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A

5d ago

$3,135 on Team Falcons at 53¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A

6d ago

$1,847 on Spirit at 48¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A

6d ago

$1,880 on Spirit at 48¢

Related Theses