Part of: Portugal vs. Uzbekistan - More Markets

Spread: Portugal (-1.5)

17 smart money signals detected, totaling $154,010.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

New profitable whale buying Portugal

A brand-new wallet with early profits is making another sizable Portugal spread bet, with repeated large-bet flags and market momentum in the same direction.

  • This 18-hour-old bettor is already up $2.8K and has now been flagged 4 times for large bets.
  • They put $6.6K on Portugal at 69¢, adding to $15.5K in notable flagged activity.
  • The market is moving with them, up 9 percentage points today and 13 over the week.

$6,561 on Portugal | Wallet win rate: 50%

95% win-rate sharp

A proven sharp wallet with a 95% historical win rate and strong profit is buying Portugal -1.5 despite a liquid market.

  • This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $53K lifetime.
  • Their track record is strong across 521 resolved positions, with wins coming at much lower average prices than the market implied.
  • Portugal has already moved 9 points today, and this sharp is still buying at 69¢.

$1,049 on Portugal | Wallet win rate: 95%

96% win-rate sports bettor

Sharp sports bettor with a 96% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought Portugal -1.5 despite a liquid market.

  • This bettor has won 44 of 46 resolved positions and is up $9,464 lifetime.
  • They bought Portugal at 69¢ after a strong move, with the market up 9 points today and 13 points this week.
  • The $3,000 entry implies confidence that Portugal win by 2+ goals despite the price already being high.

$3,000 on Portugal | Wallet win rate: 96%

New sports wallet scaling

Very new wallet is making repeat sports bets and already has an early profitable result, though the stake is modest relative to this liquid market.

  • This 1-day-old wallet has already made repeat flagged bets totaling $3.4K.
  • The bettor is 1-for-1 on resolved markets and up $829 so far.
  • Portugal has moved 9 points in the past day, and this buy follows the market momentum.

$1,700 on Portugal | Wallet win rate: 100%

97% winner backs Portugal spread

Elite proven sports bettor with a 97% resolved win rate and over $1M profit bought Portugal -1.5 at 58¢.

  • This bettor has won 298 of 308 resolved positions and is up about $1.05M lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market sports trader with activity across 213 events and a 97% win rate.
  • A $3.3K buy at 58¢ suggests they see Portugal winning by 2+ as underpriced.

$3,829 on Portugal | Wallet win rate: 93%

91% win-rate bettor

Sharp-wallet override: a 10/11 resolved bettor with positive P&L is buying Portugal -1.5 despite this being a liquid market and otherwise low-signal alert.

  • This bettor has won 10 of 11 resolved bets and has beaten the odds by a wide margin.
  • They bought $3.6K of Portugal at 68¢ as the market has already moved 9 points today.
  • Entry at 68¢ implies confidence Portugal win by 2+ goals.

$3,588 on Portugal | Wallet win rate: 96%

80% sports bettor

Moderately interesting sports bet from a wallet with an 80% resolved-bet hit rate and strong odds-adjusted edge, though lifetime dollar P&L is slightly negative.

  • This bettor has won 8 of 10 resolved positions, with wins coming at much tougher average odds than typical favorites.
  • They put $10.2K on Portugal -1.5 at 68¢ as the market has already moved 8 points in the past day.
  • The wallet is not profitable overall, so this is a track-record signal rather than a clean sharp-wallet slam dunk.

$10,200 on Portugal | Wallet win rate: 85%

Profitable serial sports bettor

A highly profitable serial cross-market sports bettor put $39k on Portugal -1.5 during a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor is up $935k lifetime across more than 1,100 resolved markets.
  • They put $39k on Portugal to win by 2+, a large single bet at 58¢.
  • Market volume spiked 454x versus its historical average, suggesting broader momentum behind this side.

$3,895 on Portugal | Wallet win rate: 63%

Proven sharp takes underdog spread

A highly profitable serial sports bettor with a 76% record and $1.84M lifetime profit is buying Uzbekistan against the Portugal -1.5 spread.

  • This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $1.84M lifetime.
  • They have traded 296 markets across 194 events, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
  • Entry at 33¢ implies a 3x payout if Uzbekistan keeps it within one goal or wins.

$1,750 on Uzbekistan | Wallet win rate: 76%

Profitable serial sports bettor

A profitable serial cross-market sports bettor with a 72% resolved record bought $8.3k of Portugal -1.5 amid a 13.5x pre-event volume spike and rising odds.

  • This bettor has won 72% of 29 resolved trades and is up $2.7k lifetime.
  • They put $8.3k on Portugal -1.5 at 67¢ in a liquid market with tight pricing.
  • Market activity is heating up, with volume 13.5x above normal and Portugal up 8 points today.

$8,323 on Portugal | Wallet win rate: 79%

Top Holders

  1. 0xe549...2d54 Outcome 42722249, $299,999 (98% win rate)
  2. 0x224a...a3d5 Outcome 42722249, $70,408 (62% win rate)
  3. 0x23d8...0288 Outcome 42722249, $62,999 (86% win rate)
  4. 0xc3c3...eec8 Outcome 42722249, $60,000 (99% win rate)
  5. 0xad94...85b1 Outcome 42722249, $44,434 (41% win rate)
  6. 0xc41d...74fd Outcome 42722249, $13,200 (97% win rate)
  7. 0xec8d...dd71 Outcome 42722249, $7,873 (73% win rate)
  8. 0x2a69...d2f7 Outcome 42722249, $7,610 (64% win rate)
  9. 0x160b...4296 Outcome 42722249, $5,373 (76% win rate)
  10. 0x9c76...c926 Outcome 42722249, $4,000 (91% win rate)

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Spread: Portugal (-1.5)

ResolvedPortugal vs. Uzbekistan - More Markets$154,010 tracked17 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 23 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Portugal" if Portugal win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Uzbekistan". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “Portugal
93¢
74¢
54¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Spread: Portugal (-1.5)

8d ago

$6,561 on Portugal at 69¢

Spread: Portugal (-1.5)

8d ago

$1,049 on Portugal at 69¢

Spread: Portugal (-1.5)

8d ago

$3,000 on Portugal at 69¢

Spread: Portugal (-1.5)

8d ago

$1,700 on Portugal at 69¢

Spread: Portugal (-1.5)

8d ago

$3,829 on Portugal at 58¢

Spread: Portugal (-1.5)

8d ago

$3,588 on Portugal at 68¢

Spread: Portugal (-1.5)

8d ago

$10,200 on Portugal at 68¢

Spread: Portugal (-1.5)

8d ago

$3,895 on Portugal at 58¢

Spread: Portugal (-1.5)

9d ago

$1,750 on Uzbekistan at 33¢

Spread: Portugal (-1.5)

9d ago

$8,323 on Portugal at 67¢

Spread: Portugal (-1.5)

9d ago

$13,090 on Portugal at 65¢

Spread: Portugal (-1.5)

8d ago

$32,959 on Portugal at 69¢

Spread: Portugal (-1.5)

10d ago

$12,426 on Portugal at 58¢

Spread: Portugal (-1.5)

10d ago

$39,248 on Portugal at 58¢

Spread: Portugal (-1.5)

11d ago

$7,959 on Uzbekistan at 43¢

Spread: Portugal (-1.5)

13d ago

$3,255 on Portugal at 58¢

Spread: Portugal (-1.5)

14d ago

$1,180 on Portugal at 59¢

Related Theses