Part of: Boise State vs. Fresno State

Boise State vs. Fresno State

In the upcoming college football game between Boise State and Fresno State, scheduled for October 10 at 10:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Boise State" if Boise State win the game. This market will resolve to "Fresno State" if Fresno State win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

8 smart money signals detected, totaling $912,358.

Categories: Sports, CFB (All), Games

Notable Trades

New whale adding to Boise State

A newly created, repeatedly active wallet added roughly $257K to an already large Boise State position amid an exceptional volume spike, though its limited track record and current price decline weaken the case for an edge.

This wallet bought about $257K of Boise State across three trades and already had roughly $342K invested in the same outcome.
The 3-hour-old wallet has made 12 large flagged trades, while activity in this market surged far above its historical average.
The buys were at 88–89¢, versus current odds of 82¢, and the wallet has only two resolved bets—so its edge is unproven.

$256,728 on Boise State | Wallet win rate: 95%

Profitable serial bettor buying Boise State

A highly profitable, experienced bettor placed $15,833 on Boise State alongside an extreme pre-event volume spike, making this a notable directional position despite the price moving against their entries.

This bettor has a 70% win rate across 1,076 resolved bets and is up $3.53M lifetime.
They bought $15,833 of Boise State across three trades, averaging about 83¢ per share.
Market activity was 2,672 times its historical average, though Boise State is now priced at 78¢.

$15,833 on Boise State | Wallet win rate: 72%

Profitable serial event trader

A highly experienced, profitable trader entered Boise State amid an unusually large pre-event volume spike, though the bet is modest and priced close to current odds.

This trader has resolved over 57,000 bets and is up about $5.8M lifetime.
Boise State was bought at 79¢ during a reported 2,672× pre-event volume spike; the price is close to current odds.

$1,855 on Boise State | Wallet win rate: 55%

New whale adds $300K to Boise State

A very new wallet has built a roughly $640K Boise State position through repeated buys, alongside an extreme volume spike, though the price has since fallen from its entry.

This wallet added about $301K to an existing $342K Boise State position in four buys.
The wallet is only 3 hours old and the market saw a reported 2,821× volume spike.
The buys were around 88–89¢, while Boise State is now near 78¢; the position is already underwater.

$301,579 on Boise State | Wallet win rate: 95%

Proven winner backs Boise State

A highly profitable bettor with a large, meaningful track record placed a $9,000 Boise State bet amid an extreme pre-event volume spike, though the market has since moved below their entry.

This bettor has won 70% of 1,076 resolved bets and is up $3.53M lifetime.
They put $9,000 on Boise State at 85¢ as market activity surged far above its historical average.
Boise State is now priced at 78¢, below their entry, so the market has moved against the bet since it was placed.

$9,000 on Boise State | Wallet win rate: 72%

Profitable bettor joins $312K Boise cluster

A three-wallet $312K Boise State cluster includes a highly profitable bettor with 1,076 resolved positions, alongside a large add by a wallet already holding a substantial position.

One bettor has a 70% win rate across 1,076 resolved positions and is up $3.53M lifetime.
Three wallets bought Boise State for $312K total, including a series of large buys from a wallet already holding $342K.
Boise State had risen 17% in a day; the cluster bought around 84–89¢ with current odds near 88%.

$312,179 on Boise State

Proven sharp backs Boise State

A highly profitable bettor with 1,334 resolved positions and an 80% win rate placed a $13,184 Boise State bet in a low-volume market.

This bettor has won 80% of 1,334 resolved positions and is up $11.1 million.
They put $13,184 on Boise State at 74¢—more than ten times the market’s recent daily volume.
The wallet has traded across 99 events and 286 markets, with an 80% win rate.

$13,184 on Boise State | Wallet win rate: 81%

99% winner adds to Fresno position

A highly profitable bettor with a reported 99% win rate is adding to an existing Fresno State position, though the trade is at the current market price.

This bettor has won 167 of 168 resolved positions and is up $292,643.
They added $2,000 to Fresno State at 32¢, matching their existing position’s average entry.
The bettor has positioned across 178 events, but the current market also prices Fresno State at 32¢.

$2,000 on Fresno State | Wallet win rate: 100%