Part of: Real Madrid CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid - More Markets
Real Madrid CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 4.5
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $13,842.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, LALIGA
Notable Trades
Profitable trio exits Over
Three wallets coordinated a $4,730 Over exit, including two profitable serial cross-market traders, though their prior Over positions make this weaker than a fresh directional bet.
- Three wallets moved together with $4,730 in Over sells, signaling a shared view that five or more goals was overpriced.
- Two participants have strong long-term records: 63% and 68% win rates with combined profits above $172,000.
- All three had previously held Over positions, so this appears partly to be coordinated position-closing rather than entirely new conviction.
$4,730 on Under
Three-wallet Over cluster with market momentum
Three wallets committed $7,711 to Over alongside a sharp 30% weekly price rise and cross-market positioning, though one experienced trader is also hedged with Under.
- Three wallets bought Over for a combined $7,711, creating concentrated one-sided conviction in a relatively modest-liquidity market.
- The market has risen 30% over the past week and 25.5% in one day as this buying emerged.
- One participant has 74,910 resolved bets and $6.75M in lifetime profit, while the group is active across six related markets.
$7,711 on Over
Sharp bettor doubles down on Under
A proven bettor with 230 resolved trades and a meaningful edge is adding to an Under position despite the market moving strongly toward Over.
- This bettor wins 77% of 230 trades and is up $51,641 lifetime while beating average implied odds by 19%.
- They are adding to an existing Under position at 45¢ despite Over rising to roughly 70%, signaling strong contrarian conviction.
- The trade is part of a broad record spanning 82 events and 103 markets, rather than an isolated wager.
$1,400 on Under | Wallet win rate: 78%
Top Holders
- 0xd052...563d — Outcome 73837658, $3,111 (78% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 73837658, $1,602 (64% win rate)
- 0x31c7...eca3 — Outcome 73837658, $1,290 (48% win rate)
- 0x5811...0976 — Outcome 73837658, $1,009 (45% win rate)
- 0xcc72...2888 — Outcome 73837658, $1,000 (90% win rate)
- 0xfb20...3b5c — Outcome 73837658, $915 (74% win rate)
- 0x3e9f...3988 — Outcome 73837658, $791 (77% win rate)
- 0x8220...b081 — Outcome 73837658, $432
- 0x10d4...69eb — Outcome 73837658, $411 (52% win rate)
- 0x2983...4eb2 — Outcome 73837658, $244
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