Part of: Senegal vs. Iraq
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?
21 smart money signals detected, totaling $484,652.
Categories: Sports, FIFA World Cup, Soccer, Games
Notable Trades
78% winner caught move
Sharp profitable sports bettor bought Senegal at 81¢ before the market rallied to 94¢ amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $41k lifetime.
- They bought Senegal at 81¢ before the price jumped to 94¢.
- Market volume surged 138x versus normal, reinforcing the move.
$2,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 78%
Winning sports bettor momentum
Moderately interesting Senegal Yes buy from an 81% historical winner, supported by a major pre-event volume spike and a sharp move from 81¢ to 94¢.
- This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades, though lifetime profit is slightly negative.
- They bought Senegal Yes at 81¢ before the market moved to 94¢.
- Market volume spiked 138x versus normal, with Senegal odds up 14 points today.
$3,298 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 80%
88% winner backing Yes
Surface: this is a proven high-volume sports bettor with an 88% win rate and $3.3M profit buying Senegal amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $3.3M lifetime.
- They have traded over 1,000 events with nearly $9.8M in cross-market volume, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- Market volume spiked 178x before the game, and they bought Yes at 80¢.
$2,641 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 88%
92% serial sports bettor
Sharp serial cross-market sports bettor with a 92% record and positive lifetime P&L is buying Senegal despite a highly liquid market.
- This bettor has won 92% of 555 resolved trades and is up about $4.2k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, with $54.6k deployed across 25 sports events.
- Buying at 80¢ suggests confidence Senegal is still underpriced despite already being the heavy favorite.
$1,860 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 93%
82% win serial trader
High-win-rate serial sports trader bought Senegal No into a major pre-game volume spike, despite negative lifetime P&L reducing confidence.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved bets across 211 markets and regularly trades across related events.
- Market activity spiked 781x before the game, suggesting a wave of fresh positioning.
- Buying No at 21¢ implies a nearly 5x payout if Senegal fails to win in regulation.
$4,921 on No | Wallet win rate: 73%
New whale repeat bettor
A 16-day-old repeat whale put $379k on Senegal Yes amid a 202x pre-event volume spike, suggesting strong conviction despite limited resolved history.
- A 16-day-old wallet bought $379k of Senegal Yes at 79¢ in one burst.
- This wallet has triggered 19 large-bet alerts totaling $1.7M, showing repeated high-conviction sizing.
- Market activity spiked 202x versus its historical average, with Yes already up 5 points this week.
$379,002 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 93%
Six-wallet No cluster with sharp whale
High-scoring coordinated No buying on a liquid Senegal match market, backed by a 6-wallet cluster, a major pre-event volume spike, and at least one highly profitable sports-style trader.
- Six wallets bought $35.6K of No, with two wallets sharing a funder.
- One wallet in the cluster wins 88% of resolved bets and is up $3.3M lifetime.
- Market volume spiked 202x before the match, while the cluster entered around 21¢.
$35,588 on No
88% win-rate sharp
Surfaced because a highly profitable 88% win-rate bettor with extensive cross-market history bought Senegal Yes at 80¢.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $3.3M lifetime.
- They have traded across 1,224 markets with a strong long-term record.
- Entry at 80¢ shows confidence despite an already liquid market.
$4,851 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 88%
Sharp serial sports bettor
Sharp sports bettor with a 79% record and strong lifetime profit is buying Senegal Yes despite the market already being liquid and priced at 80%.
- This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $81,220 lifetime.
- They have traded across 61 events, suggesting a repeatable sports edge rather than a one-off bet.
- Entry at 80¢ means they are backing Senegal even at favorite pricing.
$1,280 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 79%
86% winner backing favorite
Sharp wallet with an 86% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought $12.7k of Senegal Yes amid a pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $42k lifetime.
- They put $12.7k on Senegal at 80¢, adding meaningful conviction despite a liquid market.
- Market activity is heating up, with volume running 19x above its historical average.
$12,695 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 88%
Top Holders
- 0x9ee8...89de — Outcome 12426288, $460,443 (74% win rate)
- 0x9703...69c2 — Outcome 12426288, $219,687
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 12426288, $151,055
- 0xad94...85b1 — Outcome 12426288, $70,000 (41% win rate)
- 0x4f29...7a7e — Outcome 12426288, $60,000 (54% win rate)
- 0x5fd8...ce32 — Outcome 12426288, $48,000 (94% win rate)
- 0x1b76...0c37 — Outcome 12426288, $43,000 (88% win rate)
- 0xf3c7...c83b — Outcome 12426288, $25,826 (87% win rate)
- 0xec8d...dd71 — Outcome 12426288, $16,350 (73% win rate)
- 0xec4c...fb48 — Outcome 12426288, $15,057 (100% win rate)
Related Theses
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