Part of: Germany vs. Curaçao - More Markets

Spread: Germany (-1.5)

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $41,308.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

91% winner buying dip

Sharp sports bettor with a 91% record and strong lifetime profit bought Germany -1.5 despite the market drifting down.

  • This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $37.9K lifetime.
  • They bought Germany at 78¢ after the price fell about 7 points this week.
  • Entry at 78¢ implies they still see value despite a highly traded market.

$1,000 on Germany | Wallet win rate: 92%

Six-wallet Germany surge

Strong one-sided pre-game flow into Germany with 6 wallets buying $115K and a major volume spike, though this specific wallet has a weak long-term record.

  • Six wallets bought the same Germany side for $115K, making this a strong one-way flow signal.
  • Volume is running about 75x normal, suggesting a broad pre-game repricing.
  • This wallet added aggressively as Germany moved from 54¢ to the mid-80s, but its long-term record is weak.

$16,156 on Germany | Wallet win rate: 46%

Six-wallet Germany surge

Strong one-sided pre-game flow into Germany with 6 wallets buying $115K and a major volume spike, though this specific wallet has a weak long-term record.

  • Six wallets bought the same Germany side for $115K, making this a strong one-way flow signal.
  • Volume is running about 75x normal, suggesting a broad pre-game repricing.
  • This wallet added aggressively as Germany moved from 54¢ to the mid-80s, but its long-term record is weak.

$10,284 on Germany | Wallet win rate: 46%

97% winner backs favorite

Sharp sports wallet with a 97% win rate over 1,338 resolved positions bought nearly $10k of Germany -1.5 despite already-high odds.

  • This bettor wins 97% of resolved trades and is up $97k lifetime.
  • They put nearly $10k on Germany to win by 2+ goals at 87¢.
  • A 1,338-bet track record makes the wallet itself the main signal.

$9,968 on Germany | Wallet win rate: 97%

99% win-rate sports bettor

Sharp sports wallet with a 99% resolved-bet win record and positive lifetime P&L bought Germany -1.5 despite only a modest alert score.

  • This bettor has won 74 of 75 resolved bets and is up $25.5k lifetime.
  • Their past wins came at 81¢ average odds, so the record is strong even after accounting for favorites.
  • They bought Germany at 87¢ in a liquid World Cup spread market, signaling confidence despite already-high odds.

$1,900 on Germany | Wallet win rate: 97%

Proven serial sports bettor

A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with a 73% record and positive lifetime P&L is buying Germany -1.5 at 84¢.

  • This bettor has won 73% of 758 resolved trades and is up $42k lifetime.
  • They are a heavy cross-market trader, with $399k tracked across 191 markets.
  • The $2k buy was large versus recent activity, signaling conviction at 84¢.

$2,000 on Germany | Wallet win rate: 72%

Top Holders

  1. 0x2a69...d2f7 Outcome 10248446, $120,655 (72% win rate)
  2. 0x7fe8...06c9 Outcome 10248446, $2,875 (100% win rate)
  3. 0xc291...5d74 Outcome 10248446, $2,573 (66% win rate)
  4. 0x6bba...d7b8 Outcome 10248446, $1,672 (89% win rate)
  5. 0x52d9...fb1a Outcome 10248446, $1,602 (71% win rate)
  6. 0x354b...4744 Outcome 10248446, $1,250 (55% win rate)
  7. 0x4d7a...751a Outcome 10248446, $1,003
  8. 0x4df3...788f Outcome 10248446, $960 (70% win rate)
  9. 0xe692...05e8 Outcome 10248446, $656
  10. 0xf47d...2834 Outcome 10248446, $618

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Spread: Germany (-1.5)

ResolvedGermany vs. Curaçao - More Markets$41,308 tracked6 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 14 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Germany" if Germany win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Curaçao". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Notable Trades

Spread: Germany (-1.5)

70d ago

$1,000 on Germany at 78¢

Spread: Germany (-1.5)

70d ago

$16,156 on Germany at 87¢

Spread: Germany (-1.5)

70d ago

$10,284 on Germany at 87¢

Spread: Germany (-1.5)

70d ago

$9,968 on Germany at 87¢

Spread: Germany (-1.5)

70d ago

$1,900 on Germany at 87¢

Spread: Germany (-1.5)

71d ago

$2,000 on Germany at 84¢

Related Theses