Part of: Hertha BSC vs. 1. FC Magdeburg
Will Hertha BSC win on 2026-09-06?
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $40,023.
Categories: Bundesliga 2, Games, Soccer, Sports
Notable Trades
Nine-wallet No cluster
Nine wallets collectively bought No with $17,352 amid a 10.2x volume surge, making the coordinated market-wide positioning worth monitoring despite this wallet's routine Yes exit.
- Nine wallets bought No for a combined $17,352, showing concentrated directional conviction.
- Trading volume reached 10.2 times its historical average across 26 trades.
- This wallet's 57% win rate is only modestly persuasive, and its Yes sale appears to close an existing position rather than signal fresh insight.
$1,376 on No | Wallet win rate: 58%
Coordinated contrarian No buyers
Five wallets, including highly profitable bettors, collectively positioned $6,594 on No while No flow and volume surged against a 76% Yes market.
- Five wallets committed $6,594 to No while the market still priced Hertha's win at 76%.
- The group includes a bettor with a 93% win rate and another with a 78% win rate and $1.7M in profits.
- No saw an 18-point price move and a 1,458x historical volume spike, indicating unusually strong coordinated interest.
$6,594 on No
Experienced serial bettor buys No
A highly active bettor with a 66% win rate made a sizable No bet in a thin market, though the edge is moderate rather than exceptional.
- This bettor has won 66% of 363 resolved trades and is up $29,211 lifetime.
- The $3,700 No position was over three times the market's recent 24-hour volume.
- The No entry at 37¢ has already moved to 44¢, while this trader routinely positions across many events.
$1,644 on No | Wallet win rate: 65%
Sharp bettor joins five-wallet No flow
A highly profitable serial trader sold Yes at 71¢ while five wallets collectively bought No, supported by an extreme volume spike and strong recent price movement toward No.
- This bettor has won 78% of 1,559 resolved trades and earned $1.7M in profit.
- Five wallets bought No for a combined $9,368, while market volume surged to 1,954 times its historical average.
- The Yes sale appears partly to be closing an existing position, but the coordinated No flow and move from 71¢ to 56¢ support the bearish thesis.
$1,206 on No | Wallet win rate: 78%
Nine-wallet winning Yes cluster
A nine-wallet bullish cluster, including two highly accurate bettors, drove a sharp move in Hertha Yes from roughly 50–77¢ to 100¢, though the opportunity has passed.
- Nine wallets put $25,502 behind Yes, with the market rising 27 percentage points to 100%.
- Two participants stand out: one wins 98% of 278 bets and another wins 94% of 16 bets, both buying near 50¢.
- The market is now priced at 100¢, so this is mainly a trade to study; entries above 60¢ would not offer a comparable margin.
$25,502 on Yes
Experienced serial bettor buys No
A highly active bettor with a 66% win rate made a sizable No bet in a thin market, though the edge is moderate rather than exceptional.
- This bettor has won 66% of 363 resolved trades and is up $29,211 lifetime.
- The $3,700 No position was over three times the market's recent 24-hour volume.
- The No entry at 37¢ has already moved to 44¢, while this trader routinely positions across many events.
$3,700 on No | Wallet win rate: 65%
Top Holders
- 0xc250...51d1 — Outcome 14785818, $1,372 (71% win rate)
- 0x9316...04eb — Outcome 14785818, $990 (46% win rate)
- 0x775d...6beb — Outcome 14785818, $710 (76% win rate)
- 0x976a...e8ec — Outcome 14785818, $553
- 0xe8e0...7eec — Outcome 14785818, $544 (85% win rate)
- 0xdbdd...a5de — Outcome 14785818, $500 (62% win rate)
- 0xbf49...b4a5 — Outcome 14785818, $206
- 0xcb01...7dfb — Outcome 14785818, $200
- 0x089c...4dc4 — Outcome 14785818, $155
- 0x61f6...e497 — Outcome 14785818, $141
