Part of: Boxing: Tyson Fury vs. Arslanbek Makhmudov

Boxing: Tyson Fury vs. Arslanbek Makhmudov

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $11,942.

Categories: tyson fury, Heavyweight, Boxing, Sports, Combat Sports, Arslanbek Makhmudov

Notable Trades

Profitable longshot bettor

A highly active and profitable cross-market bettor with a 70% win rate bought a longshot outcome that has since collapsed from 17% to 3%, making it a notable sharp contrarian position to watch even with only a moderate composite score.

  • This bettor has won 246 of 350 resolved trades and is up about $452k lifetime
  • They bought the underdog at 17¢ in a major fight market, implying they saw the true odds much higher
  • This wallet trades across 107 markets in 81 events, suggesting a repeatable event-trading process rather than a one-off punt

$1,827 on Makhmudov | Wallet win rate: 71%

Sharp dog-bet cluster

Three wallets piled into the 17¢ Makhmudov side during a major volume spike, including one highly profitable bettor and one perfect 25-for-25 wallet, making this a notable contrarian cluster worth watching.

  • Three wallets all bought Makhmudov at 17¢ for $6.8k total, a clear coordinated shot on the underdog.
  • The strongest wallet in the group is up $452k with a 70% win rate, and another is 25-for-25 with $86k profit.
  • They bought into a 31x volume spike, and 17¢ implies they think the underdog has much better than a 1-in-6 chance.

$6,800 on Makhmudov

25-0 sharp underdog bet

A wallet with a perfect 25-for-25 resolved record and strong edge bought the underdog in a spiking fight market at 17¢, making this a sharp contrarian sports bet worth surfacing.

  • This bettor has won 25 of 25 resolved markets and is up $86k, which makes their trades worth tracking
  • They bought Makhmudov at 17¢ in a fight market that saw volume jump 40.8x above normal
  • The market is now 12¢, so they entered before the latest move and are taking a clear underdog shot

$3,315 on Makhmudov | Wallet win rate: 100%

Top Holders

  1. 0xe8c2...3048 Outcome 10788533, $22,720 (100% win rate)
  2. 0x186b...641c Outcome 10788533, $21,596
  3. 0x71ca...3501 Outcome 10788533, $10,834 (71% win rate)
  4. 0xd34b...0004 Outcome 10788533, $9,132 (95% win rate)
  5. 0x8260...a14b Outcome 10788533, $5,419 (43% win rate)
  6. 0x3859...3070 Outcome 10788533, $4,997 (85% win rate)
  7. 0x3bea...f95a Outcome 10788533, $4,254 (54% win rate)
  8. 0xf584...2497 Outcome 10788533, $3,464 (51% win rate)
  9. 0x0dc5...a303 Outcome 10788533, $2,573 (59% win rate)
  10. 0x356f...639f Outcome 10788533, $2,492

Related Theses

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Boxing: Tyson Fury vs. Arslanbek Makhmudov

ResolvedBoxing: Tyson Fury vs. Arslanbek Makhmudov$11,942 tracked3 signalstyson furyHeavyweightBoxingSportsCombat SportsArslanbek Makhmudov

This market will resolve to "Fury" if Tyson Fury is officially declared the winner of the fight against Arslanbek Makhmudov at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London, England, scheduled for April 11, 2026. It will resolve to "Makhmudov" if Arslanbek Makhmudov is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the broadcast streamed on Netflix; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Notable Trades

Boxing: Tyson Fury vs. Arslanbek Makhmudov

39d ago

$1,827 on Makhmudov at 17¢

Boxing: Tyson Fury vs. Arslanbek Makhmudov

39d ago

$6,800 on Makhmudov at 17¢

Boxing: Tyson Fury vs. Arslanbek Makhmudov

39d ago

$3,315 on Makhmudov at 17¢

Related Theses