Part of: UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)
This prediction market tracks who will officially win the heavyweight main-card fight between Ciryl Gane and Alex Pereira at UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje, scheduled for June 14, 2026. The market resolves to Gane or Pereira based on the official fight result, with a 50-50 resolution if the bout ends in a draw, no contest, cancellation, or is postponed beyond June 28, 2026. PolySpotter is currently tracking $1,500 in smart money across 1 signal for this market.
This market will resolve to "Ciryl Gane" if Ciryl Gane is officially declared the winner of the fight against Alex Pereira at UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje, scheduled for June 14, 2026. It will resolve to "Alex Pereira" if Alex Pereira is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 28, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
11 smart money signals detected, totaling $95,768.
Categories: Sports, UFC, Games
Notable Trades
90% winner backs Pereira
Sharp sports bettor with a 90% resolved win rate and positive P&L bought Alex Pereira at near-even odds.
- This bettor has won 9 of 10 resolved bets and is up $2,819 lifetime.
- They are buying Alex Pereira at 51¢ in a highly liquid UFC market, suggesting they see value near even odds.
- Their past wins came at average 63¢ odds, well below their 90% hit rate.
$1,500 on Alex Pereira | Wallet win rate: 90%
94% win-rate sports sharp
Elite profitable sports bettor with a 94% historical win rate bought $5,000 of Ciryl Gane at even odds.
- This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $395,791 lifetime.
- They have a long cross-market track record: 158 events and $720,381 traded.
- A $5,000 buy at 50¢ implies they see Gane as mispriced at even odds.
$5,000 on Ciryl Gane | Wallet win rate: 94%
Undefeated serial sports bettor
Sharp undefeated wallet with 12 resolved wins and strong profit is buying Alex Pereira at an even-money entry.
- This bettor is 12-for-12 on resolved bets and is up $30,260 lifetime.
- They have traded across 26 events, suggesting a repeat sports-betting process rather than a one-off bet.
- Entry at 50¢ gives an even-money copy point on Alex Pereira.
$4,000 on Alex Pereira | Wallet win rate: 100%
Sharp bettor fading Gane
Sharp profitable wallet with an 85% resolved win rate is effectively backing Alex Pereira at even odds by selling Ciryl Gane.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $23,177 lifetime.
- They are effectively backing Alex Pereira at 50¢ in a fight priced as a coin flip.
- The wallet has been flagged repeatedly, suggesting this is not a one-off sharp signal.
$1,198 on Alex Pereira | Wallet win rate: 85%
85% winning bettor
Surface because this is a proven profitable wallet with an 85% resolved-bet win rate buying Ciryl Gane at near-even odds.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $23,308 lifetime.
- They have 137 resolved bets, so the track record is much stronger than a one-off large bet.
- Entry at 51¢ implies a near-even fight where this wallet sees value on Ciryl Gane.
$1,494 on Ciryl Gane | Wallet win rate: 85%
27-0 sharp backs Gane
A proven sharp wallet with a 27-0 resolved record and +$38.5k P&L is buying Ciryl Gane at near-even odds.
- This bettor has won 100% of 27 resolved positions and is up $38.5k lifetime.
- They are buying Ciryl Gane at 51¢, close to a coin flip in a very active UFC market.
- Their average winning entry was 49¢, suggesting a strong record on near-even bets like this.
$2,500 on Ciryl Gane | Wallet win rate: 100%
89% win-rate serial trader
A highly proven serial cross-market trader with an 89% win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought $13.7k of Alex Pereira at 49¢.
- This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades across 1,714 bets and is up $249k lifetime.
- They have traded 124 markets across 98 events, showing a long-running cross-market edge.
- A $13.7k buy at 49¢ backs Alex Pereira in a liquid market where current odds are near even.
$13,716 on Alex Pereira | Wallet win rate: 89%
76% winner bets $58K
Proven profitable bettor with a 76% resolved-bet win rate placed a large $58K buy on Ciryl Gane at 51¢, supported by a strong serial cross-market record.
- This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $325K lifetime.
- They put $58K on Ciryl Gane at 51¢, a large bet relative to this market’s liquidity.
- This wallet has traded across 52 events with the same 76% win rate, suggesting a repeatable edge.
$58,125 on Ciryl Gane | Wallet win rate: 76%
Profitable serial bettor
A highly experienced profitable wallet with 627 resolved bets and $45.6k lifetime profit is taking a $5.6k position on Ciryl Gane near even odds.
- This bettor has 627 resolved bets, wins 68%, and is up $45.6k lifetime.
- They have traded across 441 events and nearly $2.0M in volume, making this more than a one-off bet.
- The $5.6k buy is large versus this market’s $8.2k 24h volume, showing real conviction at 51¢.
$5,555 on Ciryl Gane | Wallet win rate: 68%
85% winner backs Pereira
Surfacing because a proven profitable bettor with an 85% record is effectively buying Alex Pereira at 51¢ despite only a modest trade size.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $23.3K lifetime.
- They are effectively backing Alex Pereira at 51¢ in an even-money fight.
- The wallet has been flagged repeatedly, suggesting this is part of an ongoing sharp-bettor pattern.
$1,194 on Alex Pereira | Wallet win rate: 85%
Top Holders
- 0x8f8c...e275 — Ciryl Gane, $147,231 (76% win rate)
- 0x2cff...59db — Alex Pereira, $100,000 (100% win rate)
- 0xa49b...4c40 — Alex Pereira, $40,000 (89% win rate)
- 0x60cc...ff9b — Alex Pereira, $20,020 (28% win rate)
- 0xbddd...3d9a — Ciryl Gane, $20,000 (61% win rate)
- 0x8da3...992c — Alex Pereira, $19,673
- 0x2b15...9b08 — Ciryl Gane, $12,041 (80% win rate)
- 0x86e7...613e — Alex Pereira, $11,249 (60% win rate)
- 0x58aa...a481 — Ciryl Gane, $10,892 (68% win rate)
- 0x08c2...c023 — Ciryl Gane, $10,000 (94% win rate)
