Part of: UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)
This prediction market covers the UFC Freedom 250 heavyweight main-card fight between Ciryl Gane and Alex Pereira, scheduled for June 14, 2026. It resolves based on the official fight result: Gane, Pereira, or 50-50 if the bout is a draw, no contest, canceled, or postponed beyond June 28, 2026. PolySpotter is tracking $4,000 in smart money and 1 smart money signal on this market.
This market will resolve to "Ciryl Gane" if Ciryl Gane is officially declared the winner of the fight against Alex Pereira at UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje, scheduled for June 14, 2026. It will resolve to "Alex Pereira" if Alex Pereira is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 28, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
9 smart money signals detected, totaling $89,268.
Categories: Sports, UFC, Games
Notable Trades
Undefeated serial sports bettor
Sharp undefeated wallet with 12 resolved wins and strong profit is buying Alex Pereira at an even-money entry.
- This bettor is 12-for-12 on resolved bets and is up $30,260 lifetime.
- They have traded across 26 events, suggesting a repeat sports-betting process rather than a one-off bet.
- Entry at 50¢ gives an even-money copy point on Alex Pereira.
$4,000 on Alex Pereira | Wallet win rate: 100%
Sharp bettor fading Gane
Sharp profitable wallet with an 85% resolved win rate is effectively backing Alex Pereira at even odds by selling Ciryl Gane.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $23,177 lifetime.
- They are effectively backing Alex Pereira at 50¢ in a fight priced as a coin flip.
- The wallet has been flagged repeatedly, suggesting this is not a one-off sharp signal.
$1,198 on Alex Pereira | Wallet win rate: 85%
85% winning bettor
Surface because this is a proven profitable wallet with an 85% resolved-bet win rate buying Ciryl Gane at near-even odds.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $23,308 lifetime.
- They have 137 resolved bets, so the track record is much stronger than a one-off large bet.
- Entry at 51¢ implies a near-even fight where this wallet sees value on Ciryl Gane.
$1,494 on Ciryl Gane | Wallet win rate: 85%
27-0 sharp backs Gane
A proven sharp wallet with a 27-0 resolved record and +$38.5k P&L is buying Ciryl Gane at near-even odds.
- This bettor has won 100% of 27 resolved positions and is up $38.5k lifetime.
- They are buying Ciryl Gane at 51¢, close to a coin flip in a very active UFC market.
- Their average winning entry was 49¢, suggesting a strong record on near-even bets like this.
$2,500 on Ciryl Gane | Wallet win rate: 100%
89% win-rate serial trader
A highly proven serial cross-market trader with an 89% win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought $13.7k of Alex Pereira at 49¢.
- This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades across 1,714 bets and is up $249k lifetime.
- They have traded 124 markets across 98 events, showing a long-running cross-market edge.
- A $13.7k buy at 49¢ backs Alex Pereira in a liquid market where current odds are near even.
$13,716 on Alex Pereira | Wallet win rate: 89%
76% winner bets $58K
Proven profitable bettor with a 76% resolved-bet win rate placed a large $58K buy on Ciryl Gane at 51¢, supported by a strong serial cross-market record.
- This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $325K lifetime.
- They put $58K on Ciryl Gane at 51¢, a large bet relative to this market’s liquidity.
- This wallet has traded across 52 events with the same 76% win rate, suggesting a repeatable edge.
$58,125 on Ciryl Gane | Wallet win rate: 76%
Profitable serial bettor
A highly experienced profitable wallet with 627 resolved bets and $45.6k lifetime profit is taking a $5.6k position on Ciryl Gane near even odds.
- This bettor has 627 resolved bets, wins 68%, and is up $45.6k lifetime.
- They have traded across 441 events and nearly $2.0M in volume, making this more than a one-off bet.
- The $5.6k buy is large versus this market’s $8.2k 24h volume, showing real conviction at 51¢.
$5,555 on Ciryl Gane | Wallet win rate: 68%
85% winner backs Pereira
Surfacing because a proven profitable bettor with an 85% record is effectively buying Alex Pereira at 51¢ despite only a modest trade size.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $23.3K lifetime.
- They are effectively backing Alex Pereira at 51¢ in an even-money fight.
- The wallet has been flagged repeatedly, suggesting this is part of an ongoing sharp-bettor pattern.
$1,194 on Alex Pereira | Wallet win rate: 85%
Elite 93% win bettor
Elite long-term profitable bettor with a 93% win rate and $300k lifetime profit is buying Alex Pereira at 49¢.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $300k lifetime.
- They have a long cross-market track record across 31 events with the same 93% win rate.
- Entry at 49¢ implies they see Pereira as mispriced in a nearly even fight.
$1,486 on Alex Pereira | Wallet win rate: 93%
Top Holders
- 0x8f8c...e275 — Ciryl Gane, $147,231 (76% win rate)
- 0x2cff...59db — Alex Pereira, $100,000 (100% win rate)
- 0xa49b...4c40 — Alex Pereira, $40,000 (89% win rate)
- 0x60cc...ff9b — Alex Pereira, $20,020 (28% win rate)
- 0xbddd...3d9a — Ciryl Gane, $20,000 (61% win rate)
- 0x8da3...992c — Alex Pereira, $19,673
- 0x79b4...fc3d — Ciryl Gane, $15,587
- 0x2b15...9b08 — Ciryl Gane, $12,041 (80% win rate)
- 0x86e7...613e — Alex Pereira, $11,249 (60% win rate)
- 0x58aa...a481 — Ciryl Gane, $10,892 (68% win rate)
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