Part of: Swiss Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Miomir Kecmanovic
Swiss Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Miomir Kecmanovic
This Polymarket prediction market covers the Swiss Open tennis match between Juan Manuel Cerundolo and Miomir Kecmanovic, scheduled for July 15, 2026. It resolves to the player who advances, with final resolution expected by July 22, 2026, and PolySpotter currently tracks $40,497 in smart money and 1 signal on this market.
10 smart money signals detected, totaling $100,198.
Categories: Sports, Games, Tennis
Notable Trades
Sharp tennis cluster hit
A large one-sided tennis move was led by several highly profitable wallets, including two with 96–99% win rates, but the market has already moved to 100%.
- Several proven bettors piled into the same side, including wallets up $15.6M and $5.0M lifetime.
- 10 wallets bought Cerundolo for about $40.5K as his price jumped from the mid-30¢ range to 100%.
- This looks like a strong informed move, but the entry is gone now that the market is already at 100¢.
$40,497 on Juan Manuel Cerundolo
96% win-rate tennis sharp
Highly profitable serial sports bettor with a 96% resolved win rate is buying $14k of Cerundolo at 56¢.
- This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up about $5.0M lifetime.
- They have traded across 425 events, suggesting a repeatable sports edge rather than a one-off bet.
- A $14k buy at 56¢ backs Cerundolo despite the market being fairly liquid.
$13,265 on Juan Manuel Cerundolo | Wallet win rate: 96%
96% win-rate tennis sharp
Highly profitable serial sports bettor with a 96% resolved win rate is buying $14k of Cerundolo at 56¢.
- This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up about $5.0M lifetime.
- They have traded across 425 events, suggesting a repeatable sports edge rather than a one-off bet.
- A $14k buy at 56¢ backs Cerundolo despite the market being fairly liquid.
$8,703 on Juan Manuel Cerundolo | Wallet win rate: 96%
Profitable serial sports trader
A very high-volume profitable sports trader bought Cerundolo into a sharp pre-event volume spike, though the bet size is modest for this liquid market.
- This bettor has won 69% of 66,437 resolved trades and is up $513K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 947 events with over $10M bet.
- Market volume spiked 128x above normal as they bought Cerundolo at 56¢.
$1,870 on Juan Manuel Cerundolo | Wallet win rate: 69%
88% sharp scaling in
A proven 88% win-rate bettor with strong lifetime profit is adding to a sizable Kecmanovic position amid a pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $153k lifetime.
- They have built a $21.8k Kecmanovic position and just added another $4.9k at 45¢.
- This wallet has traded across 31 events with the same 88% hit rate, while market volume is spiking 27x.
$4,901 on Miomir Kecmanovic | Wallet win rate: 90%
78% winner backs underdog
A highly profitable, proven bettor with a 78% win rate and nearly $1M in P&L is buying Miomir Kecmanovic at 46¢.
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up about $969K lifetime.
- They have a large cross-market track record: 87 events and $1.68M traded with the same 78% win rate.
- Entry at 46¢ implies they see Kecmanovic as meaningfully underpriced.
$5,000 on Miomir Kecmanovic | Wallet win rate: 79%
96% win-rate tennis sharp
Highly profitable serial sports bettor with a 96% resolved win rate is buying $14k of Cerundolo at 56¢.
- This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up about $5.0M lifetime.
- They have traded across 425 events, suggesting a repeatable sports edge rather than a one-off bet.
- A $14k buy at 56¢ backs Cerundolo despite the market being fairly liquid.
$14,000 on Juan Manuel Cerundolo | Wallet win rate: 96%
90% sharp adding at 55¢
A highly profitable sports bettor with a 90% resolved record is adding to an existing Juan Manuel Cerundolo position at 55¢.
- This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $74.8K lifetime.
- They have traded across 55 sports events with the same 90% hit rate.
- This is an add-on bet, bringing their Cerundolo position to about $5.5K at a 55¢ average entry.
$1,961 on Juan Manuel Cerundolo | Wallet win rate: 87%
Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable high-volume sports bettor is adding to an existing Cerundolo position with a $5k buy in a moderately active tennis market.
- This bettor has won 65% of 345 resolved markets and is up $187k lifetime.
- They are adding $5k to an existing Cerundolo position at 54¢, bringing this market exposure to about $14k.
- The wallet is highly experienced, with activity across 367 events and over $2.5M traded.
$5,000 on Juan Manuel Cerundolo | Wallet win rate: 67%
Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable high-volume sports bettor is adding to an existing Cerundolo position with a $5k buy in a moderately active tennis market.
- This bettor has won 65% of 345 resolved markets and is up $187k lifetime.
- They are adding $5k to an existing Cerundolo position at 54¢, bringing this market exposure to about $14k.
- The wallet is highly experienced, with activity across 367 events and over $2.5M traded.
$5,000 on Juan Manuel Cerundolo | Wallet win rate: 67%
Top Holders
- 0x507c...85ef — Outcome 71360799, $21,782 (90% win rate)
- 0x9f03...766d — Outcome 71360799, $10,870 (79% win rate)
- 0x3193...ed9e — Outcome 71360799, $5,408 (100% win rate)
- 0xa804...2a75 — Outcome 71360799, $4,726 (62% win rate)
- 0xf148...0b4f — Outcome 71360799, $4,236 (89% win rate)
- 0x5505...aa44 — Outcome 71360799, $4,220
- 0x21f3...35e3 — Outcome 71360799, $4,030 (74% win rate)
- 0x2f90...90cc — Outcome 71360799, $3,922 (72% win rate)
- 0xc463...9a2f — Outcome 71360799, $3,068 (54% win rate)
- 0x7568...2ce1 — Outcome 71360799, $2,985 (94% win rate)
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