Part of: Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds
Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds
8 smart money signals detected, totaling $400,844.
Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball
Notable Trades
Profitable bettor scaling into Cincinnati
A profitable high-volume bettor added $8.5K to an existing Cincinnati Reds position during an unusually large event-wide volume spike, though the wallet's modest 54% win rate limits the strength of the signal.
- The bettor added $8,533 to Cincinnati at 34–40¢ and already holds $49,213 in Reds exposure.
- Market volume was 107 times its historical average, while the Reds price has since risen to about 50¢.
- This wallet has made $2.16 million lifetime across more than 27,000 resolved bets, but its 54% win rate is not exceptionally sharp.
$11,290 on Cincinnati Reds | Wallet win rate: 54%
Sharp bettor adding to Reds
A proven sharp bettor with an 81% win rate and substantial edge added to a Reds position amid an extreme pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won 13 of 16 resolved positions (81%) and is up $7,331 on $76,139 invested.
- The $1,968 Reds purchase adds to an existing $4,888 position, signaling increased conviction rather than a routine trade.
- The market saw a 377.6x spike versus its historical trading volume, suggesting unusually strong interest before the game.
$1,461 on Cincinnati Reds | Wallet win rate: 31%
Profitable bettor scaling into Cincinnati
A profitable high-volume bettor added $8.5K to an existing Cincinnati Reds position during an unusually large event-wide volume spike, though the wallet's modest 54% win rate limits the strength of the signal.
- The bettor added $8,533 to Cincinnati at 34–40¢ and already holds $49,213 in Reds exposure.
- Market volume was 107 times its historical average, while the Reds price has since risen to about 50¢.
- This wallet has made $2.16 million lifetime across more than 27,000 resolved bets, but its 54% win rate is not exceptionally sharp.
$16,861 on Cincinnati Reds | Wallet win rate: 54%
Profitable bettor scaling into Cincinnati
A profitable high-volume bettor added $8.5K to an existing Cincinnati Reds position during an unusually large event-wide volume spike, though the wallet's modest 54% win rate limits the strength of the signal.
- The bettor added $8,533 to Cincinnati at 34–40¢ and already holds $49,213 in Reds exposure.
- Market volume was 107 times its historical average, while the Reds price has since risen to about 50¢.
- This wallet has made $2.16 million lifetime across more than 27,000 resolved bets, but its 54% win rate is not exceptionally sharp.
$8,533 on Cincinnati Reds | Wallet win rate: 54%
Sharp bettor adding to Reds
A proven sharp bettor with an 81% win rate and substantial edge added to a Reds position amid an extreme pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won 13 of 16 resolved positions (81%) and is up $7,331 on $76,139 invested.
- The $1,968 Reds purchase adds to an existing $4,888 position, signaling increased conviction rather than a routine trade.
- The market saw a 377.6x spike versus its historical trading volume, suggesting unusually strong interest before the game.
$1,968 on Cincinnati Reds | Wallet win rate: 31%
17-wallet Guardians buying cluster
A large linked-wallet Guardians position, including highly profitable bettors, produced a major price move in a sports market, though opposing Reds flow reduces confidence.
- Seventeen linked wallets bought $305,857 of Cleveland at 52–65¢, driving the price up 28 percentage points.
- The cluster includes bettors with 83% and 87% win rates across hundreds of resolved positions and roughly 31–32 percentage points of edge over entry odds.
- A separate 15-wallet Reds cluster bought $105,062, so the opposing flow is meaningful, while the current market price has already reached 100%.
$305,857 on Cleveland Guardians
Five sharp wallets scaling into Cincinnati
Five wallets added $50.3K to Cincinnati at 43¢, including three highly profitable bettors with 90%-96% win rates and substantial historical edge.
- Five wallets collectively added $50,320 to Cincinnati at 43¢ while the market still prices the Reds at only 44%.
- Three participants have exceptional records: 90%, 91%, and 96% win rates across 624 to 1,814 resolved bets.
- This is an addition to existing Cincinnati positions, signaling increased conviction rather than routine position opening; trading volume spiked over 480x its historical average.
$50,320 on Cincinnati Reds
97% sharp bettor adds to Reds
A highly profitable, serial sports bettor with a 97% win rate is adding $4,553 to an existing Cincinnati Reds position at 43¢.
- This bettor has won 97% of 118 resolved trades and is up $856,640.
- They are adding $4,553 to an existing Reds position, bringing total investment on the outcome above $15,000.
- The 43¢ entry implies the bettor sees the Reds as materially undervalued despite current market odds near 42%.
$4,553 on Cincinnati Reds | Wallet win rate: 92%
Top Holders
- 0xd696...8a49 — Outcome 65270494, $91,001 (90% win rate)
- 0x7d92...8676 — Outcome 65270494, $50,000 (70% win rate)
- 0x9703...69c2 — Outcome 65270494, $27,741
- 0xb8ef...2864 — Outcome 65270494, $13,523 (80% win rate)
- 0xf3a6...71bd — Outcome 65270494, $11,797 (75% win rate)
- 0xa084...bb99 — Outcome 65270494, $10,588 (92% win rate)
- 0x32ed...f960 — Outcome 65270494, $10,567 (67% win rate)
- 0xc463...9a2f — Outcome 65270494, $10,000 (55% win rate)
- 0x4f29...7a7e — Outcome 65270494, $9,888 (56% win rate)
- 0x0a63...fc03 — Outcome 65270494, $7,000 (84% win rate)
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