Part of: Kai and Speed beat Minecraft challenge by...?
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 16?
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $20,016.
Categories: gaming, Culture, streamer, Minecraft, IShowSpeed, Live Streams
Notable Trades
92% winner leads coordinated Yes buying
A highly profitable 92% win-rate bettor led a coordinated $16.8K Yes purchase during a massive volume and price surge.
- A bettor with a 92% win rate across 719 resolved trades and $4.15M profit bought $8,670 of Yes at 86¢.
- Three wallets committed $16,822 to Yes, with one already adding to a substantial existing position.
- Trading volume spiked to 185.8 times its historical average while Yes rose 71.5% in one day.
$16,822 on Yes
95% win-rate serial bettor buys No
A highly proven bettor with a 95% win rate and $779K lifetime profit made a fresh $1,364 No bet at 87% in a liquid market.
- This bettor has won 95% of 1,635 resolved positions and earned about $779,000 in profit.
- The wallet is a serial cross-market trader active across 269 events, making this a well-established pattern rather than an isolated bet.
- They bought No at 87¢, signaling strong confidence that the challenge will not be completed by the deadline.
$1,364 on No | Wallet win rate: 94%
Profitable serial bettor buys No
A highly experienced, profitable serial cross-market bettor placed a meaningful $1,830 bet on No, though the 87% market price limits the apparent edge.
- This bettor has won 74% of 3,710 resolved trades and earned $4.15 million in profit.
- They have traded across 146 events and are committing $1,830 to No in a relatively thin market.
- The 87¢ entry is already close to the market price, so the opportunity is mainly the bettor’s proven track record rather than a clear price bargain.
$1,830 on No | Wallet win rate: 74%
Top Holders
- 0x5109...5e9c — Outcome 23239899, $7,987 (40% win rate)
- 0xac4a...bf1e — Outcome 23239899, $5,128
- 0x4337...8882 — Outcome 23239899, $5,047 (74% win rate)
- 0xd109...6fa0 — Outcome 23239899, $3,923 (80% win rate)
- 0x5a21...9318 — Outcome 23239899, $2,537 (61% win rate)
- 0x81a6...762e — Outcome 23239899, $2,000
- 0x6560...e164 — Outcome 23239899, $1,873 (60% win rate)
- 0xe8c4...395d — Outcome 23239899, $1,794 (94% win rate)
- 0x6978...08d8 — Outcome 23239899, $1,500 (49% win rate)
- 0x9dfe...b3dd — Outcome 23239899, $1,004 (67% win rate)
Related Theses
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