Part of: IR Iran vs. New Zealand - More Markets

IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 4.5

14 smart money signals detected, totaling $278,079.

Categories: Soccer, FIFA World Cup, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Perfect-record sports whale

Sharp wallet with a perfect 16-0 resolved record and +$239K P&L made a large $74.6K Under bet alongside strong event-level volume and price movement.

  • This bettor has won all 16 resolved bets and is up $239K lifetime.
  • They put $74.6K on Under, with the market now trading 9–11 points above most of their entries.
  • This wallet has traded 29 related events with a perfect resolved record, and this market saw a 106x volume spike.

$74,600 on Under | Wallet win rate: 100%

Sharp bettor buying Over

Sharp profitable sports bettor with a 75% long-run win rate bought Over amid coordinated one-sided flow, volume spike, and major price movement.

  • This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades and is up about $370k lifetime.
  • Six wallets bought the same Over side, totaling $11.6k in coordinated flow.
  • Market volume spiked 52x while Over moved sharply from a much lower historical range.

$1,439 on Over | Wallet win rate: 75%

Proven sharp on Under

Sharp profitable wallet bought Under before a major price move, with volume spiking 107x normal on the same side.

  • This bettor wins 84% of resolved bets and is up $16.5K lifetime.
  • They put $3,000 on Under at 61¢ before it moved to 84¢.
  • Market activity is 107x normal, with heavy volume confirming the move.

$3,000 on Under | Wallet win rate: 84%

Momentum event bettor

Surfacing due to a strong pre-event volume surge, price move, and cross-market positioning on Under, though the wallet itself has a weak long-term record.

  • Heavy pre-game money is moving this market, with volume running 106x above its usual pace.
  • Under has climbed sharply and this wallet is positioned across 5 markets tied to the same event.
  • The wallet is not a proven winner, so the signal is mainly the market momentum, not the bettor’s track record.

$2,673 on Under | Wallet win rate: 53%

$15.7M winner buying Under

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor bought Under at 67¢ before the market moved sharply to 84¢, alongside a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 65% of over 15,000 resolved bets and is up $15.7M lifetime.
  • They bought Under at 67¢, and the market has already moved to 84¢.
  • Volume spiked 107x above normal, suggesting broader money is also piling into this side.

$1,103 on Under | Wallet win rate: 65%

89% winner buying Under

A proven sharp sports bettor with an 89% resolved win rate bought Under, alongside a major pre-event volume spike and strong Under-side price movement.

  • This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $19,760 lifetime.
  • They bought Under at 89¢, while the market is currently around 84¢, below their entry.
  • This market saw a 106x pre-event volume spike and sharp movement toward Under.

$1,776 on Under | Wallet win rate: 89%

75% serial sports winner

Sharp serial sports trader with a 75% record bought Under before a volume spike and 7-point move in their favor.

  • This bettor wins 75% of resolved bets and is up $57.5K lifetime.
  • They have traded 68 markets across 50 events, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
  • Bought Under at 77¢ before the market moved to 84¢ amid a 106x volume spike.

$3,099 on Under | Wallet win rate: 75%

Profitable new repeat bettor

High-score alert from a 1-day-old repeat wallet already up $21k, with same-side flow and a major volume spike, though the Over position has moved sharply against the entry.

  • This 1-day-old wallet is already up $21,110 and has been flagged 19 times for large repeat betting.
  • Three wallets bought the same Over side, totaling $8,834 in coordinated one-way flow.
  • The market saw an 87.8x volume spike, but this entry at 57¢ has since fallen to 16¢.

$1,178 on Over | Wallet win rate: 100%

New whale plus 7-wallet flow

High-conviction Over buy from a brand-new repeat whale, backed by 7-wallet one-sided flow, a massive pre-event volume spike, and sharp price momentum.

  • A 2-hour-old wallet has already placed $41K in flagged bets and is adding $5.5K more here.
  • Seven wallets are all buying Over, totaling $17.1K in the same direction.
  • Market activity is surging at 89x normal volume, while Over has jumped about 42 percentage points in a day.

$5,543 on Over | Wallet win rate: 67%

Sharp 10-wallet Under cluster

High-conviction Under cluster backed by multiple highly profitable wallets with strong win records, despite recent market momentum toward Over.

  • Multiple proven bettors are buying Under, including wallets that win 98%, 93%, and 89% of resolved trades.
  • Ten wallets put $51.7k on the same Under side as volume spiked 52x above normal.
  • Entry around 39¢ implies a contrarian bet against the recent move toward Over.

$51,703 on Under

Top Holders

  1. 0x3535...a775 Outcome 86428869, $148,224 (43% win rate)
  2. 0xe549...2d54 Outcome 86428869, $107,076 (100% win rate)
  3. 0xac47...d234 Outcome 86428869, $16,000 (45% win rate)
  4. 0xa6d1...286a Outcome 86428869, $10,000 (79% win rate)
  5. 0x374b...4a4c Outcome 86428869, $6,500 (100% win rate)
  6. 0xb4d2...ce99 Outcome 86428869, $6,000 (49% win rate)
  7. 0x2a69...d2f7 Outcome 86428869, $5,602
  8. 0x00a0...bf76 Outcome 86428869, $4,000 (77% win rate)
  9. 0x82d2...beea Outcome 86428869, $3,000 (56% win rate)
  10. 0xdd5e...9040 Outcome 86428869, $2,619 (85% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 5 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Iran leadership change unlikely

Covers 4 related markets

Iran New Zealand stays low-scoring

Covers 3 related markets

Saudi Uruguay stays low scoring

Covers 3 related markets

Iran New Zealand odds mispriced

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 4.5

ResolvedIR Iran vs. New Zealand - More Markets$278,079 tracked14 signalsSoccerFIFA World CupSportsGames

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between IR Iran and New Zealand, scheduled for June 15 at 9:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if IR Iran and New Zealand combine to score 5 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 5, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “Under
102¢
86¢
71¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 4.5

2h ago

$74,600 on Under at 77¢

IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 4.5

2h ago

$1,439 on Over at 59¢

IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 4.5

2h ago

$3,000 on Under at 61¢

IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 4.5

2h ago

$2,673 on Under at 78¢

IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 4.5

2h ago

$1,103 on Under at 67¢

IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 4.5

2h ago

$1,776 on Under at 89¢

IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 4.5

2h ago

$3,099 on Under at 77¢

IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 4.5

2h ago

$1,178 on Over at 57¢

IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 4.5

2h ago

$5,543 on Over at 52¢

IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 4.5

3h ago

$51,703 on Under at 39¢

IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 4.5

3h ago

$1,500 on Over at 59¢

IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 4.5

3h ago

$2,777 on Over at 57¢

IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 4.5

3h ago

$1,160 on Over at 58¢

IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 4.5

2h ago

$126,527 on Under at 66¢

Related Theses