Part of: IR Iran vs. New Zealand - More Markets
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 4.5
14 smart money signals detected, totaling $278,079.
Categories: Soccer, FIFA World Cup, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Perfect-record sports whale
Sharp wallet with a perfect 16-0 resolved record and +$239K P&L made a large $74.6K Under bet alongside strong event-level volume and price movement.
- This bettor has won all 16 resolved bets and is up $239K lifetime.
- They put $74.6K on Under, with the market now trading 9–11 points above most of their entries.
- This wallet has traded 29 related events with a perfect resolved record, and this market saw a 106x volume spike.
$74,600 on Under | Wallet win rate: 100%
Sharp bettor buying Over
Sharp profitable sports bettor with a 75% long-run win rate bought Over amid coordinated one-sided flow, volume spike, and major price movement.
- This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades and is up about $370k lifetime.
- Six wallets bought the same Over side, totaling $11.6k in coordinated flow.
- Market volume spiked 52x while Over moved sharply from a much lower historical range.
$1,439 on Over | Wallet win rate: 75%
Proven sharp on Under
Sharp profitable wallet bought Under before a major price move, with volume spiking 107x normal on the same side.
- This bettor wins 84% of resolved bets and is up $16.5K lifetime.
- They put $3,000 on Under at 61¢ before it moved to 84¢.
- Market activity is 107x normal, with heavy volume confirming the move.
$3,000 on Under | Wallet win rate: 84%
Momentum event bettor
Surfacing due to a strong pre-event volume surge, price move, and cross-market positioning on Under, though the wallet itself has a weak long-term record.
- Heavy pre-game money is moving this market, with volume running 106x above its usual pace.
- Under has climbed sharply and this wallet is positioned across 5 markets tied to the same event.
- The wallet is not a proven winner, so the signal is mainly the market momentum, not the bettor’s track record.
$2,673 on Under | Wallet win rate: 53%
$15.7M winner buying Under
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor bought Under at 67¢ before the market moved sharply to 84¢, alongside a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won 65% of over 15,000 resolved bets and is up $15.7M lifetime.
- They bought Under at 67¢, and the market has already moved to 84¢.
- Volume spiked 107x above normal, suggesting broader money is also piling into this side.
$1,103 on Under | Wallet win rate: 65%
89% winner buying Under
A proven sharp sports bettor with an 89% resolved win rate bought Under, alongside a major pre-event volume spike and strong Under-side price movement.
- This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $19,760 lifetime.
- They bought Under at 89¢, while the market is currently around 84¢, below their entry.
- This market saw a 106x pre-event volume spike and sharp movement toward Under.
$1,776 on Under | Wallet win rate: 89%
75% serial sports winner
Sharp serial sports trader with a 75% record bought Under before a volume spike and 7-point move in their favor.
- This bettor wins 75% of resolved bets and is up $57.5K lifetime.
- They have traded 68 markets across 50 events, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- Bought Under at 77¢ before the market moved to 84¢ amid a 106x volume spike.
$3,099 on Under | Wallet win rate: 75%
Profitable new repeat bettor
High-score alert from a 1-day-old repeat wallet already up $21k, with same-side flow and a major volume spike, though the Over position has moved sharply against the entry.
- This 1-day-old wallet is already up $21,110 and has been flagged 19 times for large repeat betting.
- Three wallets bought the same Over side, totaling $8,834 in coordinated one-way flow.
- The market saw an 87.8x volume spike, but this entry at 57¢ has since fallen to 16¢.
$1,178 on Over | Wallet win rate: 100%
New whale plus 7-wallet flow
High-conviction Over buy from a brand-new repeat whale, backed by 7-wallet one-sided flow, a massive pre-event volume spike, and sharp price momentum.
- A 2-hour-old wallet has already placed $41K in flagged bets and is adding $5.5K more here.
- Seven wallets are all buying Over, totaling $17.1K in the same direction.
- Market activity is surging at 89x normal volume, while Over has jumped about 42 percentage points in a day.
$5,543 on Over | Wallet win rate: 67%
Sharp 10-wallet Under cluster
High-conviction Under cluster backed by multiple highly profitable wallets with strong win records, despite recent market momentum toward Over.
- Multiple proven bettors are buying Under, including wallets that win 98%, 93%, and 89% of resolved trades.
- Ten wallets put $51.7k on the same Under side as volume spiked 52x above normal.
- Entry around 39¢ implies a contrarian bet against the recent move toward Over.
$51,703 on Under
Top Holders
- 0x3535...a775 — Outcome 86428869, $148,224 (43% win rate)
- 0xe549...2d54 — Outcome 86428869, $107,076 (100% win rate)
- 0xac47...d234 — Outcome 86428869, $16,000 (45% win rate)
- 0xa6d1...286a — Outcome 86428869, $10,000 (79% win rate)
- 0x374b...4a4c — Outcome 86428869, $6,500 (100% win rate)
- 0xb4d2...ce99 — Outcome 86428869, $6,000 (49% win rate)
- 0x2a69...d2f7 — Outcome 86428869, $5,602
- 0x00a0...bf76 — Outcome 86428869, $4,000 (77% win rate)
- 0x82d2...beea — Outcome 86428869, $3,000 (56% win rate)
- 0xdd5e...9040 — Outcome 86428869, $2,619 (85% win rate)
Related Theses
Iran leadership change unlikely
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Iran New Zealand stays low-scoring
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Saudi Uruguay stays low scoring
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Iran New Zealand odds mispriced
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