Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?
This prediction market asks whether the active-month WTI crude oil futures contract will record a 1-minute candle high of at least $130 at any point during April 2026. It resolves Yes if that threshold is hit even once during the month, and No if WTI stays below $130 throughout April. The market currently shows notable smart money interest, with recent alerts highlighting multiple whale and fresh-wallet buys on the Yes side ahead of the April 30, 2026 resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during April 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For WTI futures, the active month refers to the nearest listed contract month. The active month changes at 6:00:00 PM ET at the start of the trading session two business days prior to that contract's last trading day, at which point the next listed contract becomes the active month. For WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, the last trading day is defined as three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day), consistent with CME contract specifications. Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours as listed on Pyth. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $22,849.
Categories: Finance, Monthly, Hit Price, Finance Updown, Commodities, Oil, Rewards 50, 4.5, 100
Notable Trades
New whale buying Yes
A 2-day-old wallet made a nearly $5k fresh bet on a low-probability oil spike by selling No at 87¢, a sizable early-conviction trade after already being flagged twice.
- A 2-day-old wallet made a nearly $5k fresh bet on Yes after already being flagged twice for large early trades
- The trade effectively buys a 12-13¢ outcome, showing conviction in a sharp rebound after this market fell 41 points in a day
- This is new positioning, not profit-taking, in a real macro market with solid liquidity and a tight 1¢ spread
$4,928 on Yes
3-wallet WTI cluster
Three wallets tied to the same funder are positioning across related WTI strike markets, and this wallet’s sell of No converts into a fresh Yes buy around 47¢ on a liquid event market.
- Three wallets funded by the same address are betting this WTI event together across 3 related markets.
- This trade effectively buys Yes at 47¢, a fairly aggressive price on a market that moved 10 points over the past week.
- The wallet’s own track record is ordinary, but the linked multi-wallet pattern is the main signal here.
$1,258 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 50%
New whale piling into Yes
A brand-new wallet is repeatedly deploying meaningful size into the same oil threshold thesis across related markets, suggesting fresh conviction worth watching despite no track record yet.
- This wallet is less than 1 hour old and has already been flagged 16 times for large bets totaling $15.7k
- They bought Yes six times in a row at 50¢, showing concentrated conviction rather than a one-off trade
- The same wallet is betting across 2 related oil markets, pointing to a broader thesis on a sharp upside move
$5,885 on Yes
Fresh wallet pressing Yes
A brand-new wallet has already fired repeated large bets across this event, including a nearly $5k concentrated buy on Yes at 50¢, which is notable despite no proven track record yet.
- This wallet is less than 1 hour old and has already been flagged 15 times for large bets totaling about $14.7k
- All 5 trades stacked into Yes at 50¢, showing concentrated conviction rather than a one-off punt
- The market is active and liquid, so paying 50¢ suggests the bettor sees materially better than even odds of a $130 spike
$4,905 on Yes
New whale averaging up
A brand-new wallet is repeatedly sizing into the same oil threshold market and related contracts, including an early fill at 20¢ before the market moved to 50%, which suggests strong conviction rather than routine flow.
- This wallet is only 32 minutes old but has already been flagged 11 times for large bets totaling $10.8k
- They bought this outcome six times and kept buying even after the price jumped from 20¢ to 50¢
- The first fill at 20¢ is now marked near 50¢, showing they moved in before the market repriced
$5,873 on Yes
Top Holders
- 0x6adc...beba — No, $322,833 (51% win rate)
- 0x4bbe...2cf3 — Yes, $146,394 (78% win rate)
- 0xe734...4f0c — Yes, $92,607 (38% win rate)
- 0xb47a...6d60 — No, $59,991 (80% win rate)
- 0x97f3...0eba — Yes, $46,718 (43% win rate)
- 0x2e4d...f703 — No, $25,130
- 0x32b4...8b21 — No, $25,099 (64% win rate)
- 0xed49...8783 — Yes, $23,441 (43% win rate)
- 0xfe2d...0e62 — Yes, $21,715 (50% win rate)
- 0x9eba...3865 — Yes, $20,528 (100% win rate)
