Part of: Club Bolívar vs. São Paulo FC

Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-08-11?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $4,667.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Copa Sudamericana

Notable Trades

Three-wallet No cluster with sharp bettor

Three wallets, including a highly profitable bettor and a 12-bet 83% winner, coordinated on No while driving the price down 30%, although prior positions reduce the strength of the signal.

  • Three wallets committed $3,667 to No, including one bettor with an 83% win rate across 12 resolved trades.
  • The group bought as cheaply as 50¢, and the No price subsequently moved to 100% after a 30-point decline in Yes.
  • One participant is a serial cross-market trader across 40 events, though existing closed positions suggest some of this may be position management.

$3,667 on No

Serial trader buying into sharp No move

A serial cross-market trader re-entered No as the market experienced an unusually sharp 25.5-point five-minute decline, though the wallet’s historical record is only moderately strong.

  • This wallet has traded across 39 events and 43 markets, with $122,862 in tracked volume.
  • No fell 25.5 percentage points in five minutes and 30 points beyond its prior range, signaling an unusually forceful move.
  • The trade re-enters No near 50¢ after a previous $2,000 No position at 51¢, so it reflects continued conviction rather than a completely new thesis.

$1,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 64%

Top Holders

  1. 0x076d...8d4c Outcome 98648634, $1,090 (65% win rate)
  2. 0x06a9...1a49 Outcome 98648634, $664 (72% win rate)
  3. 0xa5ef...2966 Outcome 11488775, $602
  4. 0x37c1...8de1 Outcome 98648634, $510
  5. 0x775d...6beb Outcome 98648634, $306 (76% win rate)
  6. 0xddf1...a604 Outcome 98648634, $183 (65% win rate)
  7. 0x71f5...4cce Outcome 98648634, $146
  8. 0x976a...e8ec Outcome 98648634, $123
  9. 0x2064...0ab1 Outcome 98648634, $100
  10. 0x6a1a...f598 Outcome 98648634, $100

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Rehberg will defeat Nicod

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Beşiktaş JK will not win

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CS Independiente Rivadavia will win

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Corinthians will not win

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Stefan Kozlov will defeat Harry

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Spain will advance over Argentina

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Estudiantes-Defensa will exceed 3.5 goals

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Norbert Gombos beats Filip Jianu

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England will beat France

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Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-08-11?

ResolvedClub Bolívar vs. São Paulo FC$4,667 tracked2 signalsSportsGamesSoccerCopa Sudamericana

In the upcoming game, scheduled for August 11, 2026 If São Paulo FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Notable Trades

Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-08-11?

11d ago

$3,667 on No at 72¢

Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-08-11?

12d ago

$1,000 on No at 50¢

Related Theses