Part of: Will Drake release Iceman by...?

Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $5,300.

Categories: Culture, Music, album, Drake

Notable Trades

92% win-rate sharp

A wallet with an exceptional 92% win rate and strong historical edge is buying No at 84¢ in a reasonably active entertainment market, making this a sharp-bettor signal worth surfacing despite the modest size.

  • This bettor wins 92% of their trades and is up $62k across 119 resolved markets
  • They bought No at 84¢, showing conviction even after the market already moved toward No
  • The market has decent volume but has still fallen 11.5 points this week, matching their bearish view

$1,300 on No | Wallet win rate: 92%

93% win-rate serial bettor

A serial cross-market bettor with a 93% win rate made a $4,000 buy on No, taking a large share of recent volume in this Drake release market.

  • This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up about $105k across 757 bets
  • The $4,000 buy made up roughly 65% of the market's recent volume, showing real conviction
  • They bought No at 79¢, backing the current favorite in a market with only about $6.1k of liquidity

$4,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 93%

Top Holders

  1. 0x2375...691f Outcome 85838221, $7,302
  2. 0x83e8...7b89 Outcome 85838221, $7,199 (55% win rate)
  3. 0xd4e4...c7d1 Outcome 85838221, $5,634
  4. 0x3471...4430 Outcome 85838221, $4,877
  5. 0xfbae...fbac Outcome 85838221, $4,380
  6. 0x5160...b803 Outcome 85838221, $2,500
  7. 0x09f5...af26 Outcome 85838221, $1,690
  8. 0xf2b4...3f52 Outcome 85838221, $1,510
  9. 0xd8c5...4896 Outcome 85838221, $1,171
  10. 0xe824...cf0c Outcome 85838221, $1,140

Related Theses

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Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?

ResolvedWill Drake release Iceman by...?$5,300 tracked2 signalsCultureMusicalbumDrake

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Drake officially releases Iceman by the listed date, 11:59 PM PT. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that Iceman is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Drake album officially confirmed to be the Iceman project will count, regardless of potential name changes. The resolution source for this market will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Notable Trades

Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?

39d ago

$1,300 on No at 84¢

Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?

40d ago

$4,000 on No at 79¢

Related Theses